Home 2012 races South Carolina Teapublican Primary Open Thread

South Carolina Teapublican Primary Open Thread


Polls close in South Carolina at 7 pm. Feel free to use this as an open thread to discuss the results of this primary, and also of the Teapublican primaries in general. Interesting, the early exit polls indicated that “Nearly 2/3 say recent debates — where Gingrich got rave reviews — were an important factor,” and also that “about 1/2 of voters made up their minds in the last few days, backing up Gingrich poll gains.” Looking good for Newton over Willard, but we’ll see soon enough! By the way, if Gingrich does beat Romney in South Carolina tonight, that will mean Romney’s only won a single primary, and that was in his de facto home state, so it really shouldn’t count for much. Not impressive.

UPDATE 7:01 pm: ABC and NBC News call it for Newt Gingrich.  Hahahahahahahaha. Lovin’ it. 🙂 🙂 🙂

UPDATE 7:02 pm: CNN exit polls have it at Gingrich 38%, Romney 29%, Santorum 17%, Paul 15%. Will Santorum drop out? If so, then it will essentially be mano a mano between Newton and Willard. Boy, would that be a hoot!

UPDATE 9:12 pm: According to CNN, with 68% of precincts reporting, it’s Newton 41%, Willard 26%,  Mr. “Man on Dog” 18%, and the crazy conspiracy theory/racist/”get off my lawn!” guy 13%.

UPDATE 9:17 pm: As Loudoun Insider points out, “Of course the collapse of Mitt Romney in the South Carolina polls had little to do with Bob McDonnell, but it certainly does not help McDonnell’s VP campaign to endorse and campaign for Romney there just as Romney collapses and loses pretty significantly.” Hahaha.

UPDATE 9:18 pm: According to Intrade, Willard now has a 66.9% chance of being the Republican nominee, compared to 26.0% for Newton and 0.7% for Surging Santorum. Willard was over 90% just a few days ago.

UPDATE 7:08 am Sunday: With 99% of precincts reporting, Newton Leroy won with 40% of the vote to Willard “Mitt”‘s 28%, Surging Santorum’s 17%, and Conspiracy Freakazoid 13%.

UPDATE 11:41 am Sunday: Check out Andrew Sullivan’s fascinating thoughts on Newt Gingrich, Willard Romney, and the “crack-up” of the Republican Party. That includes this comment, with which I agree wholeheartedly: “If I were a Republican, I’d be ashamed. But Gingrich won, I think, because shame is alien to him. Especially when it comes to race.”

  • kindler

    …that open marriages are more popular in the Republican party than I thought…

  • Looks like the only categories won by Romney were:

    Voters with postgraduate degrees

    Incomes over $200K

    Moderates & Liberals


    Opposed to the Tea Party



  • Hugo Estrada

    I still think Gingrich is a lunatic, but it would have been fun to see Romney have to sweat for a win in VA.

  • Teddy Goodson

    at work here.  Haha. Guess it’s combination of a revolt by the patriarchal authoritarians, cmbined with anti-Mormonism, and, well, nuthatchery rampant.  

  • Sherlock

    …that the debates would get less relevant. Somehow, though, the optics they produce are only getting stronger, and impacting voters even more than over the summer. The networks (and their advertisers) must be having a blast. I wrote up my thoughts on Newt’s win in a diary: http://www.bluevirginia.us/dia