Home 2013 races Virginia Election Results 2013: Live Blog

Virginia Election Results 2013: Live Blog


It’s 7 pm, and polls are now closed in Virginia. In this live blog of the election returns, I’ll primarily be checking the State Board of Elections website (assuming it doesn’t crash, as it so often does on election nights in Virginia), VPAP and the Fairfax County Board of Elections site. Feel free to use the comments section of this post to report what you’re hearing. Later tonight, I hope to head over to the Democratic victory party, where hopefully we’ll have a lot to celebrate!

P.S. I’m at the Sheraton in Tysons Corner, where the Democratic “Victory Party” is being held. We’ll see if I have a chance to actually celebrate a bit, or if the races aren’t called for hours…

UPDATE 6:28 am: With 2555/2558 precincts counted, it’s Terry McAuliffe 1,064,016 (47.75%)-Ken Cuccinelli 1,008,596 (45.27%). That’s a 2.5 percentage point victory, which is several points under what the polling average indicated heading into election day. What happened? Also, Ralph Northam won by 11 points (55%-44%),which is solid but below what many of us thought the victory margin would be. Sure, “a win’s a win” and all that, but the margins at the TOP of the ballot adversely affected a bunch of races for House of Delegates. Ugh.

UPDATE 11:54 pm: Mark Obenshain now leads Mark Herring by just over 7,000 votes (0.35%), with 7 precincts remaining to be counted.  Sounds like we’re talking about a recount here. Stay tuned. On the House of Delegates front, there’s really not a lot of good news for Democrats, with several close races apparently being eked out by Republicans (e.g., Bob Marshall over Atif Qarni, David Yancey over Robert Farniholt, David Ramadan apparently edging out John Bell, Tom Rust over Jennifer Boysko by the skin of his teeth, Barbara Comstock barely beating Kathleen Murphy, Tag Greason edging out Elizabeth Miller, Scott Lingamfelter squeaking by Jeremy McPike, and “Sideshow Bob” Marshall beating Atif Qarni by just 3 points. It leaves me wondering what would have happened to all these candidates if Terry McAuliffe had beaten Ken Cuccinelli by the margin all the polls were saying he’d win by – 6 points, 7 points, something like that. My guess is that a bunch of these Dems would have won. Sigh…

UPDATE 9:35 pm: Terry McAuliffe has FINALLY taken the lead over Ken Cuccinelli, 46.71%-46.31% (7,520 votes) with 2311/2541 precincts counted. Mark Herring is within 38,000 votes of Mark Obenshain (51%-49%). We’re sooooo close to a sweep I can practically taste it. So close, but yet so far? We’ll see soon enough.

UPDATE 9:30 pm: Of all networks, freakin’ FOX just called it for Terry McAuliffe! LOL. In the actual numbers, McAuliffe’s behind by 400 votes, but there are a lot more votes outstanding in Fairfax, Norfolk, Portsmouth, Richmond, and Prince William. Congratulations to our next Governor, Terry McAuliffe! 🙂

UPDATE 9:26 pm: In the HoD races, watch the Boysko-Rust race; that one looks like a possible pickup in the making. Also, John Bell is VERY close to knocking off the horrendous David Ramadan, and Monty Mason is leading Mike Watson. Finally, Rob Farinholt could beat David Yancey…very close! Oh, and Michael Futrell could very well knock off Mark Dudenhefer, and Mary Daniel could very well beat Tea Partier Dave LaRock.

UPDATE 9:23 pm: I’m livid with my blog hosting company right now, but let’s put that aside for the moment. Cuccinelli’s leading by about 9,000 votes with 85% counted, but with more than enough outstanding “blue” area votes for Terry to pull it out. The problem is the House of Delegates and Attorney General’s race. We’ll see, but I’m not pleased right now.

UPDATE 9:06 pm: ‏@MysteryPollster tweets: “Our count model for VA now estimates McAuliffe +1.3%, may slightly understate his % (see prev tweets)”

UPDATE 9:02 pm: With 80% of the precincts in, it’s now Cuccinelli 47%-McAuliffe 46%. Wow.

UPDATE 8:56 pm: OK, so that was fun – Soapblox crashed BOTH Blue Virginia AND Blue Jersey in the middle of an election. Great, huh? Anyway, with 1883/2541 (74%) of precincts reporting, it’s now Cuccinelli 718,015 (47.35%)-McAuliffe 688,743 (45.42%)- Sarvis 105,187 (6.9%). Still a LOT of precincts outstanding in some blue areas like Fairfax County, Norfolk City, Newport News, Charlottesville and Roanoke City.

