Another Bad News Poll for Romney

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    The latest poll by CNN and ORC International has bad news for the Romney campaign. While national polls this far out can always change, this one spells trouble for Willard because of his favorable/unfavorable ratings, which are less subject to change. The poll gives President Obama a 52% to 45% lead over Romney.

    Among independents, a group Romney has to win to get to the White House, the President leads 53% to 42%. This particular poll even shows a lead for Obama among men, along with a huge lead among women, that well-known “gender gap.”

    While Romney’s favorable rating has stayed stable, his unfavorable has increased, jumping from 42% in July to 48% now. The president’s 56%-42% favorable-unfavorable rating has not changed. While only 40% of independents viewed Romney unfavorably in May, now 52% have an unfavorable view of him. The poll found that 64% of all Americans, and 68% of independents think Romney favors the rich over the middle class. Also, 63% think Romney should release more tax returns than he has already made public. The poll contacted 1,010 adults nationwide, including 911 registered voters, by telephone. The sampling error is plus or minus 3%.

    While things are looking better for the election, don’t forget that there is still a flood of right-wing money ready to continue to inundate the airwaves with negative advertising. Plus, we can’t count on Willard continuing to be as inept as he was on his failure of a foreign adventure. Our best hope is to keep strengthening our ground game.  

    • See here, and enjoy! 🙂

      Mitt Romney has had a tough couple of weeks on the campaign trail — and it shows in the latest Fox News poll. After a barrage of campaign ads, negative news coverage of his overseas trip and ongoing talk about his tax returns, Romney’s favorable rating and standing in the trial ballot have declined. As a result, President Obama has opened his biggest lead since Romney became the presumptive Republican nominee.

      The president would take 49 percent of the vote compared to Romney’s 40 percent in a head-to-head matchup if the election were held today, the poll found. Last month, Obama had a four percentage-point edge of 45 percent to 41 percent. This marks the second time this year the president has had a lead outside the poll’s margin of sampling error.

      Obama’s advantage comes largely from increased support among independents, who now pick him over Romney by 11 percentage points. Some 30 percent of independents are undecided. Last month, Obama had a four-point edge among independents, while Romney had the advantage from April through early June.

      There was also an uptick in support for Obama among women, blacks and Democrats.

    • richmonder

      Yes, the macro-numbers look okay for Obama, but I worry about the right-wing money coming into states like Virginia and swaying voters with attack ads. The Kaine campaign says it’s being outspent 6:1 and I’m sure that’s about right. Virginians are vulnerable to this kind of free-wheeling spending and it’s not right. Most of Kaine’s funds comes from within the state. Most of Allen’s does not. It’s at the state level that we’re likely to see this election bought by the GOP.  

    • richmonder

      The Washington Post carried a page one story today that said Sherrod Brown in Ohio is being outspent 5:1 by his GOP opponent (& friends)with much out of state funding. Similar to Kaine’s situation, except that Brown’s margins are strong and even widening a little according to recent polls.