Home 2016 elections Nearly 132,000 New Voters Registered in Virginia in October; Many in “Blue”...

Nearly 132,000 New Voters Registered in Virginia in October; Many in “Blue” Areas

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According to the Virginia State Board of Elections, October 2016 has been a busy month in terms of new voter registrations in the Commonwealth, with 131,657 new voters registered last month. Nice work by everyone involved in that effort, including the Clinton campaign, Gov. McAuliffe’s efforts to restore the voting rights of ex-felons, and of course the 90 for 90 folks (founded by Dr. William Ferguson “Fergie” Reid – first black member of the Virginia General Assembly and co-founder of the Richmond Crusade for Voters during the Civil Rights era). A few highlights from the statistics include:

  • The most new voters – 18,695 to be exact (14% of the total) – were registered in Fairfax County, which of course is a strongly Democratic-leaning jurisdiction and also Virginia’s largest jurisdiction, with nearly 1.2 million residents.
  • Other heavily “blue” jurisdictions which saw large increases in voter registration last month included: Prince William County (7,391), Arlington County (4,700), Richmond City (4,605), Norfolk City (3,796), Newport News City (3,144), Hampton City (3,001) and Alexandria City (2,792).
  • Loudoun County, which is a “purple”-trending-“blue” jurisdiction (went for Barack Obama in 2012 and Terry McAuliffe in 2013), had 5,130 new voter registrations in October.
  • Henrico County, also trending “blue” (went for both Barack Obama in 2012 and Terry McAuliffe in 2013) saw 4,693 new voters registered.
  • Chesterfield County, which is still a fairly “red” county but is changing to a “key battleground” (“While no Democratic presidential nominee has carried Chesterfield since President Harry Truman in 1948, the narrowed GOP margin in the state’s fourth-most-populous county is making it harder for Republicans to counter the Democrats’ advantage in the population centers of Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads.”), saw 5,683 new voters registered.
  • Virginia Beach City, which leans Republican – but not by a great deal – saw 6,989 new voters registered.
  • All told, of the top ten Virginia jurisdictions in terms of new voter registrations in October, five (Fairfax, Prince William, Arlington, Richmond City, Norfolk) are heavily “blue,” three (Loudoun, Henrico, Chesapeake City) are leaning “blue” or “purple,” and two (Chesterfield County and Virginia Beach) trend “red” (although not overwhelmingly by any means).

All in all, it looks like Virginia saw both a large number of new voters registered in October 2016 (for comparison purposes, it appears that around 110k voters were registered in October 2012), and also that many of these new voters were in “blue” or “purple”-trending-“blue” jurisdictions. That, in turn, could bode well for November 8, as long as those newly-registered voters turn out to vote, of course.

  • And on a related note…just got this from the Clinton campaign in Virginia…

    TO: Interested Parties
    FROM: Brian Zuzenak, Hillary for Virginia State Director
    DATE: November 1, 2016
    RE: State of the Race in Virginia

    With one week until Election Day, Hillary for Virginia and the Virginia Democratic Coordinated Campaign are working harder than ever to mobilize our support and prepare to turn out the vote for Hillary Clinton, Tim Kaine and Democrats up and down the ticket on November 8.

    With so much at stake in this election, we know we cannot take anything for granted. We are proud of the organization we have built and throughout this campaign we have seen Hillary’s message and vision resonate with voters across the Commonwealth.

    As Hillary said in the final debate, “It’s really up to all of us to demonstrate who we are and who our country is and to stand up and be very clear about what we expect from our next president, how we want to bring our country together, where we don’t want to have the kind of pitting of people one against the other, where instead we celebrate our diversity, we lift people up, and we make our country even greater. America is great because America is good.”

