Sunday, December 15, 2019
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CNU Prof. Rachel Bitecofer: “Hard to Imagine a Scenario” in Which...

The following highlights and press release are from Dr. Rachel Bitecofer's new report on the Virginia 2019 legislative elections and from CNU's Wason Center...

Wason Center Assistant Director Rachel Bitecofer: Key to 2019 Virginia Elections...

For those not familiar with  Rachel Bitecofer, I definitely recommend checking out her work. Bitecofer is "assistant director of the Wason Center for Public...

New Virginia Poll: Big “Blue Wave” Forming for November Elections; Dem...

See below for highlights and a press release from the Wason Center for Public Policy at CNU. Virginia voters disapprove of Congressional Republicans by...

CNU Tracking Poll: “Northam leads Gillespie, 48%-44%, as Va. race tightens”

The Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University shows a tight race for governor of Virginia with 21 days to go... Northam leads...

CNU Tracking Poll: Northam 49%-Gillespie 42%; Fairfax 48%-Vogel 40%; Herring 51%-Adams...

Good polling numbers from the Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University (CNU). Note that CNU's 9/25 poll had the race at...

New CNU Poll: Northam 47%-Gillespie 41%; Fairfax 46%-Vogel 42%; Herring...

From the Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University: Northam leads Gillespie, 47%-41%, for Va. governor; regional and demographic trends favor Democrats NEWPORT NEWS,...

Poll: Either Perriello or Northam Tied with Gillespie for Virginia Governor;...

Yesterday, the Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University came out with its new poll results for Virginia 2017 Democratic and Republican...

New CNU Poll of Virginia: Clinton Up 6-10 Points Over Trump

The following press release is from CNU's Wason Center for Public Policy. I'm astonished, frankly, that any progressive and/or Democrat would vote for Gary...

New Poll of Virginia: Strong Support for Medicaid Expansion, LGBT Rights;...

New poll this morning from the Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University. Note majority support in Virginia for Medicaid expansion, LGBT...

Quentin Kidd Sees the Down Ticket Races Less Certain

Tucker Obenshain photo 131010TuckerObenshain_zpsfc65e22d.jpgIn quick succession, four polls have shown the race for governor is slipping away from Ken Cuccinelli. Yesterday Quenton Kidd, Director of the Wason Center for Public Policy at Christopher Newport University (CNU) discussed recent poll results with Cathy Lewis on Norfolk's WHRV. Not all the news was great.

After about a month or so with a McAuliffe lead of around five percent and margins of error around three and four percent, there had been an argument that the gubernatorial race could be closer than the numbers indicate. Two days ago, Politico published a poll showing McAuliffe holding a 10 point lead and soon afterwards CNU released the results of a poll with him up by nine percent. Roanoke College had McAuliffe up by seven and today the Quinnipiac University poll has him with a lead of eight.

Lewis asked Kidd about the libertarian candidate. Kidd responded that Sarvis continues to perform well with about eight per cent of the vote (according to CNU). Sarvis's support, by Kidd's assessment, is coming out of what would naturally be Cuccinelli's voters; he's a protest vote for Republicans and independents who would normally go with the Republican. So the real question is: What do they do on election day? Do they stay home, do they go back to their natural base and vote Republican, or do they stick with Sarvis? Kidd believes that is the real unknown right now.

Kidd told Lewis CNU is currently conducting a poll asking about the shutdown and who is to blame; he expected the Quinnipiac poll to address the shutdown (it did). This he said, would begin to give a clearer picture about whether the race opening up for McAuliffe is directly or indirectly attributable to the "larger politics" around the shutdown and Ken Cuccinelli's connection to those "larger politics."