Thursday News: Willard to Weigh In as GOP “Desperate” to Stop Monster...

Thursday News: Willard to Weigh In as GOP “Desperate” to Stop Monster It Created; VA GOP Moves to Reject Highly-Qualified Supreme Court Justice

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by Lowell

Here are a few national and Virginia news headlines, political and otherwise, for Thusrday, March 3. Also check out Shep Smith making the point htat Republican Party lies gave rise to Donald Trump.

  • http://www.bluevirginia.us/ lowkell

    Excerpts from Willard’s speech today (source: Politico)

    In 1964, days before the presidential election, Ronald Reagan went on national television and challenged America that it was a “Time for Choosing.” He saw two paths for America, one that embraced conservative principles dedicated to lifting people out of poverty and helping create opportunity for all, and the other, an oppressive government that would lead America down a darker, less free path. I’m no Ronald Reagan and this is a different moment but I believe with my heart and soul that we face another time for choosing, one that will have profound consequences for the Republican Party and more importantly, for the country. …

    At home, poverty persists and wages are stagnant. The horrific massacres of Paris and San Bernardino, the aggressions of Putin, the growing assertiveness of China and the nuclear tests of North Korea confirm that we live in troubled and dangerous times. …

    But if we make the right choices, America’s future will be even better than our past and better than our present. …

    Of the remaining candidates, the only serious policy proposals that deal with the broad range of national challenges we confront have come from Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and John Kasich. …

    Donald Trump says he admires Vladimir Putin, while has called George W Bush a liar. That is a twisted example of evil trumping good. …

    The president of the United States has long been the leader of the free world. The president and yes the nominees of the country’s great parties help define America to billions of people. All of them bear the responsibility of being an example for our children and grandchildren. …

    Trump relishes any poll that reflects what he thinks of himself. But polls are also saying that he will lose to Hillary Clinton. …

    On Hillary Clinton’s watch at the State Department, America’s interests were diminished in every corner of the world. She compromised our national secrets, dissembled to the families of the slain, and jettisoned her most profound beliefs to gain presidential power. …

    A person so untrustworthy and dishonest as Hillary Clinton must not become president. But a Trump nomination enables her victory. …

    I understand the anger Americans feel today. In the past, our presidents have channeled that anger, and forged it into resolve, into endurance and high purpose and into the will to defeat the enemies of freedom. Our anger was transformed into energy directed for good. …

    Here’s what I know. Donald Trump is a phony, a fraud. His promises are as worthless as a degree from Trump University. He’s playing the American public for suckers: He gets a free ride to the White House and all we get is a lousy hat. …

    His domestic policies would lead to recession. His foreign policies would make America and the world less safe. He has neither the temperament nor the judgment to be president. And his personal qualities would mean that America would cease to be a shining city on a hill.

  • Quizzical

    Before the primary, in my office it seemed like everyone was planning to cross party lines and vote in the other party’s primary. Republicans for Bernie, for example. I did the reverse and voted for Kasich. Anyone who tries to extrapolate these numbers to November is sadly mistaken. Count on the vote in November to be like it always is, nail-bitingly close and requiring maximum effort and turnout to win.

  • VaLiberal

    I have memories of the Memorial Bridge going back over 60 years. What’s happening to it is the consequence of believing in “small government” and a bloated military. Bernie Sanders is the ONLY candidate on either side who has talked about rebuilding our infrastructure.

  • http://www.bluevirginia.us/ lowkell

    From NARAL Pro-Choice Virginia:

    Planned Parenthood Defunding Bill Advances to Senate Floor

    H.B. 1090 passes Senate Education & Health committee with limited testimony allowed

    Richmond, VA – This morning, the Senate Education and Health Committee voted to advance H.B. 1090, a bill to gut funding for Virginia’s Planned Parenthood health centers.

    Sponsored by Delegate Ben Cline, H.B. 1090 would bar the state from granting program funding to the Commonwealth’s comprehensive women’s health centers, including Virginia’s six Planned Parenthood centers. Planned Parenthood health centers provide trusted, high-quality care for 22,000 Virginians annually, including STI testing and treatment, cancer screenings, and family planning to prevent unintended pregnancy.

    During the hearing, testimony from over a dozen women in opposition to the bill was limited to five minutes total, effectively silencing many women who had traveled hours to share their stories. Nonetheless, legislators did have the opportunity to hear from several women who had personally accessed critical reproductive health care at Planned Parenthood health centers, all of whom urged the committee to defeat this bill.