    Our Organization

    Our organizing strategy is rooted in a talented team of organizers deployed across the Commonwealth who have recruited and engaged thousands of dedicated volunteers to organize their neighborhoods and get out the vote for Hillary Clinton, Tim Kaine, and Democrats up and down the ballot. We have opened a total of 34 Democratic organizing offices in Virginia – hosting more than 1000 organizing events across the Commonwealth each week. We have also built an active digital organizing program that’s bolstered by our Hillary for Virginia social media accounts on Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, Snapchat and Medium.

    Hillary for Virginia and the Virginia Democratic Coordinated Campaign have organized on college and university campuses across the Commonwealth and held community organizing events at barber shops, in churches, at festivals, at sporting events, and at local shops and restaurants to reach a broad universe of eligible voters and share Hillary Clinton’s vision for an America that’s stronger together with an economy that works for everyone, not just those at the top. We also launched constituency organizing groups, including Women in Action, Latinos con Hillary, and AAPI Virginians for Hillary to help translate support for Hillary Clinton into action and volunteer shifts.

    These efforts have delivered tangible results:

    Nearly twice as many Asian American and nearly 50 percent more Hispanic voters in Virginia have requested ballots in this election compared to this time in 2012.
    More millennial voters in Virginia have requested ballots in this election than in 2012, with voters between the ages of 18 and 24 requesting ballots at a rate of 107.6 percent compared to 2012, and voters between the ages of 25 and 34 at 136 percent.
    And more Virginia women have requested ballots in this election, at a rate of 112.1 percent compared to 2012.

    To date, more than 40,900 volunteers in Virginia have taken part in this campaign, knocking on more than one million doors and making over 5.5 million phone calls to Virginia voters. Our recent Weekend of Action included more than 7,500 volunteer shifts across Virginia.

    Advertising

    For the final week of the election, we will be up on the air in Virginia and states across the country with ads that outline Virginians’ clear choice on Election Day between Hillary Clinton, who believes we are stronger together, versus Donald Trump, who has proven to lack the judgment and temperament to be Commander-in-Chief and cannot be trusted with the nuclear codes.

    Voter Registration

    As of October 1, there were nearly 5.5 million registered voters in Virginia, and we’re seeing above average registration numbers in cities that traditionally have strong support for Democrats, including Richmond, Norfolk, and Portsmouth.

    Absentee In-Person Voting

    More than 153,ooo Virginians have already voted absentee in-person and absentee in-person voting is up more than 25 percent across Virginia from 2012. In Hampton Roads, absentee in-person voting is up nearly 10 percent and in Northern Virginia, absentee in-person voting is up more than 47 percent from 2012.

    Absentee Ballot Requests

    Across the Commonwealth this year, we have already seen significant increases in absentee ballots requested, showing the enthusiasm from voters who want to have their voices heard in this historic election.

    Charlottesville absentee ballot requests are at 113.1 percent of what they were in 2012.
    City of Richmond absentee ballot requests are at 126.8 percent of what they were in 2012.
    Norfolk absentee ballot requests are at 100.7 percent of what they were in 2012.
    Virginia Beach absentee ballot requests are at 117.9 percent of what they were in 2012.

    We have seen particularly large increases in diverse and densely populated counties in Northern Virginia.

    Arlington County absentee ballot requests are at 134.2 percent of what they were in 2012.
    Fairfax County absentee ballot requests are at 137.8 percent of what they were in 2012.
    Loudoun County absentee ballot requests are at 153 percent of what they were in 2012.
    Prince William County absentee ballot requests are at 156.7 percent of what they were in 2012.

    Polls

    As we have said since the beginning, we fully anticipate poll numbers to shift and to tighten in the closing days of the election. While we are confident in our organization, we are taking nothing for granted. The only poll that matters is the one on Election Day, and our first-rate ground organization will make the difference in a close election.

    Conclusion

    As we head into the critical final week of the election and focus our efforts on Get Out The Vote (GOTV), we will need every ounce of the capacity we’ve been building for months. There is so much at stake, and that is why more people will vote in this election than any in history. We are confident our organization will deliver Virginia for Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine on November 8.