Take all these ratings with a huge grain of salt, but for what they’re worth…here are the latest from the Cook Political Report and The Economist. As you can see, the modelers basically agree that the only two competitive U.S. House races in Virginia this cycle are VA02 (Rep. Elaine Luria vs. Republican Jen Kiggans) and VA07 (Rep. Abigail Spanberger vs. Republican Yesli Vega), with Cook rating VA02 as “tossup” and VA07 as “Lean Democratic”; and The Economist giving Rep. Spanberger an 89% chance of winning and Rep. Luria a 51% chance of winning. Let’s do everything we can to help both of those Congresswomen to victory in 48 days!
P.S. The Economist estimates the following predicted vote shares (in descending order): Rep. Don Beyer (D-VA08) 76.7%; Rep. Morgan Griffith (R-VA09) 75.1%; Rep. Gerry Connolly (D-VA11) 70.9%; Rep. Bobby Scott (D-VA03) 69.1%; Rep. Donald McEachin (D-VA04) 66.9%; Rep. Ben Cline (R-VA06) 66.9%; Rep. Rob Wittman (R-VA01) 60.1%; Rep. Jennifer Wexton (D-VA10) 57.7%; Rep. Bob Good (R-VA05) 57.5%; Rep. Abigail Spanberger (D-VA07) 54.3%; Rep. Elaine Luria (D-VA02) 50.1%
The Economist’s ratings:
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