PPP: “Tea-Party Candidacy” Could Guarantee Perriello Reelection

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    Let’s hope that Public Policy Polling is right about this.

    Politico reports that in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District Tea Party activist Jeffrey Clark will run as an independent if moderate Republican Robert Hurt wins his party’s nomination to take on Tom Perriello.

    How serious would a Clark candidacy be? When we polled the district in early February we found that a generic Tea Party candidate would pull 19%. Perriello received 44% and Hurt 27% in such a scenario.

    […]

    …even if 48% is the best [Perriello] can get to in an off year election that would still put him over the top if Clark got just 5% from Hurt’s disaffected supporters…

    In other words, go Jeffrey Clark! 🙂

    • Teddy Goodson

      and, by fall, the Republican Party will find tons of moola to pour into negative advertising. Tom will have to do his usual tireless job of individual contact in every niche and corner of his sprawling district, find lots of energetic grassroots canvassers, and raise money, and money, and money. Do we have a link to his “Contribute” button?

    • NotJohnSMosby

      That Tom is polling in the mid-40s on his own.  That’s pretty good in a district that’s still majority Republican and even though he’s an incumbent, that’s still a great number.

    • TomPaine

      about beware of what you ask for, since you just might get it!

    • leedynamo

      I assume that Tom and his organization needs to work hard every single day in order to win this election.  It is difficult to predict what will happen in a district as conservative as this one.  He wants to keep identifying as many supporters as possible.