    “Legislators had the opportunity today to heed the voices of Virginians and stop their dangerous and politically-motivated crusade against Planned Parenthood,” said Tarina Keene, executive director of NARAL Pro-Choice Virginia. “Instead, we saw eight Virginia Senators continue to put politics ahead of women’s basic rights and access to critical health care.

    “Every year, Virginia’s Planned Parenthood health centers provide 22,000 Virginians with comprehensive, lifesaving health care, including cancer screenings, birth control, and STI treatment and testing,” Keene continued. “But with their vote today, Virginia’s anti-women’s health legislators have once again made it clear that they would rather play political games with women’s health than ensure that thousands of Virginians can access the critical care they need.

    As this bill advances to the full Senate, I remind legislators that NARAL Pro-Choice Virginia — along with the 7 in 10 Virginians who are pro-choice — are prepared to hold you accountable for your vote. Health care for thousands of Virginians is at stake here.”

  • http://www.bluevirginia.us/ lowkell

    Virginia Members React to NPS Memorial Bridge Announcement

    Call to Fund Repairs and Keep Bridge Open

    March 3, 2016 (Washington, DC) – The National Park Service (NPS) today announced that Arlington Memorial Bridge will need to close by 2021 absent funding for a full rehabilitation. The bridge has been undergoing emergency repairs since last year. Northern Virginia Reps. Don Beyer, Gerry Connolly, and Barbara Comstock, along with Senators Mark Warner and Tim Kaine, reacted to the news with urgent calls to fund repairs, estimated to cost as much as $280 million.

    “Memorial Bridge was built to symbolize the coming together and reunification of a fractured nation following the Civil War. Today, unfortunately, it also symbolizes the neglect of our nation’s transportation system.” said Rep. Don Beyer. “The prospect of a shuttered Memorial Bridge is one we cannot live with. This challenge demands a solution and the regional delegation will work together to find it.”

    NPS devotes much of its $20 million DC area transportation budget for repairs to the aging Memorial Bridge. This continued funding allotment severely hinders its efforts to sustain other regional transportation and infrastructure projects.

    “To the tens of thousands of Virginians, DC residents and visitors who travel across the Potomac River every day, Arlington’s Memorial Bridge is a critical piece of our regional transportation system,” said Sen. Mark Warner. “The extended closure of this major commuter artery will be devastating to the economy and quality of life in the capital region. We will work together as a delegation to identify the necessary resources so the National Park Service can keep Memorial Bridge open.”

    “Arlington Memorial Bridge is a key transportation link for thousands of daily Northern Virginia commuters as well as visitors to our nation’s capital,” said Sen. Tim Kaine. “It speaks to the state of our nation’s infrastructure that replacing this ‎National Park Service-owned bridge would cost as much as the entire yearly budget for Park Service bridges across the country. My colleagues and I in the National Capital Region’s congressional delegation took steps in last year’s transportation bill to make it easier to fund major projects like this. It is critical that we take the next step toward a new bridge before we reach the point at which it becomes unsafe to use the current one.”

    Over 68,000 vehicles cross the bridge between Washington, D.C. and Arlington, VA every day. Closing the Memorial Bridge would cost local governments a projected $168,000 per day ($75 million per year) by 2021 in transportation outlays alone according to the Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments. Transit studies suggest that traffic from the bridge would spill over onto other area bridges, particularly the 14th Street Bridge and Roosevelt Bridge. The impact on an already-strained transportation system could likely produce new, extreme levels of gridlock in the nation’s capital and its Northern Virginia suburbs.

    “The potential closure of Memorial Bridge, a major commuter route for many Northern Virginians, will have a profound negative effect on all our regional roadways,” said Rep. Gerry Connolly. “It is disheartening this announcement comes as we celebrate the National Park Centennial. I can think of no better way for Congress to celebrate the Park’s 100th birthday than to redouble its efforts to invest in our Park system. This is a federally-owned bridge, and thus a federal responsibility that Congress must address.”

    “Arlington Memorial Bridge is a national treasure as well as a major thoroughfare for Northern Virginia commuters,” said Rep. Barbara Comstock. “It’s used every day by 68,000 vehicles as well as people coming and going to our airports, local landmarks, and work. We must ensure proper funding for the bridge so that this critical piece of infrastructure remains safe and usable. The alternative would cause serious traffic problems for my constituents and the region and harm the local and national economy.”

