Good morning. Yeh, it’s been a tough week, hearing lie upon lie from the GOP microphones, particularly the top of the ticket. And you have watched as a couple polls show Mittens and Freddie Munster with a slight bump.
Fear not. FiveThirtyEight has some information to cheer your Saturday AM coffee session. Barack Obama has a 72% chance of winning reelection. He is on track to win 303.8 electoral college votes. Mittens has 234.2 electoral votes at this count.
Let’s take a look at Intrade. At the time I write this (things can change between when I post and when you read this) here are the results:
Barack Obama: 57.7% chance of winning
Mittens: 42.3%
Tim Kaine: 55%
One word of caution: Of course, we can cannot assume anything. Without GOTV, refuting GOP lies (as much as you have to between now and Nov 6), and funding our candidate, these predictions may not hold. But I hope this information gives you the hope you need to get through the next two months of work toward ensuring our future. You gotta have hope! Onward…
Please join us visibly and audibly refuting GOP lies. They told a record number of them at this past week’s convention. Make sure you engage your friends (and, yes, family), rebutting the erroneous and fictitious claims.
Last night, I sent off another donation to barackobama.com. If you can afford to do so, did you dig deeper before the Aug 31 fundraising “deadline” last night? The fact is that though the midnight hour passed, it’s not too late.) It was, however,a measurement of where the campaigns stood and what kind of ad buys they can make. But they will still be able to use whatever we all can afford to send.
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