New Virginia Poll: Spanberger +12 (49%-37%) Over Sears; Hashmi +10 (46%-36%) Over Reid; Jones +9 (46%-37%) Over Miyares

Finally, we get a new Virginia poll – (VCU/Wilder School) – here are the highlights.

• “In the race for governor, former Rep. Abigail Spanberger, the Democratic candidate, leads Republican Lt. Gov. Winsome Earle-Sears, 49% to 37%, among registered voters in Virginia. This marks an increase in both Spanberger’s support and her lead compared with the Wilder School’s December 2024 Commonwealth Poll, which had Spanberger ahead 45% to 35%.”
• Spanberger leads Earle-Sears 72%-9% among African Americans, while running about even (44% each) among Whites. Among Hispanics, Spanberger leads 48%-29%.
• “The races for lieutenant governor and attorney general show similar dynamics. Democratic state Sen. Ghazala Hashmi leads former radio host John Reid of the GOP, 46% to 36%, while Democratic former Del. Jay Jones holds a 47% to 38% advantage over Republican Attorney General Jason Miyares.”
• “Among registered voters, 49% approve of the job Republican Gov. Glenn Youngkin is doing, while 39% disapprove. Support is highest among Republicans (84%) and lowest among Democrats (20%), with independents closely split (51% disapprove). These numbers reflect a slight decline overall for Youngkin compared with the December 2024 Commonwealth Poll, when 51% of voters approved and 38% disapproved of the governor’s performance.”
• “President Donald Trump remains less popular among Virginia voters. Overall, 40% approve of the job he is doing, while 55% disapprove. The partisan divide is sharp, with 84% of Republicans approving, compared with disapproval from 93% of Democrats and 66% of independents.”
• Only 27% of Virginian voters strongly approve of Trump’s job performance, while 50% strongly DISapprove.
• “When asked which issue would most influence their vote in the upcoming election, 28% of voters identified the rising cost of living, followed by women’s reproductive rights (14%) and immigration (14%). These results reflect a clear shift from the December 2024 Commonwealth Poll, when 58% of voters cited the cost of living as their top concern and 14% named K-12 education as their second-most important issue. The findings suggest a reshaping of voter priorities heading into the fall.”