  • http://www.bluevirginia.us/ lowkell

    From ProgressVA:

    Senate Committee Votes to Defund Planned Parenthood

    Party line vote would deprive 22,000+ Virginians access to quality, affordable health care

    Richmond, VA – The Senate Education and Health Committee today voted 8-7 along party lines to advance HB1090 (Cline), designed to defund Planned Parenthood. The bill is the latest in a long line of attacks on women’s access to reproductive health care and safe and legal abortion. Planned Parenthood’s five Virginia health centers serve over 22,000 patients a year, providing them with preventative and well-woman care, family planning services, STD and STI screenings, pregnancy tests, and safe and legal abortion.

    “The General Assembly has proposed over seventy five restrictions on women’s health since 2011 and HB1090 is no different,” said Progress Virginia executive director Anna Scholl. “It’s simply outrageous that moments after declaring, yet again, that they will not expand access to affordable health care in Virginia, state Senators voted to actually restrict women’s access to care. No politician should decide for a woman which health care provider she can or cannot see, but today 8 state Senators decided they know better than women and their doctors.”

    Dozens of supporters of Planned Parenthood traveled to Richmond to testify on HB1090 today and over 100 additional supporters watched the hearing via a Progress Virginia live stream. However, the committee severely limited testimony from the public and requested advocates for women’s health submit written testimony rather than sharing stories from women who received care at Planned Parenthood.

  • http://www.bluevirginia.us/ lowkell

    Video: Republicans think Trump’s “dangerous”, “unfit“, “unstable”, but want NEXT president to choose SCOTUS nominee???

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LLRd2BbUMlA&feature=youtu.be

  • http://evilletimes.blogspot.com/ Mike Roberts

    These guys are still expecting the GOP Establishment to ride to the rescue while ignoring the fact that the GOP Establishment is what the rubes are laying siege to.

    The rubes went after the “abortionists” just like we told ’em, but I’m not an abortionist, so I didn’t worry.

    The rubes went after “the liberals” and the “feminists” and the “media” and the “moderates” and the “RINOs” – and and and – just like we told ’em, but I’m not any of those, so I didn’t worry.

    The rubes went after “the establishment” just like we told ’em, but … no wait, something’s not quite right.

    Get it all right here every Friday PM: http://professionalleft.blogspot.com
    with driftglass & Blue Gal

  • http://www.bluevirginia.us/ lowkell

    Video: Full Mitt Romney speech about Donald Trump

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DWMhbnCotsE

  • http://www.bluevirginia.us/ lowkell

    Full transcript of Romney’s speech:

    I am not here to announce my candidacy for office. I am not going to endorse a candidate today. Instead, I would like to offer my perspective on the nominating process of my party. In 1964, days before the presidential election which, incidentally, we lost, Ronald Reagan went on national television and challenged America saying that it was a “Time for Choosing.” He saw two paths for America, one that embraced conservative principles dedicated to lifting people out of poverty and helping create opportunity for all, and the other, an oppressive government that would lead America down a darker, less free path. I’m no Ronald Reagan and this is a different moment but I believe with all my heart and soul that we face another time for choosing, one that will have profound consequences for the Republican Party and more importantly, for the country.

    I say this in part because of my conviction that America is poised to lead the world for another century. Our technology engines, our innovation dynamic, and the ambition and skill of our people will propel our economy and raise our standard of living. America will remain as it is today, the envy of the world.

    Warren Buffett was 100% right when he said last week that “the babies being born in America today are the luckiest crop in history.”

    That doesn’t mean we don’t have real problems and serious challenges. At home, poverty persists and wages are stagnant. The horrific massacres of Paris and San Bernardino, the nuclear ambitions of the Iranian mullahs, the aggressions of Putin, the growing assertiveness of China and the nuclear tests of North Korea confirm that we live in troubled and dangerous times.

    But if we make the right choices, America’s future will be even better than our past and better than our present.

    On the other hand, if we make improvident choices, the bright horizon I foresee will never materialize. Let me put it plainly, if we Republicans choose Donald Trump as our nominee, the prospects for a safe and prosperous future are greatly diminished.

    Let me explain why.

    First, the economy: If Donald Trump’s plans were ever implemented, the country would sink into a prolonged recession.