UPDATE 8:23 pm: With 1411/2541 (55% of precincts) reporting, it’s Cuccinelli 524,486 (49.1%)-McAuliffe 467,157 (43.7%)-Sarvis 74,486 (7.0%).

UPDATE 8:16 pm: With 1155/2541 reporting, it’s Cuccinelli 424,830 (50.2%)-McAuliffe 361,776 (42.7%)-Sarvis 59,877 (7.1%).

UPDATE 8:14 pm: ‏@chucktodd tweets, “New NBC News VA GOV projection: now “too close to call”; no longer saying McAuliffe is ‘leading.'” Hmmmm…not sure what that’s all about exactly.

UPDATE 8:12 pm: @chucktodd tweets, “NBC News officially projects Northam in the VA LG race.” Congratulations to Virginia’s next Lt. Governor Ralph Northam!!!

UPDATE 8:03 pm: With 920/2541 precincts reporting, it’s Cuccinelli 50.8%-McAuliffe 41.9%-Sarvis 7.0%. Cuccinelli only at 49.6% in “red” Chesterfield, which is not good news for him. Also, it looks to me like when Fairfax comes in, that ALONE should put Terry into the lead. That’s not even counting deep blue areas like Richmond City, Newport News, Norfolk, Arlington, Charlottesville, Roanoke, etc.

UPDATE 7:58 pm: With 802/2541 precincts reporting, it’s Cuccinelli 51.2%-McAuliffe 41.7%-Sarvis 7.1%. As usual in Virginia, it takes seemingly forever for the “blue” areas to really start pouring in, so stay patient. Also, in the LG race, it’s Jackson 50.4%-Northam 49.4%. In the AG race, it’s Obenshain 56.6%-Herring 43.3%.

UPDATE 7:52 pm: With 507/2541 precincts reporting, it’s Cuccinelli 52.5%-McAuliffe 40.1%-Sarvis 7.4%. Only 13/239 precincts reporting from Fairfax County, only 4/66 precincts reporting from Richmond City, etc. So again, these results don’t mean much.

UPDATE 7:42 pm: For what it’s worth, with 366/2541 precincts reporting, it’s Cuccinelli 54.65%-McAuliffe 37.17%-Sarvis 7.88%. These early returns are basically meaningless, as they include little or nothing from places like Fairfax, Prince William, Loudoun, Arlington, Richmond City, etc.

UPDATE 7:34 pm: @PeterHambyCNN tweets: “VA GOP Chairman Pat Mullins unloading Democrats for  ‘nastiest’ campaign, relying on outside money and abortion politics.” In other words, somebody call the waaaaambulance for poor Pat Mullins! LOL

UPDATE 7:31 pm: @KentonNgo tweets: “One precinct telling a story: Hanover County, Pebble Creek. Cuccinelli running 11 points behind McDonnell 09.” Also, @scontorno tweets: “#Vagov exit polls from @nytimes puts Cuccinelli and McAuliffe even with men but McAuliffe +26 among even. Just an astounding gap.”

UPDATE 7:20 pm:  ‏@chucktodd tweets: “3rd wave exit poll data coming in for VA, no big changes though Obama job rating now at 48 instead of 46. Translation: More Dem late voters” Also, NBC says that “Virginia looks more like 2012 than 2009.”

UPDATE 7:08 pm: CNN’s exit poll has Cuccinelli winning white voters 53%-38%, McAuliffe winning African Americans 92%-7%. Overall, CNN’s exit poll has it McAuliffe 50%, Cuccinelli 43%, Sarvis 7%.  Also, apparently women broke for McAuliffe over Cuccinelli 53%-39%. McAuliffe wins moderates 57%-31%.

UPDATE 7:01 pm: Chuck Todd just said that Terry McAuliffe is leading in exit polls, but it’s still too early to call the race. NBC News also reports that it’s McAuliffe’s anti-Cuccinelli message which resonated.

  • teacherken

    and it looks likely to be at worst case a 6 point margin in the Governor’s race, and could be as much as 8 or maybe even 9.  I presume AG margin will be 5 points less than Governor’s race, so it may be a long time until it is called, but I am feeling a bit more comfortable.

