VA-10 Tuesday AM Democratic Exit Poll: Wexton 37%-Friedman 22%-Stover 17%-Helmer 15%

The following is from the Virginia 10th CD Democratic Committee. If this exit poll – which was conducted between 6AM and 12 Noon, which leaves open the possibility that things could have changed from noon to 7 pm – is correct, it looks like Jennifer Wexton will be the Democratic nominee against Rep. Barbara Comstock (R) by a comfortable margin over Alison Friedman, Lindsey Davis Stover and Dan Helmer. We’ll see soon enough how accurate this turns out to be…

Exit Poll Report

Mason Dixon Polling and Strategy in partnership with the 10^th Congressional District Democratic Committee today conducted an exit poll of 564 voters at ten sample precincts across the district. Respondents were 60% Female and 40% Male. 37% were under age 50 and 63% were ages 50 and above, reasonably approximating the actual makeup of the primary voters.

Voters reported that they supported State Senator Jennifer Wexton with 37% of the vote. Alison Friedman received 22% in the exit poll, while Lindsey Davis Stover got 17% and Dan Helmer received the support of 15% of the exit poll respondents.

Significantly, Senator Wexton won 8 of the 10 precincts, including with broad support across all age groups within the district.

Over 96 percent of the respondents indicated that they were likely to support the nominee, regardless of whether or not their first choice won. In that spirit, all six candidates will be appearing at the 10^th CD Democratic Unity Event (Thursday, June 14^th, 11AM at the Cascades Public Library), where they have indicated they’ll be endorsing whichever candidate wins the nomination tonight.

Background: In 2016, the 10^th Congressional District demonstrated a high level of “independent” minded voters. Democrat Hillary Clinton carried the District over Republican Donald Trump by 10 percentage points. At the same time, Republican Congresswoman Barbara Comstock won reelection by nearly 6 percentage points over Democratic challenger Luann Bennett. The district is ranked as one of the top Democratic pickup opportunities by several national political ranking experts.