Home 2017 Races “Astonishing: VA House of Delegates Republicans now control ZERO majority-minority seats”

“Astonishing: VA House of Delegates Republicans now control ZERO majority-minority seats”

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The following is from the brilliant Kenton Ngo, one of the original Virginia Democratic/progressive political bloggers, now with the Progressive Change Campaign Committee (PCCC). Fascinating chart and analysis, huh? And we wonder why Republicans are so hell-bent on suppressing the votes of minorities? Hmmmm…gee. – Lowell

Astonishing: VA House of Delegates Republicans now control ZERO majority-minority seats, and only one majority-college seat (HD40 Hugo, leading by 0.38%). Pickups = coalition of college-educated whites + minority voters.

And the two outlier pickups? HD12 (Hurst) has Virginia Tech — white college students don’t have degrees, but vote Dem. And HD02 is a unique district that combines Stafford County whites with Prince William County blacks — black voters of all education levels are solid Dem.

Anyone in the GOP Wedge of Doom on this chart — significant presence of college-educated whites and/or minorities — is quaking in their boots.

College-educated whites, stunned by Trump, are finally voting for Democratic delegates alongside nonwhite voters (who have been reliably Democratic) all the way down the ticket instead of splitting.

  • Is this saying that primarily non-college educated whites still vote Republican? :/

  • Anthony Shifflett

    Yep. If Trump stays in office until 2021, there won’t be any Republicans left on the ground here in Northern Virginia.

  • notjohnsmosby

    It’s a political version of the coffin corner – literally in this case.

  • MAGA

    Just another crap hole to avoid

  • Kenneth Ferland

    You can also use this graph to target the next ~20 Republican held seats that are on the edges of their current holdings. In 2019 we will likely need to place some defense in the new pickups but should continue to invest heavily in new flips particularly where our challenger is willing to try again.