  • benuski

    22 precincts in so far. Boyd Marcus said on Twitter today that Cucinelli needs to win by 16k to have a chance at winning.


  • totallynext

    1 precinct reported in Hanover- and there tally says 57 precincts have reported @ 2.5%

  • IBelieveInHenryHowell

    Here’s the link to the Huffington Post real time map:


    Jumping back and forth!

    Go Dems!!

  • totallynext

    Herring is actually carrying a pretty good lead.

  • teacherken

    Cooch is at least 8 and sometimes as much as 15% behind McDonnell.  It seems like the average is about 10%.  Of course, a chunk of that is because of the libertarian

    precinct            cooch      McDonnell

    ashton Heights      18.93%     26.72

    Ballston            25.74      34.53

    Crystal City        28.59      44.07

    Glen Carlyn         20.37      29.54  

    Clarendon           24.44      36.48

    Rosslyn             20.44      33.46

    Oak Ridge           31.12      43.28  

    Rock Spring         28.09      38.16    

    Woodbury            23.48      35.86

    Shirlington         19.74      35.80    

    Monroe              19.38      33.45

  • sallybee

    …only Radford and Westmoreland County have voted for the winner.  In Radford with 3 of 4 precincts reporting, McAuliffe has a 200 vote lead there.

  • benuski

    I mean, we knew this, but woo!

  • totallynext
  • unstablefan

    Chuck Todd ‏@chucktodd 9m

    So far, our various vote models do not all point in same direction, hence change in VA GOV to “too close”

  • Dan Sullivan

    And the HoD is a disaster.

  • TBill

    …is this true?  WTOP has not said this…9:30PM

  • kindler

    …between the opinion polls and exit polls vs. current results not making a lot of sense right now…

  • Ingrid
  • kindler

    …declaring Terry McAuliffe the next governor of Virginia!

  • FreeDem

    Daniel is not winning, her lead is entirely because of a mis-reported precinct in Loudoun giving her a 4,000 or so vote lead in a precinct where there are no more than 1,000 voters in the Governor’s race.

    Democratic disaster in the House of Delegates. Time for Toscano to step down as leader.

  • ir003436

    As we Virginians know, our governor is elected for a single 4-yr term, which means  T. Mc. can’t succeed himself . . . one and done.

    If Mark Obenshain (R) wins the AG slot, he will spend the next four years setting himself up to be the 2017 GOP gubernatorial candidate by appealing to the wackadoodle Tea Party and GOP base.  He’s just as likely as Cooch to sue the federal government; beat up women, gays, and minorities; cater to corporations; and generally spend the next four years acting like Cooch, Jr.

    Question:  What authority does the governor have to keep the AG in line?

    If I were T. Mc,, one day one of my administration, I’d call in my new AG Obenshain and tell him the minute he pulls any of his Cuccinelli act, I’ll cut his nuts off.  He works for me and he’d better not forget it.

    Can the governor do that and make it stick?

  • ir003436

    This is of little consequence but, damn, it makes me feel good.

    I’m in VA HOD 99 “represented” by Margarte Ransone, a Republican who takes seriously her description as a part-time delegate.

    A few of us decided it would be worth the effort to write in Albert Pollard . . . he held the seat for a few terms until he retired to take care of family and business.  We called the Democratic parties in HOD 99 and asked them to ask their members to write in Albert.  We even distributed sample ballots with Albert written in. Albert told us a write-in campaign was fine with him . . . as long as he didn’t get 51% !!!!

    Results from HOD 99 show Ransone with 94% and “write-in” with 6%.

    Now, I don’t know who comprises that 6% but I suspect Albert is most of them.

    As I say, this is not of any real consequence, but, what the hell!!!!  Six percent is six percent!!!  Not bad for a word-of-mouth campaign that was started four weeks before the election and that cost $0.00.

  • Will Radle

    Did Delegate Thomas Davis Rust lose by 10 votes tonight?

  • kindler

    Murphy 500 votes down with one precinct still out.  

  • totallynext

    and Fairfax County has not reported their absentee yet?

  • normanva

    The times-dispatch site and msnbc show herring less than 1000 votes behind with 1% left.  Is there enough out to pull ahead? Anyone know.

  • reasonoverfaith

    The AG race is 778 vote difference.  Not over 7k.

