Q Poll: Obama 50%-Willard 42% in Virginia; Kaine 47%-Felix 44%


    For all you poll junkies, here’s a new one from Quinnipiac:

    President Barack Obama leads all the Republican presidential candidates in Virginia, with his 50 – 42 percent margin over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney his biggest lead over Romney in this election cycle, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

    Putting Gov. Bob McDonnell on the ticket as the GOP vice-presidential nominee does not help the Republicans carry the state

    …In Virginia’s U.S. Senate race, Democrat Tim Kaine has 47 percent to Republican George Allen’s 44 percent, too close to call.

    Three points. First, this is just the latest in a series of polls showing President Obama winning Virginia over Willard by an even greater margin than he beat John McCain in 2008 (6.3 points). Second, this is also the latest poll which pours cold water on Bob McDonnell’s prospective value for a Republican ticket with Willard, at least here in Virginia. Finally, there have now been probably half a dozen polls in the past few months that have shown President Obama performing better in Virginia vs. Willard than Tim Kaine’s doing vs. Felix. What is THAT all about? I’m baffled.

    P.S. Oh yeah, one more point that really goes without saying — if Obama wins Virginia, he wins the election easily. That’s a no brainer.

    • Elaine in Roanoke

      Most significant in polls this far out is the favorable-unfavorable rating. It is particularly significant that President Obama has a favorable rating above 50% and Willard has a dismal 36%. It takes a lot to move that rating. Good luck, Willard!

    • fishersvillemike

      It’s another poll with a higher percentage of Democrats than Republicans (31% to 26%). Get closer to partisan reality and it’s Allen up and Obama sweating.

    • kindler

      Why is Obama outperforming Kaine?  Here are a few guesses:

      – The Republican presidential candidates have all raised their negatives dramatically, but that hasn’t trickled down to GOP Congressional candidates yet.

      – Obama has been exciting voters; Kaine is liked but maybe not exciting people so much.

      – Short memories: for people who aren’t junkies like us, both Kaine and Allen are hazy memories.  (Macaca who?)

      – People have been paying attention to the presidential race but not to the other races yet.