    A few examples: His proposed 35% tariff-like penalties would instigate a trade war that would raise prices for consumers, kill export jobs, and lead entrepreneurs and businesses to flee America. His tax plan, in combination with his refusal to reform entitlements and to honestly address spending would balloon the deficit and the national debt. So even as Donald Trump has offered very few specific economic plans, what little he has said is enough to know that he would be very bad for American workers and for American families.

    But wait, you say, isn’t he a huge business success that knows what he’s talking about? No he isn’t. His bankruptcies have crushed small businesses and the men and women who worked for them. He inherited his business, he didn’t create it. And what ever happened to Trump Airlines? How about Trump University? And then there’s Trump Magazine and Trump Vodka and Trump Steaks, and Trump Mortgage? A business genius he is not.

    Now not every policy Donald Trump has floated is bad. He wants to repeal and replace Obamacare. He wants to bring jobs home from China and Japan. But his prescriptions to do these things are flimsy at best. At the last debate, all he could remember about his healthcare plan was to remove insurance boundaries between states. Successfully bringing jobs home requires serious policy and reforms that make America the place businesses want to plant and grow. You can’t punish business into doing the things you want. Frankly, the only serious policy proposals that deal with the broad range of national challenges we confront, come today from Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, and John Kasich. One of these men should be our nominee.

    I know that some people want the race to be over. They look at history and say a trend like Mr. Trump’s isn’t going to be stopped.

    Perhaps. But the rules of political history have pretty much all been shredded during this campaign. If the other candidates can find common ground, I believe we can nominate a person who can win the general election and who will represent the values and policies of conservatism. Given the current delegate selection process, this means that I would vote for Marco Rubio in Florida, for John Kasich in Ohio, and for Ted Cruz or whichever one of the other two contenders has the best chance of beating Mr. Trump in a given state.

    Let me turn to national security and the safety of our homes and loved ones. Trump’s bombast is already alarming our allies and fueling the enmity of our enemies. Insulting all Muslims will keep many of them from fully engaging with us in the urgent fight against ISIS. And for what purpose? Muslim terrorists would only have to lie about their religion to enter the country.

    What he said on “60 Minutes” about Syria and ISIS has to go down as the most ridiculous and dangerous idea of the campaign season: Let ISIS take out Assad, he said, and then we can pick up the remnants. Think about that: Let the most dangerous terror organization the world has ever known take over a country? This is recklessness in the extreme.

    Donald Trump tells us that he is very, very smart. I’m afraid that when it comes to foreign policy he is very, very not smart.

    I am far from the first to conclude that Donald Trump lacks the temperament of be president. After all, this is an individual who mocked a disabled reporter, who attributed a reporter’s questions to her menstrual cycle, who mocked a brilliant rival who happened to be a woman due to her appearance, who bragged about his marital affairs, and who laces his public speeches with vulgarity.

    Donald Trump says he admires Vladimir Putin, while has called George W. Bush a liar. That is a twisted example of evil trumping good.

    There is dark irony in his boasts of his sexual exploits during the Vietnam War while John McCain, whom he has mocked, was imprisoned and tortured.

    Dishonesty is Trump’s hallmark: He claimed that he had spoken clearly and boldly against going into Iraq. Wrong, he spoke in favor of invading Iraq. He said he saw thousands of Muslims in New Jersey celebrating 9/11. Wrong, he saw no such thing. He imagined it. His is not the temperament of a stable, thoughtful leader. His imagination must not be married to real power.

    The President of the United States has long been the leader of the free world. The president and yes the nominees of the country’s great parties help define America to billions of people. All of them bear the responsibility of being an example for our children and grandchildren.

    Think of Donald Trump’s personal qualities, the bullying, the greed, the showing off, the misogyny, the absurd third grade theatrics. We have long referred to him as “The Donald.” He is the only person in America to whom we have added an article before his name. It wasn’t because he had attributes we admired.

    Now imagine your children and your grandchildren acting the way he does. Will you welcome that? Haven’t we seen before what happens when people in prominent positions fail the basic responsibility of honorable conduct? We have, and it always injures our families and our country.

    Watch how he responds to my speech today. Will he talk about our policy differences or will he attack me with every imaginable low road insult? This may tell you what you need to know about his temperament, his stability, and his suitability to be president.

    Trump relishes any poll that reflects what he thinks of himself. But polls are also saying that he will lose to Hillary Clinton.

