Home National Politics The Meaninglessness of Generic Polls

The Meaninglessness of Generic Polls


If you poll President Obama against a generic Republican, Obama trails 42.6% to 40.7%. So that means President Obama would trail any Republican opponent, right? That’s how the generic matchups are regularly treated by the political press.

But as Nate Silver shows at FiveThirtyEight.com, put Obama up against any actual Republican & he trounces ’em by as much as 14%:

There's no paywall on Blue Virginia, and we definitely want to keep it that way! If you want to help support our work, you can donate here - thanks! Also, you can sign up for our weekly email list here.