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See here and below for an excellent overview, by Sam Shirazi, of the VA10 Democratic primary. Key points include:
- “Rep. Wexton is retiring, unfortunately due to health reasons. This district is based in Loudoun and surrounding NOVA suburbs/exurbs. It is slightly competitive, but Democrats are favorites here in the General.”
- “There is no [Ranked Choice Voting] so winner likely will get well below 50%”
- “Even though Loudoun will be majority of primary voters, most of the major candidates come from the Fairfax or PWC part of the seat. That means a big unknown is how much they can break through in Loudoun. And might give candidates with more Loudoun connections an advantage”
- “Both Boysko and Subramanyam have represented large parts of Loudoun, which makes up the majority of voters. The others [former VA Speaker Eileen Filler-Corn, Del. Dan Helmer, Del. David Reid, Del. Michelle Maldonado, former VA Secretary of Education Atif Qarni, Travis Nembhard, Krystle Kaul, and also Marion Devoe, Brandon Garay, Mark Leighton, and Adrian Pokharel] can try to offset that, but that gives the State Senators an advantage Ultimately the big possible game changer could be a Wexton endorsement if it came.”
