Even with Rep. Denver Riggleman (R-VA05) as the incumbent running for reelection, Virginia’s 5th Congressional District wasn’t a “slam dunk” for Republicans to hold in November. Yes, VA05 was won by Trump in 2016 by 14 points, and by Corey Stewart in 2018 by 2 points. But…it also only went for Riggleman by 6.5 points (over Democrat Leslie Cockburn) in 2018, and now, check *this* out:
Virginia’s Fifth Congressional District may have new representation once again in Washington, DC next year. GOP Congressman Denver Riggleman was defeated in the party convention over the weekend, and he lost by 16 points to conservative challenger Bob Good. Now this shake-up is creating uncertainty in this year’s elections.
“Everything’s on the table,” said Rep. Denver Riggleman (R-VA) during an interview over Zoom with DC Correspondent Alana Austin. Riggleman says he’s not ruling out filing a legal challenge, or running as a third-party candidate.
“The Republican Party is broken, and someone like me needs to fix it, and I think the fear of me being in there is really what sort of precipitated this whole thing is that I’m not a politician like these people, and I scare the hell out of them,” said Riggleman.
Also note:
“It is not yet clear Good will actually be listed on the ballot in November. That’s because his campaign missed a filing deadline by three days, which Good says was due to a misunderstanding. It’s up to the State Board of Elections what happens, and the decision is supposed to be made at its July 7 meeting.”
So…how about the Republican VA05 nominee (Bob Good) being forced to run a write-in campaign, while the incumbent Republican Congressman (Denver Riggleman) runs as a third-party, independent conservative candidate? If that happens, one would have to think that this Trump district, which has already moved from “Likely Republican” to “Leans Republican” in many political analysts’ ratings, would then move towards “Toss-up” or even “Leans Democratic.” And with, essentially, two Republicans running against one of these fine Democrats, things could get verrrry interesting on November 3rd! Stay tuned…