Home 2021 Elections FINALLY…A New Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary Poll: McAuliffe 42%-McClellan 8%-Carroll Foy 8%-Fairfax...

FINALLY…A New Virginia Democratic Gubernatorial Primary Poll: McAuliffe 42%-McClellan 8%-Carroll Foy 8%-Fairfax 7%-Carter 4%

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It’s been two months since the latest public poll (see here for that one) in the Virginia Democratic gubernatorial primary contest. And now, with early voting starting on April 23…a drumroll please, because we actually have a new public poll, by Public Policy Polling, which is A- rated by FiveThirtyEight.com. With that, here are the topline results:

  1. Terry McAuliffe: 42%
  2. Undecided: 29%
  3. Jennifer McClellan: 8%
  4. Jennifer Carroll Foy: 8%
  5. Justin Fairfax: 7%
  6. Lee Carter: 4%

A few more details?

  • “PPP interviewed 526 likely Democratic primary voters on April 12th and 13th and the margin of error is +/-4.3%.”
  • McAuliffe’s lead is pretty broad across different demographic groups. He leads with 45% among African Americans and 42% with white voters as well. He has commanding leads in each of the state’s major media markets as well, coming in at 49% in Norfolk, 42% in Washington, and 37% in both Richmond and Roanoke.”
  • McAuliffe has 68% name recognition and is seen positively by 59% of primary voters to only 9% who have a negative view of him. Fairfax is the next best known candidate with 51% name recognition but feelings about him are considerably more evenly divided with 26% seeing him favorably and 25% unfavorably. None of the sitting legislators running are very well known yet. McClellan has 28% name recognition, Foy’s is 23%, and Carter’s is 16%.”
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