Wednesday, September 18, 2019
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CNU Prof. Rachel Bitecofer: “Hard to Imagine a Scenario” in Which...

The following highlights and press release are from Dr. Rachel Bitecofer's new report on the Virginia 2019 legislative elections and from CNU's Wason Center...

UPDATED (9/2/19) Virginia House, Senate Ratings by Ben “Not Larry Sabato”...

It's been over a month since Ben "Not Larry Sabato" Tribbett and Chaz Nuttycombe last updated their Virginia House of Delegates and State Senate...

Graphics: Turnout by Virginia State Senate, House of Delegates District in...

The following graphics, by VPAP, are very helpful in understanding the voter "dropoff" in off/odd Virginia election years, like the one we're in now,...

Roanoke College Poll: Trump at 53%-27% (-26 Pts.) Disapproval in Virginia;...

Roanoke College polling only gets a "C" from 538.com, so I wouldn't put a huge amount of stock in it. Also note that Roanoke...

PredictIt Markets Currently Give Virginia Dems 86% Chance of State Senate...

I'm not exactly sure what to make of this, but according to PredictIt's Virginia 2019 markets (see screenshots, below), right now Democrats are strongly...

“Not Larry Sabato” Ratings for Virginia State Senate, House of Delegates...

The following ratings and analysis of this year's Virginia legislative elections are from political analyst Ben "Not Larry Sabato" Tribbett. As you can see,...

Virginia Campaign Finance Numbers for June 2019 Coming In… [UPDATED 7/16]

Campaign finance numbers for June are now coming in. I'll put up numbers as I see them; will add more information as I have...

New Campaign Finance Numbers Lead to Several Changes in Virginia House...

UPDATE 7/16: With a bunch more campaign finance numbers in, Chaz has made a few updates. See below... See below for a few ratings changes...

Virginia’s State Legislative Elections in 2007 vs. 2019: What’s Similar? What’s...

This is probably ancient history for a lot of folks, but actually, 2007 was only three "off-odd-year" Virginia election cycles ago. For those who...

Former Legislative Aide to Joe Morrissey Is on the Ballot as...

I'm with Democratic super-activist Cindy Cunningham on this one (see her post, below): "...if you were mad/embarrassed/stunned that convicted pedophile Joe Morrissey won the Democratic...