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Very interesting/helpful information by VPAP – detailed data on the 2024 U.S. House races in Virginia, by precinct. There’s a ton to check out here, but a few things that jumped out at me include:
- In the marquee VA07 race between Democrat Eugene Vindman and Republican Derrick Anderson – won by Vindman by about 2.6 points – Vindman racked up his margins down the I-95 corridor in Prince William County and Fredericksburg, also in the more urban/suburban parts of Stafford County. Anderson, meanwhile, did really well in the rural parts of VA07 – Madison, Culpeper, Greene, Spotsylvania, Orange, Caroline, King George, etc.
- In the other highly competitive race, in VA02 between Republican incumbent Rep. Jen Kiggans and Democratic challenger, Missy Cotter Smasal, the Democrat won Suffolk and basically fought Kiggans to a draw in Northampton, while Kiggans won big in Southampton, Chesapeake and Isle of Wight, with Virginia Beach – the heart of the district with by far the largest number of voters – went very narrowly to Kiggans. Within Virginia Beach, you can see dramatic disparities, largely based on income/race.
- In VA10, the more urban/suburban/Metro-and-I66-corridor-oriented areas went heavily for Democrat Suhas Subramanyam, while the rural areas – e.g., in Fauquier – went heavily for Republican Mike Clancy.
It would be interesting to compare these maps, by the way, with demographic maps and see how they overlapped.
