Home National Politics PPP: “Virginia may be Obama’s firewall state”

PPP: “Virginia may be Obama’s firewall state”


It’s been a rough three years for Virginia Democrats since the glory days of 2005-2008, and 2013 could be tough, but polls like this one should put a smile on our faces for 2012 at least!

*”Obama leads both Mitt Romney (48-42) and Newt Gingrich (50-43) [in Virginia] by margins comparable to his 6 point victory over John McCain in 2008.”

*Obama’s approval rating in Virginia is in positive territory, at 48%-47%.

*In contrast, Newt Gingrich is at 31%-55% in Virginia, Rick “Missing Village Idiot” Perry’s at an utterly abysmal 20%-61%, and Flip Floppin’ Mitt is at a pathetic 33%-52%. Such a shame.

*Obama beats Romney among all age groups in Virginia except for one — those older than 65. Among 18-29 year olds, Obama’s crushing Romney by 22 points, and among 30-45 year olds, Obama’s ahead by 14 points. It’s almost the exact same story with Gingrich as well.

*Bottom line, according to PPP: “”It continues to look like Virginia may be Obama’s firewall state,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “He’s holding up well there and it’s going to be tough for the Republicans to get to 270 electoral votes without it in their column.”

So, let’s win Virginia for Obama once again, all but guaranteeing him reelection as president (and almost certainly guaranteeing Kaine over Allen as well) in November 2012!

  • glennbear

    As someone close to the 65 year old demographic I think efforts should be name to spread the GOP Medicare ripping embrace of the Ryan plan to the masses.

  • richmonder

    These numbers are reassuring, to be sure. But campaigns matter, do they not? Obama’s opposition in this state, especially here in the Richmond suburbs and Hampton Roads, is strong and ugly. It’s not going to be easy to get out the African-American vote as before, either. They were crucial in 2008. From conversations I’ve heard in coffee shopes recently, it’s not surprising that the over 65 white vote is not going Obama’s way, ignorance and prejudice being what they are. That being said, Kaine must be encouraged by these polls, and perhaps he already knows that he needn’t distance himself from the president. I’d guess that Kaine is still more popular in the state, but haven’t seen any polls yet on the senate race.  

  • kindler

    But these poll results say — we’ve got a decent shot to win.  And considering the tonnage of mud that’s been flung at Obama over the last four years, that really is good news.