Home 2013 races New Poll: McAuliffe 46%-Cuccinelli 38%-Sarvis 9%

New Poll: McAuliffe 46%-Cuccinelli 38%-Sarvis 9%


Politico reports.

Democratic candidate Terry McAuliffe has an 8-point lead in the Virginia governor’s race, a new poll found, the latest evidence of his advantage with less than three weeks left until Election Day.

The NBC4/NBC News/Marist poll found McAuliffe winning 46 percent of likely voters, compared with 38 percent for GOP Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli and 9 percent for libertarian Robert Sarvis. If the election were a two-way race between McAuliffe and Cuccinelli, McAuliffe’s lead would increase to 9 points, 52 percent to 43 percent.

Compared to the last NBC/Marist poll, which was prior to the government shutdown, this poll marks a widening of McAuliffe’s lead, from 5 points then to 8 points now. No wonder why Cuccinelli’s flailing around, throwing anything and everything at the wall (e.g., this) and hoping it sticks. Total #FAIL

P.S. The last pol=l Cuccinelli led was back in mid July, and that was Roanoke College so not a serious poll. Other than that, you have to go back to late April/early May for the last Cooch lead.

  • FreeDem

    Is Sarvis now weakening Terry, slightly, because he’s a convenient half-way house for moderate Republicans who are bolting from their party? Or at least the option of a third candidate gives swing voters unhappy with both candidates a reason to remain undecided?

    After the election, I’m going to do a simple analysis on Sarvis’s support. Will he do better in the same areas of the state as past crazy Tea Party candidates like Virgil Goode for President in 2012? Or will his support more closely track the areas from 2006 where you had crossover from George Allen to oppose the same sex marriage amendment?

    The polling I’ve seen indicates the former, that Sarvis is strongest in rural Western Virginia. All of the stories I’ve heard from friends voting for Sarvis indicates the latter though.

  • From the McAuliffe for Governor campaign:

    A new poll released tonight by NBC4/Marist shows that with just over two weeks to go more voters are continuing to solidify around Terry McAuliffe and against Ken Cuccinelli and his extreme ideological agenda.

    “Virginia voters are continuing to side with Terry’s pragmatic approach and focus on mainstream solutions to strengthen and diversify the economy,” said McAuliffe spokesperson Josh Schwerin.  “This stands in stark contrast to Ken Cuccinelli who, in the last few days, has defended his belief that America will be judged for allowing women to make their own health care decisions and even said that he was disappointed that there was bipartisan compromise to end the shutdown.   Heading into the final days of the campaign it’s critical that mainstream voters don’t let their voices be drowned out by Ken Cuccinelli’s Tea Party supporters.”

  • kindler

    I can’t imagine many of them are going to go for Cuccinelli in the current environment, post-shutdown and with his campaign swirling down the toilet ever faster — reality TV wackos stumping for him and the candidate sounding like Nixon shrieking about “lies!”.

    Expect those remaining voters to go to either McAuliffe or Sarvis. I’d really like to see Terry go over 50%, while Cuccinelli stays below 40%.  That’ll show the Republicans what they get when they nominate a Tea Party fanatic.