Home 2017 Races New Poll: Perriello 26%-Northam 26%; Gillespie 38%-Stewart 11%; Platt Leads Dem Race...

New Poll: Perriello 26%-Northam 26%; Gillespie 38%-Stewart 11%; Platt Leads Dem Race for LG

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From the Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University.

  • “Former Congressman Tom Perriello is tied at 26% with Lieutenant Governor Ralph Northam in the Democratic primary for governor…with just under half (45%) saying they are undecided.”
  • “Clinton voters favor Northam (34%) over Perriello (25%). But Sanders voters back Perriello (32%) over Northam (21%).”
  • “Northam’s strength lies with voters in his home region of Hampton Roads (33%), while Perriello’s strength lies with voters in the Richmond-central (33%) and South/Southwest (43%) regions.”
  • “Perriello also overperforms his statewide margin among voters younger than 45 (37%) and self-identified liberals (30%). Significantly, both candidates underperform in Northern Virginia, but Perriello’s showing is particularly weak in that Democratic-leaning region.”
  • “African-American voters, a crucial bloc in the Democratic coalition, are evenly divided between Northam (22%) and Perriello (24%).”
  • “Former Republican National Committee Chairman Ed Gillespie has a commanding lead (38%) in the Republican primary for governor…compared to 11% for Prince William County Chairman Corey Stewart and 10% for Virginia Beach state Senator Frank Wagner. More than a third of Republicans (38%) are undecided.”
  • “The 2016 party divisions persist. Sanders voters prefer ‘insurgent’ Perriello; Clinton voters prefer ‘establishment’ favorite Northam. ‘Establishment’ candidate Gillespie underperforms among Trump voters.”
  • Corey Stewart likes to claim he was Trump before Trump was Trump, yet he’s only at 11% among Trump voters, compared to 32% for “Establishment Ed” Gillespie.
  • “Susan Platt, former chief of staff to Senator Joe Biden, leads the Democratic field for lieutenant governor, with most voters undecided.” Platt has 20%, Justin Fairfax has 11% and Gene Rossi has 6%.
  • Platt leads 23%-9% over Fairfax (and 7% for Gene Rossi) among female voters. Platt also leads Fairfax among African-American Voters, by a 28%-8% margin. Fairfax does relatively well in Northern Virginia (14%-9% lead over Platt) and white voters (15%-12% lead for Platt), with large majorities undecided.
  • “State Senator Jill Vogel leads the field for the Republican nomination for lieutenant governor, but a majority of voters are undecided.” Vogel is at 17%, followed by Del. Glenn Davis (13%) and Sen. Bryce Reeves (10%).
  • Large percentages of voters still say they have “no opinion” of the candidates: 75% for Frank Wagner, 71% for Corey Stewart and Ralph Northam, 69% for Tom Perriello, 58% for Ed Gillespie. Kind of amazing, considering that Northam is the Lt. Governor of Virginia and Ed Gillespie almost defeated Sen. Mark Warner after running statewide (and spending a ton of money getting his name out there) in 2014. People really don’t pay attention to Virginia politics, it’s amazing…
  • “President Donald Trump’s approval rating among Virginia voters is 37%, with 59% disapproving of the job he is doing as president.”
  • RELEASE: Ralph Northam Submits 30,170 Signatures To Qualify For Ballot Access

    Richmond, VA – Today, Lieutenant Governor Northam’s campaign submitted 30,170 petition signatures to qualify for ballot access for this year’s gubernatorial race. The number is 20,000 signatures more than the required total. The Northam campaign was the first Democratic campaign to submit its signatures, and will appear first on June’s primary ballot.

    Campaign Manager Brad Komar said of the submission:

    “Ralph Northam’s message of taking on the NRA, defending a woman’s right to choose, and creating economic opportunity for all Virginians is resonating across the Commonwealth.

    Submitting more than 30,000 signatures far exceeded our expectations and is a clear indication of grassroots support for Lieutenant Governor Northam’s candidacy. With thousands turning up at our campaign events, and more than 34,000 contributions, 94% of which are $100 or less, as of the last quarter, we are in a strong position heading into April.”

  • More from CNU’s Wason Center poll:

    Poll: 70% of Virginia voters want special prosecutor to investigate Trump campaign contacts with Russians

    NEWPORT NEWS, Va. – Seven out of 10 Virginia voters say an independent special prosecutor should be appointed to investigate connections between Russians and associates of Donald Trump’s campaign for president, according to a survey by the Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University. Just 26 percent said Congress is capable of handling the investigation.

    Asked whether they were concerned about reports that people associated with the Trump campaign had contact with suspected Russian operatives, 60 percent said they were very concerned or somewhat concerned; 39 percent said they were not too concerned or not concerned at all.

    “Given this very high level of concern among Virginia voters, Senator Mark Warner is on to something when he says the Senate Intelligence Committee’s investigation into these Russian connections is the most important work of his career,” said Dr. Quentin Kidd, director of the Wason Center. “But voters want even more – they want an independent special prosecutor.”

    The questions (below) were an addition to a poll of voters’ preferences between candidates in this year’s gubernatorial election. The results are based on 831 interviews of registered Virginia voters, including 414 on landline and 417 on cell phone, conducted March 16-26. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 % at the 95% level of confidence. Percentages may not equal 100 due to rounding.