  • reasonoverfaith

    To put it simply:  Turn out and split tickets.  Last year,m 1.9 million people in Va.  voted for Obama.  Over 1.3 voted for Kaine.  Look at Northam.  He pulled in over 150k more votes than T-Mac.  How is that possible. Look at the vote margins in counties Northam carried but T-Mac did not.  The Coocoo’s numbers are about the same, yet Northam pulled in more votes vs. Terry.  What you had was split ticket voting, people not showing up to the polls, and some not even voting for T-Mac, but voted for Northam.  If those same 150k voted for him at all, he would have had a 10% margin of victory.  THAT is where you had your losses in the house and looks like the AG will barely be lost for Herring too.  It is the lack of Dems not coming out like they did last year.  People need to get off their butts and vote.  THAT will be a problem next year, coupled with the new Voter ID law being kicked in.  If people stay home, this state loses.  

  • Cville2DC

    These results just look wacky.  For example, Fairfax and Henrico were pretty much the same in the Northam-Jackson race (rather than Fairfax being its typical few points more Democratic).  There is also Fauquier posting a 2012-like spread between the D and R when there was a 10 point statewide spread in the D’s factor (more than double the 2012 spread).  Another weird one is Northam winning Chesterfield but losing Fluvanna.  Fluvanna voted for Kaine and Perriello (in 08).  It was pretty much split (49/50) in ’08 when Obama won 53% statewide, yet Northam is at 47 there when he won statewide with 55%.  Greene County looks more like it did in 2004 whereas Albemarle looks more like it did in 2008.

    The divide between the rural and suburban/urban areas in Virginia seems to have been wider in this election.  Perhaps it’s due to turnout and growth patterns combined with the social issues.  

  • reasonoverfaith

    Looks like they are going to count the Absentee/Provisional ballots in NewPort News.  Norfolk is all in.  The Yorkshire district in Prince William has not posted anything yet.  I do not think it will change much. It may narrow O’s small lead.  This will be a recount. Remember, the felon McDonnel won the AG race in 2005 by 311 votes after a recount.

  • **As Prepared For Delivery**

    MCAULIFFE: Over the past months, I’ve started speeches thanking a lot of political figures.

    But I’m so glad that tonight the person introducing me is my best friend and my wife, Dorothy. Just a few weeks ago we celebrated our 25th wedding anniversary.

    When we decided to do this campaign, we decided together because we understood that it was a journey we’d be taking together.

    And Dorothy, I could not be happier to have you at my side.

    And our five kids have been involved in this campaign from Day 1: Dori, Jack, Mary, Sally, and Peter.

    All seven of us are so incredibly grateful to the most amazing volunteers and team leaders ever assembled on a Governor’s race. During this campaign, you knocked on over 2 million doors ­ a number that you still have to pause for a second just to comprehend.

    The truth is that I got a lot of my energy from seeing you all work so hard. When I came to a canvass kickoff or phone bank and saw so many of you, it fired me up.  It kept me going 100% during 16 hour days.

    I know you all gave up time with family because you believed this election was that important. Thank you so much and please give yourselves and enormous round of applause.

    And thank you to my extraordinary campaign staff ­ particularly the field team who consistently set new records for Virginia politics.

    And I want to thank the historic number of Republicans who crossed party lines to support me. You were powerful voices for our mainstream campaign.

    Most importantly, I want to thank the voters of Virginia for your support – from Lee County to Virginia Beach to Winchester. Thank you!

    Look, I know this has been a very hard fought race. Part of that was the nature of politics and part of it was that the Attorney General and I had very big differences on a lot of issues.

    I think every single person in Virginia is glad the TV ads are over.

    And I know passions are high but I think its important to recognize that while the Attorney General and I had a lot of differences, he is a principled man who has sacrificed an enormous amount during this campaign especially time with his family. I thank Ken Cuccinelli for his service and his dedication.

    Virginia and America have seen contentious races before ­ and every time, we end up coming together to pursue the common good.

    One particularly famous Virginian confronted a bitterly divided electorate after the Presidential election of 1800.

    But instead of relishing his victory or governing only for his supporters, Thomas Jefferson devoted much of his first inaugural address to bridging partisan divides.

    He said: “But every difference of opinion is not a difference of principle. We have called by different names brethren of the same principle.”

