Home 2024 Elections Excellent, Succinct Overview, by Sam Shirazi, of the Highly Competitive VA10 Democratic...

Excellent, Succinct Overview, by Sam Shirazi, of the Highly Competitive VA10 Democratic Primary

"This district is based in Loudoun and surrounding NOVA suburbs/exurbs"; "Rep. [Jennifer] Wexton is retiring, unfortunately due to health reasons"

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See here and below for an excellent overview, by Sam Shirazi, of the VA10 Democratic primary. Key points include:

  • “Rep. Wexton is retiring, unfortunately due to health reasons. This district is based in Loudoun and surrounding NOVA suburbs/exurbs. It is slightly competitive, but Democrats are favorites here in the General.”
  • “There is no [Ranked Choice Voting] so winner likely will get well below 50%”
  • “Even though Loudoun will be majority of primary voters, most of the major candidates come from the Fairfax or PWC part of the seat. That means a big unknown is how much they can break through in Loudoun. And might give candidates with more Loudoun connections an advantage”
  • “Both Boysko and Subramanyam have represented large parts of Loudoun, which makes up the majority of voters. The others [former VA Speaker Eileen Filler-Corn, Del. Dan Helmer, Del. David Reid, Del. Michelle Maldonado, former VA Secretary of Education Atif Qarni, Travis Nembhard, Krystle Kaul, and also Marion Devoe, Brandon Garay, Mark Leighton, and Adrian Pokharel] can try to offset that, but that gives the State Senators an advantage Ultimately the big possible game changer could be a Wexton endorsement if it came.”

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