Friday, August 23, 2019
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The Republicans’ Relationship with the Future (Another Challenge to the Conservatives)

This piece is appearing this weekend in newspapers in my very red congressional district (VA-06). ***************************** How one regards the future presents a clear window into...

With Brett Kavanaugh, We’re In the Endgame Now. What Are YOU...

by Kellen Squire Watching Brett Kavanaugh yesterday undertake a masterful performance for one person - and one person only - while he sat, being "questioned"...

Dangerous Steps Backward for Humankind (My Latest Challenge to the Conservatives)

This piece is running in newspapers in my very red congressional district (VA-06). *************************** It was back in the 70s when I found my life’s path....

Our Inherent Uncertainty About the Future

Introduction: This piece will be appearing in the newspapers in my very red congressional District, VA-06. These pieces are always written with the conservatives...

Better Human Story #8– Prepare for the Best

You can find the earlier entries in this series here. ****************** In a comment on installment # 5  – the entry in this series that presented...

Where There Is No Vision, the People Perish (Proverbs 29:18)

This piece will be appearing soon in newspapers in my very "conservative" congressional District (VA-06). ************************ With times as dire as these are -- with dark...

Climate Change Denial: What Does It Say About the Corporate Culture...

This piece will be running in newspapers in Virginia's conservative 6th congressional district. Everybody has reasons not to want to believe what scientists are saying...

Virginia in 2020: A Look Ahead

A little over a year ago, I started a series of diaries looking at the past, present, and future of Virginia politics. You can check out the entries here: Day One, Competitive Districts. Day Two, Turnout Problems. Day Three, Past Mistakes. Day Four, Downstate Democrats. Day Five, Unchallenged Incumbents. Day Six, Present Opportunities. Day Seven, Democratic Trends. Day Eight, Swing Voters. Day Nine, 2021 Redistricting. Day Ten, Independent Redistricting. Day Eleven, A Diverse Future. And finally Day Twelve, Messaging This year, I wondered if there was enough new information to justify a complete update to the series. But Mark Warner's near defeat in 2014, and the analysis about the race that followed, showed the trendlines of a year ago are stronger than ever. Instead, I spent this weekend looking at various population trends and projections in Virginia, with an eye to the next round of redistricting.

In the fall of 2012, UVA's Weldon Cooper Center for Public Service issued its population projections for 2020 and beyond. They forecast a slowdown in population growth overall for the Commonwealth, with Southside and Southwest Virginia barely growing at all.

But their projections came with a grain of salt.