Unfortunately, I have no particular basis to disagree with this NLS analysis.
I’d say there is about a 75% chance the GOP takes the Senate outright, a 15% chance of a 20–20 split, and Democrats have a 10% chance to hold the Senate if every close race breaks their way on election day.
How about you? Discuss! 🙂
P.S. If this forecast turns out to be true, which I am hoping it doesn’t, any thoughts for my post-election “winners and losers” list?