DCCC/Global Strategy Group Poll: Hurt 44%-Perriello 42%

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    (UPDATE: Great new ad by Tom Perriello, love it! – promoted by lowkell)

    I’m not sure quite what to make of this poll, showing that “Representative Tom Perriello is statistically tied with Republican candidate, Virginia State Senator Robert Hurt.”

    In the initial head-to-head in the race for Virginia’s [5th] congressional district, Perriello is within the margin of error against Hurt, 42 to 44 percent.  Clark received 6 percent.  Conducted August 24-26, the poll surveyed 400 likely voters and has a 4.9 percent margin of error.

    I mean, I hope it’s true, but given that I wouldn’t put much stock in a poll done for the National Republican Congressional Committee (and also given the SurveyUSA poll that showed Hurt leading 61%-35%), I’m not sure I should much stock in this one either. I’d at least like to see the “internals” on this one. How about you?

    • VA Blogger

      Considering neither Robert Hurt or Tom Perriello are running in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District.  

    • VA Blogger

      I’d also be remiss if I didn’t post a link to the SurveyUSA poll, conducted more recently, that shows Hurt leading by 26 points, 61%-35%:

      http://www.surveyusa.com/clien

      Somehow this managed to not receive front page attention 😉

    • LittleDavid

      I’m going to post a comment I made on Bearing Drift in response to this subject:

      Polls smolls.

      I am not sure who is to blame for the inaccuracy, but this most recent poll reported on by Survey USA for August is similar to the results they reported for July. Back in July, in a poll taken by Ayres McHenry & Associates for the pro-Republican group American Action Forum they reported only a 6% lead for Hurt.

      I’m beginning to think Survey USA’s results can’t be trusted. Do their results pass the common sense test? I’m not sure what the problem is with Survey USA but the results they come up with for some reason do not seem to reflect reality.

      Seems another poll has come out to question the validity of Survey USA poll results.

      If you want voters to jump on the bandwagon perhaps you need to make sure a wagon is included in the parade?

      I’m not sure what to think about these three results.  Two out of three show Pereillo within striking distance while which poll is odd man out?