    On Hillary Clinton’s watch at the State Department, America’s interests were diminished in every corner of the world. She compromised our national secrets, dissembled to the families of the slain, and jettisoned her most profound beliefs to gain presidential power.

    For the last three decades, the Clintons have lived at the intersection of money and politics, trading their political influence to enrich their personal finances. They embody the term “crony capitalism.” It disgusts the American people and causes them to lose faith in our political process.

    A person so untrustworthy and dishonest as Hillary Clinton must not become president. But a Trump nomination enables her victory. The audio and video of the infamous Tapper-Trump exchange on the Ku Klux Klan will play a hundred thousand times on cable and who knows how many million times on social media.

    There are a number of people who claim that Mr. Trump is a con man, a fake. There is indeed evidence of that. Mr. Trump has changed his positions not just over the years, but over the course of the campaign, and on the Ku Klux Klan, daily for three days in a row.

    We will only really know if he is the real deal or a phony if he releases his tax returns and the tape of his interview with the New York Times. I predict that there are more bombshells in his tax returns. I predict that he doesn’t give much if anything to the disabled and to our veterans. I predict that he told the New York Times that his immigration talk is just that: talk. And I predict that despite his promise to do so, first made over a year ago, he will never ever release his tax returns. Never. Not the returns under audit, not even the returns that are no longer being audited. He has too much to hide. Nor will he authorize the Times to release the tapes. If I’m right, you will have all the proof you need to know that Donald Trump is a phony.

    Attacking me as he surely will won’t prove him any less of a phony. It’s entirely in his hands to prove me wrong. All he has to do is to release his back taxes like he promised he would, and let us hear what he said behind closed doors to the New York Times.

    Ronald Reagan used to quote a Scottish philosopher who predicted that democracies and civilizations couldn’t last more than about 200 years. John Adams wrote this: “Remember, democracy never lasts long. It soon wastes, exhausts, and murders itself. There never was a democracy yet that did not commit suicide.” I believe that America has proven these dire predictions wrong for two reasons.

    First, we have been blessed with great presidents, with giants among us. Men of character, integrity and selflessness have led our nation from its very beginning. None were perfect: each surely made mistakes. But in every case, they acted out of the desire to do what was right for America and for freedom.

    The second reason is because we are blessed with a great people, people who at every critical moment of choosing have put the interests of the country above their own.

    These two things are related: our presidents time and again have called on us to rise to the occasion. John F. Kennedy asked us to consider what we could do for our country. Lincoln drew upon the better angels of our nature to save the union.

    I understand the anger Americans feel today. In the past, our presidents have channeled that anger, and forged it into resolve, into endurance and high purpose, and into the will to defeat the enemies of freedom. Our anger was transformed into energy directed for good.

    Mr. Trump is directing our anger for less than noble purposes. He creates scapegoats of Muslims and Mexican immigrants, he calls for the use of torture and for killing the innocent children and family members of terrorists. He cheers assaults on protesters. He applauds the prospect of twisting the Constitution to limit first amendment freedom of the press. This is the very brand of anger that has led other nations into the abyss.

    Here’s what I know. Donald Trump is a phony, a fraud. His promises are as worthless as a degree from Trump University. He’s playing the American public for suckers: He gets a free ride to the White House and all we get is a lousy hat.

    His domestic policies would lead to recession. His foreign policies would make America and the world less safe. He has neither the temperament nor the judgment to be president. And his personal qualities would mean that America would cease to be a shining city on a hill.

    America has greatness ahead. This is a time for choosing. God bless us to choose a nominee who will make that vision a reality.

  • Quizzical

    Good to see Romney attacking Trump.

    It’s not going to make Trump supporters less angry though.

    Even Trump isn’t telling the truth about the trade deals. Trump pretends that our negotiators have been stupid and poor negotiators. I don’t believe that for a second. In these trade deals, there are winners and losers, according to the way the deals are negotiated. The negotiators have their priorities when they go in. In too many of these deals, they have deliberately given priority to protecting and enhancing intellectual property rights, and to get that have sacrificed our country’s interests in industrial manufacturing and the jobs which go with it. Those jobs were going away anyway, probably. Now the people whose jobs and towns were sacrificed are angry, and they have a right to be.

  • http://www.bluevirginia.us/ lowkell

    Delegate Lopez Speaks Out Against Educational Censorship Bill

    ARLINGTON – Today the Virginia House of Delegates voted to pass House Bill 516. The bill requires a school to notify parents if any instructional materials include sexually explicit content and provide different instructional materials and assignments for any student whose parent objects to the sexually explicit material.

