UVA COVID-19 Model: Delta Dominant In Virginia, Driving Increase In Cases; “Along Current Trajectories, Cases Could Exceed Last January’s Peak”

Sobering news from the latest UVA COVID-19 weekly model update. In short:

• “The Delta variant is dominant in Virginia, driving an increase in cases. All areas of Virginia are seeing case growth, with 10 of 35 Health Districts experiencing surges.”
• “Model projections indicate that, along current trajectories, cases could exceed last January’s peak.”
• “Evidence is building that the Delta variant causes more severe disease, adding to the threat posed by its increased transmissibility.”
• “Vaccines are our best defense against the Delta variant, drastically reducing the risk of infection and severe disease.”