2019 Elections

NY Times analysis: Virginia turnout dropped most in Democratic areas

According to an analysis by the New York Times: "Some weak Democratic performances in the midterm elections Tuesday are hard to explain. Virginia is not." So what happened in Virginia? Simple: turnout was way down, with the largest declines "in Democratic-leaning areas" (while "urnout in Republican-leaning areas in Virginia was at levels fairly typical for a competitive midterm election"). Why? In large part, because Warner et al. assumed he had this one in the bag, therefore: In 2012, Democrats mounted significant mobilization and campaigning efforts in Virginia. They didn't in 2014. The surprisingly close race highlights why they're needed.You know the rest of the story...

According to an analysis by the New York Times: “Some weak Democratic performances in the midterm elections Tuesday are hard to explain. Virginia is not.” So what happened in Virginia? Simple: turnout was way down, with the largest declines “in Democratic-leaning areas” (while “[t]urnout in Republican-leaning areas in Virginia was at levels fairly typical for a competitive midterm election”). Why? In large part, because Warner et al. assumed he had this one in the bag, therefore:

In 2012, Democrats mounted significant mobilization and campaigning efforts in Virginia. They didn’t in 2014. The surprisingly close race highlights why they’re needed.

You know the rest of the story…

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