    The unintended consequences of this bill are to require teachers to redefine whatever they’re teaching solely in terms of how much “sexually explicit” content it may contain. In far too many cases, a teacher will not be able to do two entire lesson plans for the same class (sometimes on very quick turnaround after an objection from just one parent). This makes it much less likely that they’d be willing to even attempt to use anything that might be considered objectionable in their lessons. Without intending to do it, this will have a dampening effect encouraging teachers to avoid any content that might be found objectionable by any single parent.

    “When the government establishes laws to label literature in terms of a single factor, regardless of that factor’s significance to the larger world of literary merit or meaning, it edges closer to censorship. It means we are labeling content for the sole purpose of suppressing it,” said Delegate Alfonso Lopez (D-Arlington). “The decision about what is appropriate in a given classroom belongs between parents, teachers, school administrators, and local school boards. This bill creates a one-size-fits-all approach throughout the Commonwealth that does not account for the age of the students, regional or cultural considerations, the subject matter, or the context in which the material is being taught. Diminishing and reducing Romeo and Juliet to a play that is just about “teen sex” and suicide does a disservice to the student, our school systems, and the Commonwealth.”

    The bill does not define what type of material would qualify as “sexually explicit,” but tasks the State Board of Education with developing a definition. It would also apply to all academic subjects, including history, science/biology, art history, civics, as well as English and literature.

  • http://www.bluevirginia.us/ lowkell

    From the Virginia Senate Dems:

    SENATE DEMOCRATS UPHOLD GOVERNOR’S VETO ON CPP; HOLD FIRM ON HOUSE COUNTERPART

    RICHMOND — This afternoon, Senate Democrats upheld a veto that came down from the Governor’s Mansion on Senator Ben Chafin’s (R-Russell) SB21, which would have prevented the executive branch from implementing a Virginia-specific plan in line with the federal Clean Power Plan. Nevertheless, the corresponding House bill, Delegate Israel O’Quinn’s (R-Bristol) HB2, passed the Senate shortly thereafter. Both votes were party line.

    Said Senator Dave Marsden (D-Fairfax), “This is about science, not politics. When it comes to clean air, when it comes to reducing carbon emissions, we need to adopt a science-based approach. Virginians are already being affected by the negative impact of climate change and we need to stop kicking the can down the road.”

    Said Senator John Edwards (D-Roanoke), “My colleagues on the other side of the aisle keep trying to put up barriers to any action on climate change, to the detriment of our fellow Virginians who face sea level rise and extreme weather patterns. We need to act now, and we need to support our Governor as he works to do just that.”

    BACKGROUND

    The Clean Power Plan is the Obama administration’s initiative to reduce heat-trapping carbon emissions from existing power plants, which are a major driver of climate change. All states are required to submit a plan to meet a specific reduction target; under current law, Virginia can prepare and submit such a plan without waiting for the General Assembly’s approval. If the GOP-controlled legislature were to involve itself, and if Republicans were to block any compliance plan from moving forward, a plan would eventually be imposed by the federal government.

    Studies suggest that a well-designed Clean Power Plan compliance plan could create jobs and lower power bills in Virginia. A Natural Resources Defense Council brief documenting potential environmental and economic benefits of CPP compliance is available here.

    Note that HB 2 carries an expected cost to taxpayers of approximately $350,000.

  • http://www.bluevirginia.us/ lowkell

    Video: Rep. Bobby Scott Speaks Out In Support of Women’s Rights

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=twulvEgvz_s

  • http://www.bluevirginia.us/ lowkell

    Nutjob Ken Cuccinelli, making the case for this theocratic extremist pal, Ted Cruz:

    My Fellow Virginians,

    While I appreciate Donald Trump’s current rhetorical fire against the establishment and his success in forcing illegal immigration into our Presidential conversation as an important priority, on those rare occasions when he advances policy proposals they are too frequently big government solutions (e.g., healthcare). And in a year that should be good for Republicans competing for the White House, Donald Trump gives up an important list of contrasts that we currently have with Hillary Clinton.

    So, what’s the solution?

    Well, that’s where mathematics comes in.

