Stratfor on “Egypt’s Tipping Point” [UPDATE: Mubarak Steps Down!!!]


    (It’s very hard to pay attention to Virginia politics – or the crazy Republicans in Congress – when amazing, earth-shaking events like this are unfolding in Egypt. Also, is this an example of people power and Liberation Technology or what?!? Feel free to discuss. – promoted by lowkell)

    In case you’re following the situation in Egypt – which I am, closely – check out this excellent analysis from Stratfor. Sorry, Virginia, but what’s going on in Cairo is a lot more interesting than what happening in Richmond with our teahadist House of Delegates, our bat****-crazy Attorney General, and our most excellent Governor McDummkopf (or is it McMediocrity?).

    UPDATE: Mubarak has stepped down. Amazing, what a moment in the history of Egypt and the Middle East!

    • Teddy Goodson

      For 18 days I’ve been pretty much glued to the screen… the roar that erupted in Tahir Square after VP Suleiman made his short speech reminded me of the roar of crowds after Germany surrendered in World War II, on V-E Day. People Power has triumphed… partly thanks to the restraint of the Egyptian Army; it is my understanding that American military, many of whom have had long personal relationships with their opposite number in the Egyptian Army, were quietly encouraging the Egyptian military to follow exactly the course which they have followed. Thank heaven.  

      No doubt the autocrats will say that Mubarak should have used overwhelming force at the very beginning, and that, had he done so, the demonstrations would have fizzled—- this is what the aristocrats always say when the masses first begin to revolt. What liberals will say, I trust, is that this proves you get demoracy from the bottom up, not at the point of a gun barrel, just compare Iraq and Egypt.

      Two questions (other than the primary one of What now?): what can we expect from Israel; and, who will do our torturing for us now that Mubarak is gone? heh  

    • President Mubarak’s decision to step down will hopefully mark the beginning of a long awaited peaceful transfer to democratic rule in Egypt. After weeks of protests, the Egyptian government is responding to the calls of its people to open the discussion about Egypt’s future to all of its citizens, and to end a repressive regime.

      This is a rare and historic moment for democracy worldwide. The Egyptian people understand that their country cannot reach its full potential under a dictatorship and have rightly called for freedom. The U.S. should continue to be on the side of the Egyptian people in Freedom Square as they move toward democracy. With the military in control, we now need to work with their leadership to ensure that elections reflecting the will of the people are held in reasonable timeframe.

    • Steve Vaughan

      I think we’ll need to see that before we know how significant a moment this was for Egypt and the Middle East.

      Seems that right now the Army has taken over.

      If there’s a move toward free elections and if those free elections are not dominated by Jihadist elements, then it will be a great moment for Egypt and the Middle East.

      Democracy for everyone is great in theory. Doesn’t always work out to our advantage.

      For example, the democratically-elected government we helped bring into being in Iraq is much more influenced by Jihadists than the Hussein regime was.

    • pontoon

      for Egypt tonight.  I believe one of the reasons we are so hated in the Middle East is that we have supported dictators like Mubarak for far too long, and that we support Israel even when Israel is wrong.  

      None of us know what will happen for Egyptians in the future, but I sincerely hope they are given the opportunity to and succeed in creating the democracy that they want.  Finally, I hope that democracy will become a model for others in the Middle East.