Home 2025 Elections New Wason Center Virginia Poll: Spanberger Leads Sears by 5 Points (44%-39%);...

New Wason Center Virginia Poll: Spanberger Leads Sears by 5 Points (44%-39%); Voters Support Reproductive Freedom Constitutional Amendment by Wide Margin (61%-32%)

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A new poll from CNU’s Wason Center is out this morning; see below for results and highlights.

  • ” In the governor’s race, Congresswoman Spanberger leads Lt. Governor Winsome Earle-Sears by 5-points, 44% to 39%, though 16% remain undecided and another 2% say they will vote for someone else.” (Note: this compares to a recent Mason-Dixon poll, which had Spanberger up 47%-44% over Sears; as well as a recent Emerson College poll, which had Spanberger up by just 1 point, 42%-41%, over Sears).
  • ” Notably, a much larger proportion of Black voters are undecided relative to whites (24% to 12%), suggesting
    that both candidates will have to work hard to earn the Black vote. Independents are generally split with 37% supporting Spanberger to 35% for Earle-Sears. Partisans have started to line up behind their respective candidates with Spanberger receiving 95% support among Democrats and Earle-Sears getting support from 87% of Republicans. Spanberger does well among women (47% to 34%), younger voters (42% to 35%), and college educated voters (51% to 32%), while Earle-Sears does better among male voters (44% to 42%), and those without college degrees (44% to 39%). “
  • 53% of Virginians approve of the job Governor Youngkin is doing
  • “A majority of Virginians support amending the state’s constitution to guarantee reproductive rights in the state, such as access to abortion and contraception (61%) and to allow felons that have completed their prison sentence to have their voting rights automatically restored upon release (63%).  (This helps explain why Virginia Republicans don’t want to let voters decide on these amendments, because it’s almost certain they’ll pass.)
  • Regarding the budget surplus, a plurality of Virginians say it should go primarily towards government services (46%). 40% say it should go towards a one-time tax rebate for individuals, with the remainder going toward government services, and 11% say it should go primarily towards long-term individual and corporate tax cuts.” (Youngkin is in the 11% category?)
  • “When it comes to data centers, Virginians support laws that would prohibit locating them within a mile of a national park, state park, or historically significant site (67% to 27%), requiring data center companies that receive state tax incentives to improve energy efficiency and reduce their energy consumption during peak demand (77% to 16%). A plurality supports the removal of state tax incentives used to encourage the building of data centers in the state (48% to 39%), while a majority oppose expanding state and local tax incentives to encourage more data centers (57% to 34%).”
  • “Virginians support a law that would require K-12 schools to have a cell phone usage policy but would allow localities to set their own specific rules about usage (75% support/strongly support).”



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