    Trump has not won half the delegates so far, but he’s close (46%). Trump needs to win 52% of the remaining delegates to become the nominee. It is entirely possible that Trump could achieve this. Not certain, but it’s far more likely that one candidate will get over 50% than it is that the nomination will go to the convention and require a second ballot.

    Cruz would need to win almost 57%, which is doable in a one-on-one with Trump, but would require a collapse by Trump if the entire field stays in. Fortunately, Dr. Carson effectively got out today. Dr. Carson was the other main conservative (okay, non-establishment conservative if you want to argue the term re Rubio), and Dr. Carson’s departure will help Cruz more than anyone else. Exactly how much remains to be seen.

    Rubio would need over 63% of the remaining delegates which is clearly impossible in a multi-candidate field but, more problematically, it is a level of support so far above 50% that it would appear impossible for Rubio to achieve in a one-on-one with Trump.

    Further complicating Rubio’s chances to become the nominee is the fact that he is losing to Trump by the astonishing amount of 20 points in his home state of Florida among the voters that know him best! Recall that Cruz beat Trump by almost that amount (17 points) in his home state of Texas Tuesday night. This is a winner-take-all state (99 delegates), so Rubio’s failure at home is a big boon to Donald Trump.

    Just as those of us on the Cruz Crew said before Tuesday that if Ted lost Texas, his race was over, so too for Marco. If he loses Florida on March 15th (“beware the ides of March”), his race is over. The problem for those that want to beat Donald Trump is that March 15th is too late to overtake Trump. Rubio needs to step out now if he’s actually serious when he says that he “will do anything to keep Donald Trump from being the GOP nominee.”

    So now let’s play the “what if” game. What if Ted gets out? What if Marco gets out?

    This is an important analysis because many people just assume that all of a particular candidate’s supporters will switch to one other candidate if the first candidate gets out. But it never works out that way. Some support goes one way, other support another way, etc.

    So what happens if either Rubio or Cruz gets out of the race?

    First, the support of both Cruz and Rubio does not simply go to the other candidate if they get out. And I will note that obviously different polls show different things on different days. With all of that said…

    One of Cruz’s strengths is that he actually competes with Trump for those voters who are fed up with the establishment in Washington. Not surprisingly, it would appear that more of Cruz’s voters would go to Trump than any other candidate. In other words, Cruz getting out does not allow Rubio to gain on Cruz, in fact, in many states, if Cruz got out Trump would break the 50% threshold.

    On the other hand, considerably more of Rubio’s supporters go to Cruz than to any other candidate if Rubio gets out, which would allow Cruz to compete more effectively with Trump one-on-one. And for this analysis, we will ignore the possibility of a Cruz-Rubio unity ticket and just look at Rubio dropping out.

    If you look at what that would have done on Super Tuesday, Cruz would have won Arkansas and Minnesota easily, and Cruz may have won Tennessee and, yes, even my own Virginia. That means Ted would have certainly won at least 5, and as many as 7, states out of 11 (and Kasich would have won Vermont easily, meaning Trump would have won less than half the states in all scenarios). Additionally, Ted would have gone from seeing Trump ahead of him in the delegate haul to behind him for the night. In fact, if Rubio were not in on Super Tuesday, Cruz would probably be in first place right now in the delegate count.

    So the rationale for Cruz to stay in and Marco to get out includes the fact that Marco has several problems that Cruz does not have: 1) Rubio is on track to lose his home state, while Cruz won his home state; 2) Marco needs to get twice as far over 50% in the remaining contests than Cruz to win the nomination; and 3) Cruz actually gains on Trump if Rubio gets out while Rubio falls farther behind Trump if Cruz gets out.

    There are lots of human dynamics to this, but that’s the math folks. My conclusions were all based on the most up-to-date polling I could find on each of these many questions. Rubio keeps talking as if his sudden priority is to keep Trump from the nomination, but if that IS Rubio’s priority, we should be seeing him exit the race now. As in TODAY.

    Marco, I call on you to act consistent with what you are saying and suspend your campaign today.

    For liberty,

    Ken Cuccinelli, II

  • http://www.bluevirginia.us/ lowkell

    Video: Delegate Alfonso Lopez Speaks Out Against Educational Censorship Bill

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lo2UiqPduHI&feature=youtu.be

  • http://www.bluevirginia.us/ lowkell

    Video: Yes, seriously, we’ve been reduced to the leading GOP candidate for president bragging that he has a big penis. Yep, that’s the GOP at this point.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nALb4lEbSbA