2025 ElectionsAbigail SpanbergerPollingVirginia PoliticsWinsome Sears

Final Emerson College Poll of Virginia: AbigailSpanberger +11 (55%-44%); Jay Jones +2 (51%-49%)

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After a slew of polls the past couple days, is the just-released Emerson College poll maybe the final public, non-partisan poll of the 2025 Virginia elections? Currently, the polling average has Abigail Spanberger up about 11 points over Winsome Earle-Sears. Also note that the last Emerson College poll of Virginia, back in early October, had “Abigail Spanberger leading Republican Winsome Earle-Sears, 52% to 42%.” So…the results of this poll are:

  • “The final Emerson College Polling/The Hill survey of the Virginia gubernatorial race finds Democrat Abigail Spanberger with an 11-point lead ahead of Republican Winsome Earle-Sears, leading 55% to 44%. Since last month’s survey, Spanberger gained three points while Earle-Sears gained two.”
  • “A sign of Spanberger’s growing strength is among men, a group that was evenly divided last month but now breaks for her by six points, 52% to 46%. These voters backed Governor Youngkin by about nine points in 2021.”
  • “In the race for Attorney General, 49% support Democrat Jay Jones and 47% incumbent Republican Jason Miyares; 4% are undecided. Including which candidate undecided voters lean toward, Jones’ overall support increases to 51% and Miyares to 49%.”
  • “President Donald Trump holds a 45% job approval rating among Virginia voters, while 54% disapprove of the job he is doing in office. Governor Glenn Youngkin holds a 49% job approval rating, and 39% disapproval.”
  • “The economy is the top issue facing Virginia for 39% of voters, followed by threats to democracy (16%), healthcare (10%), immigration (9%), education (7%), and housing affordability (6%).”

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