Home 2013 races Republican Rasmussen Reports: McAuliffe 50%-Cuccinelli 33%-Sarvis 8%

Republican Rasmussen Reports: McAuliffe 50%-Cuccinelli 33%-Sarvis 8%

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Wow.

Democrat Terry McAuliffe has jumped to a 17-point lead over Republican Ken Cuccinelli in the Virginia gubernatorial race following the federal government shutdown that hit Northern Virginia hard and Hillary Clinton’s weekend visit to the state.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Virginia Voters finds McAuliffe with 50% support to Cuccinelli’s 33%. Libertarian candidate Robert Sarvis is a distant third with eight percent (8%) of the vote. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, while five percent (5%) remain undecided.

That’s by strongly Republican-leaning Rasmussen Reports, no less. Amazing…honestly not sure what to make of this one.

  • Planned Parenthood Votes TV ad highlights Virginia gubernatorial candidate Ken Cuccinelli’s dangerous views on women’s health and his clear record of interfering in their personal health care decisions.

    The more voters learn about Cuccinelli’s positions on women’s health, the more likely they are to vote against him when they head to the polls in November.

  • Also interesting:

    Democratic candidate Terry McAuliffe is winning the early vote in the Virginia governor’s race, a new poll found.

    The survey, conducted by the Democratic firm Public Policy Polling for the League of Conservation Voters, a liberal environmental advocacy group, found McAuliffe taking 57 percent of early voters, compared with 39 percent for GOP Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli.

    That margin is similar to current GOP Gov. Bob McDonnell’s early vote leads in 2009: four years ago, according to figures from the state Board of Elections cited by PPP, he led among early voters by 18 points as well, 59 percent to 41 percent.

  • From the DPVA:

    Yesterday Ken Cuccinelli said he “didn’t know” how he would have voted on compromise legislation that ended the Tea Party shutdown, put Virginians back to work and avoided a disastrous default of the United States’ debt. Looking at his campaign schedule however, Virginians can get a pretty clear picture of where he stands.

    Instead of standing up to the extreme Tea Partiers who shut down the government, damaged Virginia’s economy and then voted against the bipartisan agreement to reopen the government and avoid default, Cuccinelli is welcoming their support of his campaign.

    The latest Republican to help Cuccinelli’s campaign after shutting down the government and then voting for continued furloughs and a debt default is Congressman Paul Ryan, who will do a conference call for Cuccinelli today at 5pm.

    “Virginians who were harmed by Paul Ryan’s Tea Party government shutdown deserve to know why, instead of condemning Ryan and his extreme Republican allies, Ken Cuccinelli is welcoming them to campaign for him in the final stretch,” said DPVA spokesman Brian Coy.

    “From his refusal to condemn the damaging Tea Party shutdown to his continued embrace of extremists who even voted against the deal to put people back to work and avoid default, Ken Cuccinelli is sending a clear message to Virginians that he would be a Tea Party Shutdown Governor, not a leader for mainstream families.”

  • FredFred

    2009:

    McDonnell over Deeds by 17.5 points

    Bolling over Wagner by 13 points

    Cuccinelli over Shannon by 15 points

    Accept my hypothesis for a moment that there aren’t enough ticket splitters if McAulliffe wins by 17 to avoid a D sweep, and that the end result is something closer to Terry M 54, Cuccinelli 40, Sarvis 6 as some of those Sarvis and undecided voters just don’t show up.

    Accept also that the Bill Clinton/Bloomberg GOTV effort is aimed at energizing the D base so that they get out statewide, and vote for the downticket races as well.

    What can we do to maximize the odds of a D wave sweeping a bunch of house of delegates candidates over the top?  Are there specific races where the district is say R+10 to R+15 where a landslide at the top of the ticket might have enough coattails if the Delegate candidate can get just a little bit more name recognition.  

  • The Richmonder

    If we do the work, we will win.  We must not be complacent or over-confident.  The coordinated campaign needs volunteers, so volunteer.

  • From the Democratic National Committee, referring to today’s call with Ken Cuccinelli and Paul Ryan at 5:15 pm (“You can call in and listen live to our discussion by dialing (888)-206-2266. An automated system will answer and prompt you to enter a passcode. The passcode is 6841791, followed by the pound (#) sign.”)

    With polls out today showing the only folks less popular than Ken Cuccinelli are Congressional Republicans, it’s odd that the Cuccinelli campaign would think bringing Congressman Paul Ryan to Virginia is the way to save his struggling campaign. But based on his track record of bringing shutdown supporters to Virginia like Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul maybe he just felt it wouldn’t be right to leave out Paul Ryan. If you’re planning to dial in to their conference call this evening, here are a few questions that are worth asking…

    Ken Cuccinelli:

    1.       Yesterday you said you didn’t know if you would have voted for the bipartisan deal to end the shutdown. Yet you’ve campaigned with Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and Rand Paul who orchestrated the shutdown and here you are with Paul Ryan who voted against the deal. Doesn’t this leave no doubt about how you would have voted?

    2.       Since you all seem interested in talking about health care – in your book you called Medicare “despicable, dishonest, and worthy of condemnation” – is it safe to say you support Congressman Ryan’s health care plan to turn Medicare into a voucher program?

    3.       Congressman Ryan and you are both ardent supporters of personhood bills – is that one of the reasons you are campaigning together and is that something the two of you would continue to work on?

    Paul Ryan:

    1.       Polls show Ken Cuccinelli’s support for the GOP shutdown has severely damaged his campaign for governor and the Republican brand, do you regret taking the country to the brink of default and furloughing tens of thousands of Virginians just to push your political agenda?

    2.       After you lost the 2012 election, the Republican Party said they were going to make efforts to rebrand the party and do outreach to – among other constituencies – women. Cuccinelli currently trails by 20 points with Virginia women, do you think he’s a good example of the rebrand we can expect for candidates in 2014 and 2016?

    3.       Do you stand by your plan to turn Medicare into a voucher program and is that what you think would work best for Virginia seniors?

  • From the McAuliffe campaign:

    Today Ken Cuccinelli again made another desperate attempt to reach out to his extreme Tea Party allies who forced the government shutdown and put thousands of Virginians out of work for weeks by holding a conference call with government shutdown supporter Paul Ryan.

    “Rather than standing by his Tea Party allies who drove the government shutdown and put Virginia’s economic well being in danger, Ken Cuccinelli should be standing up for Virginia,” said McAuliffe spokesperson Josh Schwerin. “Virginians of both parties continue to turn away from Cuccinelli’s extreme ideological agenda and have made it clear they prefer Terry McAuliffe’s mainstream vision for supporting Virginia’s economic growth.”

  • DCCyclone

    …but it’s great fun and fantastic material to troll Republicans.

    Huge response bias in the poll.  Which is a positive for us in itself because it indicates Republican voters are in hiding, not wanting to be found, let alone out and about helping persuade voters to vote for their candidate.

    But we’re not up 17.