    Two hundred and thirteen years later, the truth is that our differences of opinion are still often not a difference of principle or goal.

    Over the next four years, most Democrats and Republicans want to make Virginia:

    ·      A model for pragmatic leadership that is friendly to job creation.

    ·      A model for strong schools that prepare students for jobs of tomorrow.

    ·      A model for welcoming the best and the brightest scientists and innovators no matter your race, gender, religion or whom you love.

    ·      And a model for an efficient transportation system that reduces gridlock for families and business.

    But all of that is only possible if Virginia is also the model for bipartisan cooperation.  That’s a view that I share with the next Lieutenant Governor of Virginia Ralph Northam. And the next Attorney General of Virginia, Mark Herring!

    While there are a lot of proud Democrats here, we’re all particularly proud to welcome the Republicans who joined us tonight.

    The truth is that this election was never a choice between Democrats and Republicans ­ it was a choice about whether Virginia would continue the mainstream, bipartisan tradition that has served us so well over the past decade.

    At a time when Washington was often broken, just think about what Virginia has accomplished by working together:

    Under Governor Mark Warner, we preserved our Triple-A bond rating and made the single largest investment in K-12 education in Virginia history.

    Under Governor Tim Kaine, we were honored as the “Best Managed State” and “the Best State to Do Business” as he prudently guided Virginia through the Great Recession.

    Under Governor Bob McDonnell, our unemployment is one of the lowest on the East Coast and we passed the first transportation funding compromise in 27 years with bipartisan support­ an accomplishment that simply cannot be overstated.

    Now, during the next four years, it will be my obligation and honor to continue that tradition.  And to get started, over the next three months, I am going to work hard to reach out to every Republican in the General Assembly. I want to listen and work with them to advance our shared goals.

    The economic challenges facing Virginia are daunting: Sequestration for another year and even more federal budget cuts on the horizon.

    But for those of you who know me well, I believe that a daunting challenge is always a great opportunity.

    Working together, we will protect the jobs we have but also diversify our economy.

    First, is workforce training. For me, the best part of this campaign was visiting all 23 community colleges. You meet people of all ages who are gaining new skills for a new economy ­ and finding opportunity that simply wouldn’t exist otherwise.  

    They are our true engines of workforce development but we’ve reduced funding and created unnecessary red tape for local colleges.

    Second, the passage of the funding bill is only the first step in addressing the critical transportation problems we face in Virginia. Over the next four years, we have to prove to taxpayers that we can spend their money effectively and efficiently to reduce congestion and create economic activity.

    And, in the coming months we face a critical moment on Medicaid expansion.

    It was perhaps the clearest issue that voters had a choice on during this election.

    But, again it wasn’t really a partisan choice. Instead, a bipartisan coalition of Democrats and Republicans, business groups and hospitals have said that we need to accept the Medicaid expansion­ to bring Virginia’s taxpayer money back to Virginia.

    Throughout this campaign, I have listened to the concerns of Republican friends; that’s why I am committed to finding consensus on how to both reform and expand Medicaid.

    And whether its education, transportation or healthcare, it is absolutely critical that we move forward in a way that is fiscally responsible. Virginia has a national reputation for strong fiscal management and that’s something I’m deeply committed to sustaining.

    Finally, I wanted to say something specifically to the hundreds of thousands of Virginians who supported my opponents. And thousands of you didn’t just vote – you volunteered for Mr. Cuccinelli or Mr. Sarvis. I’ve been involved in a lot of campaigns that didn’t succeed ­ including when I ran for Governor in 2009.

    I understand emotions are raw. I’ve been there. I get it.

    So while I promise you tonight that I will be Governor for all Virginians, the real test is my actions when I take office. I expect you to hold me to my pledge to work with both sides.

    And I hope that once we have started to make bipartisan progress on critical issues like jobs and education, that I can earn your trust.

    Virginia ­ thank you for the honor of electing me to serve as your 72nd governor.

  • fendertweed

    McAuliffe = just a horrible candidate.  Horrible, horrible, horrible, I still taste the little bit of vomit in my mouth from when I voted for the oily huckster.

    I expect nothing from him or his administration, to be honest.  He will be unable to govern IMO, he has no mandate, no experience, and no hold on peoples’ hearts, minds, or anything else other than the fear of American Taliban types like the Republican Three Stooges.

    The entire process from pre-nomination to election was a disgrace for both parties IMO.