Home 2012 races New Poll: Kaine and Allen Tied, 46%-46%

New Poll: Kaine and Allen Tied, 46%-46%


I’ve gotta say, this new poll on the 2012 U.S. Senate race is not the most encouraging thing I’ve ever seen. Sure, the poll shows the race between likely nominees Tim Kaine and George Allen tied, 46%-46%, and that’s not too bad in a “purple” state like Virginia, at this early stage of the campaign, for “generic Republican candidate vs. generic Democratic candidate.”  

So why am I not particularly pleased with this poll? First off, because Kaine and Allen aren’t “generic” candidates. To the contrary, one of them is the guy known as “Felix Macacawitz,” because of his history – not just the “macaca” incident, by the way – of, uh, questionable comments and attitudes towards African Americans, Asian Americans, etc. One of the candidates is also the guy who did nothing in the U.S. Senate, other than vote 96% of the time with George W. Bush, as he slashed taxes for rich people, failed to pay for two wars and a new Medicare benefit, trashed the environment, appointed radical right-wing judges to the courts, trampled on Americans’ civil liberties, turned budget surpluses (under Bill Clinton) into massive deficits as far as the eye can see (under George W. Bush and the Republican Congress).

Given all that, my question is simple: how can someone like George Allen be the overwhelming favorite to win his party’s nomination (Allen 54%, Bob Marshall 4%, Corey Stewart 3%, David McCormick 3%, Jamie Radtke 2%), and then in a neck-and-neck race with presumed Democratic nominee Tim Kaine (who leads Bobby Scott in a hypothetical primary, 67%-17%)? That’s simply bizarre, if not disturbing, on a number of levels.

By the way, what on earth does Jamie Radtke think she’s accomplishing? So far, her campaign appears to have gained absolutely no traction among Republican voters, whether we’re talking about poll numbers or fundraising. Yes, it’s early, but at this point Radtke’s not even ahead of Corey Stewart, “Sideshow Bob” Marshall, and some guy named David McCormick. Sounds to me like it’s time for Radtke to go back to her proverbial “day job,”  whatever that might be (other than professional politician).

  • blue bronc

    He will have to come up with some new “stuff” to impress the world about knowledge, compassion and diffidence.  

  • Jeff Barnett

    Unfortunately for Democrats in the 10th Congressional District, the article reports that “Allen leads in the exurban counties – a region that includes Loudoun and Prince William – by 14 points.”

  • Tom

    The big difference between the two counties in the 10th CD is the respective county Dem. chairs. In PWC we have one of the best chairs in the state, who replaced a chair who made ours the top committee in Virginia. Sadly, from what I’ve been reading on this blog it appears that the Loudoun County Dems. have a lot of work to do to get their own house in order before they can contribute to an improvement in the polling there.

    Jeff, can you offer some words of encouragement on the situation in your county ? My best guess is that Kaine will do well if he is careful not to depend on the county committee too much; he’d be well advised to set up his own campaign office run by his best staffer available. You ran a good campaign yourself last year in one of the toughest districts in the state, with no negatives I ever heard of.  


    pretty scary that the rethugs have alreay put McDonnell, Kook and Hurt in, none of which have done anything particularly good for the Commonwealth. Now they seek to put George BACK in???

    Are we surrounded by morons? Does the democratic party really suck this bad in VA? I mean, I don’t get it. What is the problem??? Kaine needs to stand up and call Allen out for all his crazy shit. Soon. Not the day before the election.

  • totallynext

    1. Presidential year. Need I say more

    2. Obama, OFA, DNC will spend a lot of money in va

    3. Allen and the voters will be reaquinted with his BS

    4. Kaine will eat his lunch on the campaign trail

    5.  Evey piece of literature in northern va, hampton roads and Richmond will have Obama and kaine together

    More if you need them

    2009 was a bad year.   Bad campaign bad candidates  

  • gg2landy

    by Public Policy Institue ( or something like that). Was anyone else?