Home 2018 Elections Current Percentage Chances of Democrats Winning Virginia Congressional Races

Current Percentage Chances of Democrats Winning Virginia Congressional Races

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Courtesy of The Crosstab blog, here’s a map with the current, estimated percentage chances of Democrats winning each district. Note that I’ve left off Democratic-controlled VA-03, VA-04, VA-08 and VA-11, as they’re all 99% likely to remain Democratic. Of course, these percentages could change dramatically by November, depending on national political trends, the strength of candidates and campaigns, and other variables. I’m hoping they go up, of course, as Trump’s numbers hopefully head back down again (after a small but noticeable uptick, for whatever crazy reason, the past few weeks). As of right now, I’d probably go with closer to 80% (vs. 64.7%) in VA-10, 40% (vs. 36.5%) in VA-02, 35% (vs. 33%) in VA-07, 20% (vs. 28.3%) in VA-05, 15% (vs. 22.2%) in VA-01, 10% (vs. 17.8%) in VA-06 and 1% (vs. 1%) in VA-09. What do you think?