Friday, December 14, 2018
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The Lesson of Virginia 2017: It’s All About GOTV

The midterm elections are less than a month away,  and per Nate Cohn’s well-researched perspective, Democrats have a strong shot at taking the House,...

Final Q-Poll Pulls Back From Wild Outlier Status to Northam With...

Yeah, the last poll by Quinnipiac - Ralph Northam up 17 points would be amazing, but seriously? -  was a wild outlier, and its...

Two New Polls and One “Poll” Show Virginia Governor’s Race Neck...

According to RealClear Politics, there are three new polls out today of the Virginia governor's race: The Polling Company, Rasmussen Reports, and Roanoke College. I'm...

Blue Virginia 2017 Election Polls: Who Will Win and By How...

Predictions for VA 2017 Elections - Governor Predictions for VA 2017 Elections - LG Predictions for VA 2017 Elections - AG Predictions for VA 2017 Elections -...

And One More: Fox “News” Poll Has Northam Up 4 Points...

My confidence level in polls generally speaking isn't super high, and of course my confidence in anything related to Fox is close to zero....

Some of the Biggest Polling and Aggregator #FAILs – and a...

As it stands right now, it appears that Hillary Clinton will end up winning the popular vote for President over Donald Trump by at...

How Concerned About the Tightening of the Presidential Race Should We...

Over this weekend, I wrote to both of the two people I know who follow politics most closely, and whose opinions I respect. I...

A Win-Win Way for Bernie to Lead Now

Dear Bernie, There are some – such as you and some of your followers – who believe it is worthwhile for you to keep fighting...

Interpreting Bernie’s Optimistic Pre-NY-Primary Statements

Last night, Rachel Maddow was much intrigued by how Bernie Sanders has been high-balling his chances in today's New York primary. The general rule,...

As Trump Comes Closer to GOP Nomination, Prediction Markets Show Clinton...

I like these trends, courtesy of PredictWise prediction market...Hillary Clinton with a 70% chance (and rising) of becoming president, while Donald Trump has only...