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Video: On U.S. Senate Floor, Mark Warner Slams Voter Suppression Amid...

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Great stuff from Sen. Mark Warner: ON SENATE FLOOR, WARNER SLAMS VOTER SUPPRESSION AMID CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK, CALLS FOR NATIONAL VOTER PROTECTION STRATEGY ~ Senator warns of...

AG Mark Herring Files Brief Defending Safe Voting by Mail Against...

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From AG Mark Herring's office: Late yesterday, Attorney General Herring filed a brief defending safe voting by mail against attacks from conservative activists who are engaged in...

The One Good Thing About Evil (Another challenging message to the...

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This piece is running in newspapers in my very red congressional district (VA-06). ************************** Despite all the damage that “evil” does to the world, evil does...

Stacey Abrams Shows the Democrats How It’s Done

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I’ve been writing of late -- — e.g. here (“The Key Role of Public Opinion in the Gathering Trump War”)and here (“Making the Republicans Pay...

A Party of Cheaters

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This piece has appeared in newspapers in my very red District (VA-06). ************************* When I was a kid, I spent nearly every moment I could playing...

If You’d Believe That….! (A message to conservatives about...

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This piece has recently appeared in newspapers in my very red congressional district (VA-06). ********************* Two things preoccupy me these days: 1) the need for the...

Isn’t It “Conservative” to Care About American Norms?

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Before getting to the present piece, a word about a previous posting, i.e. the latest entry in my series, "A Better Human Story," which...

Friday News: “Donald Trump is not well”; “Understanding Republican Cruelty”; TMac...

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by Lowell Here are a few national and Virginia news headlines, political and otherwise, for Friday, June 30. A new report raises some big questions...

Rep. Donald McEachin on Executive Order on Election Integrity

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From Rep. Donald McEachin: RICHMOND – Congressman A. Donald McEachin (VA-04) issued this statement in response to the creation of the Presidential Commission on Election...

Do Anti-Obamacare Ads Increase Enrollment?

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Anti-ACA Ad Spending photo 140712anti-ACAadspending_zps2ac991b7.pngThough intended to serve at least two purposes, the $450 million spent on anti-Affordable Care Act (ACA) ads have failed their purpose(s) and may have unintentionally informed the uninsured that they have a path to healthcare coverage. The other intent, to support Republican candidates by inference, may also backfire.

The correlation of negative ad spending to enrollment is not direct and is affected by demographics, but research prepared by Brookings Institution fellow Niam Yaraghi provides some very interesting data. The chart for the television markets that encompass Virginia shows raw spending data from 2013 (national TV market map and data). This is not per capita data, so cannot be used for an accurate correlation, but it is informative. And Yaraghi does point out that the market where the highest per capita spending occurred, Washington, D.C., had the highest Obamacare enrollment rate, 11%.

In the states where more anti-ACA ads are aired, residents were on average more likely to believe that Congress will repeal the ACA in the near future. People who believe that subsidized health insurance may soon disappear could have a greater willingness to take advantage of this one time opportunity.

What is also clear from the spending data is that this advertising is aimed at assisting Republicans in states with the most competitive mid-term Senate races: Kentucky, Arkansas, Louisiana, and North Carolina. The aim is probably as much voter suppression as it is support for the Republican candidates. In Virginia, these ads may influence the outcome of two Congressional races (7th and 10th) more than the U.S. Senate race not only because Senator Warner has a nuanced position on the ACA but also because his opponent is a cold fish.