UPDATE #7 Thursday 8:19 pm – It turns out that Josh King lost the PW County Sheriff’s race. Barely, but still. Bummer.
UPDATE #6 Wednesday am – Loudoun County is now officially Democratic “blue,” with a HUGE win for County Board Chair (Phyllis Randall demolished Republican John Whitbeck by an incredible 17.5 points!) and a win for Commonwealth’s Attorney (Democrat Buta Biberaj won by a bit over 2 points), as well as 6-3 control of the County Board!
UPDATE #5 Wednesday am – It looks like Democrat Josh King has narrowly (45%-44%) defeated Republican incumbent Sheriff Glen Hill in Prince William County. I’m really, really happy for Josh King! Also gotta love Democrat Ann Wheeler’s 20-point romp over Republican John Gray, Democrat Kenny Boddye’s win over Republican incumbent Supervisor Ruth Anderson in Occoquan District, and the new Democratic-majority Prince William Board of County Supervisors (as well as the School Board, under the leadership of Chair Babur Lateef)!
UPDATE #4 Wednesday am – In the end, all three Democratic-endorsed Fairfax County at-large School Board candidates (incumbent Karen Keys-Gamarra, Abrar Omeish, Rachna Sizemore-Heizer) won easily, defeating an ugly campaign of lies and fear mongering by their Republican-endorsed opponents. Also, of course, it’s great to see Democrat Laura Jane Cohen trounce (51%-42%) far-right Republican incumbent Elizabeth Schultz, with independent Kyle McDaniel pulling 7.4% of the vote. Schultz will certainly *not* be missed on the School Board, while Cohen will make a superb member.
UPDATE #3 Wednesday am – Congratulations to Democrat Shannon Taylor, who won big time (62%-38%) for reelection as Henrico County Commonwealth’s Attorney, and now is positioned to run statewide, as she’s widely rumored to want to do.
UPDATE #2 Wednesday am – Congratulations to Democrat Jim Hingeley on his 56%-44% win in the Albemarle County Commonwealth’s Attorney race! Major bummer about the Chesterfield County Commonwealth’s Attorney race, where Democrat K. Scott Miles lost to Republican Stacey Davenport. Also, Democrat Javaid Siddiqi lost (55%-45%) in the Chesterfield County Board of Supervisors race in the Midlothian district. Chesterfield, which has been trending in the blue direction, looked pretty red last night!
UPDATE #1 Wednesday am – In HD83, Democrat Nancy Guy leads Republican incumbent Del. Chris Stolle by just 18 votes (10,958-10,940), so that one’s headed to a recount for sure. And Republican Del. Roxann Robinson just barely held on, defeating Democrat Larry Barnett by just 191 votes (15,285-15,095) in HD27. Overall, assuming Nancy Guy hangs on, Democrats picked up 6 seats in the House of Delegates, bringing them to a 55-45 majority…and likely Speaker Eileen Filler-Corn. Congratulations! By the way, in the State Senate, Democrat Cheryl Turpin lost by under a percentage point to Republican Jen Kiggans in SD7. Major missed opportunity there – sigh.
UPDATE 10:47 pm – Also great news in Loudoun County, where Democrats had a great night, with victories for County Board Chair Phyllis Randall (CRUSHING Republican John Whitbeck) and for Buta Bibaraj (narrowly defeating Nicole Wittman for Commonwealth’s Attorney), with Dems now holding a 6-3 margin on the County Board!
UPDATE 10:43 pm – Democrat Josh King has taken an extremely narrow lead for Prince William County Sheriff. This one looks like it could go to a recount. And Democrats Ann Wheeler and Amy Ashworth won decisively for County Board Chair and Commonwealth’s Attorney, respectively. The big disappointment in PW County is in Coles district, where Democrat Raheel Sheikh lost 56%-44% to Republican Yesli Vega. Really, REALLY happy for Democrat Kenny Boddye, though, in Occoquan District – go Kenny! Also note that Dems will have the majority on the PW County Board, for the first time in ages! And the PW County School Board is looking like a deep shade of blue…great stuff there!
UPDATE 10:36 pm – Democrats ended up holding all incumbents in the House and Senate. Dems picked up HD28, HD40, HD76, HD91, HD94 and possibly a few more (HD27, HD83, HD84) – we’ll see. In the Senate, Dems picked up SD10 and SD13, which gives Dems the majority, but is a big disappointment compared to what hopes were…particularly in SD7, SD8, SD12 and SD17. As for SD11, Amanda Chase was always the favorite there, so it’s not a surprise that she won releection in this “red” district, but it’s a bummer nonetheless, as she’s godawful.
UPDATE 9:45 pm – In the State Senate, Democrat Missy Cotter Smasal narrowly (50.5%-49.4%) leads Sen. Bill DeSteph (R) in SD8 with 50% of precincts reporting. Long way to go in that one! And in SD7, with 53% of precincts reporting, Republican Jen Kiggans leads Democrat Cheryl Turpin 51.4%-48.6%. Finally, in SD12, with 90.3% of precincts reporting, Republican incumbent Sen. Siobhan Dunnavant barely leads Democrat Debra Rodman (35,501-35,047).
UPDATE 9:33 pm – In Fairfax County, just about every Dem is winning, other than Linda Sperling in Springfield district. In PW County, Democrat Kenny Boddye defeated Republican Ruth Anderson in Occoquan District 50.6%-49.4%. And Babur Lateef (D) is defeating Alyson Satterwhite (R) 51%-42%.In Loudoun County, Democrat Phyllis Randall crushed Republican John Whitbeck by a 57%-39% margin!
UPDATE 9:31 pm – Amazingly, Democrats won the Kentucky governor’s race. This is shaping up as a GREAT night for Democrats, including the Democratic “trifecta” (House, Senate, governorship) in Virginia!
UPDATE 9:27 pm – Chaz called the House of Delegates and State Senate for Democrats, with the only question being how many seats the Democrats have. At least four Democratic pickups in the House. Also note that Democrat Dan Helmer leads Del. Tim Hugo (R-HD40) 54%-46% with 61% of precincts reporting.
UPDATE 9:20 pm – Ben tweets, “Clint Jenkins (D) defeats incumbent Chris Jones (R)”; “Roz Tyler (D) re-elected and the Dems have won back the House of Delegates”; “I’m headed to a party to celebrate- but with both houses called- you will have to wait for remaining races until later tonight!” It looks, by the way, right now Dems are holding *all* their incumbents in the House of Delegates. That’s a key to Dems taking control of the House of Delegates, and right now it’s looking good.
UPDATE 9:17 pm – In the State Senate, Democrat John Bell has defeated Republican Geary Higgins 54.25%-45.75% in SD13. And Democrat Ghazala Hashmi is cruising to victory (56%-44%) over Sen. Glen Sturtevant with 84% of precincts reporting. And in SD12, Democrat Debra Rodman is defeating Sen. Siobhan Dunnavant (R) by a 52.4%-47.5% margin with 90% reporting.
UPDATE 9:14 pm – From Ben: “9:11 PROJECTION: Willett (D) elected and Van Valkenberg (D) re-elected”; “PROJECTION 9:12: Elizabeth Guzman (D) re-elected”; “Wendy Gooditis (D) has been re-elected”; “PROJECTION 9:14: Roem (D) and Fowler (D) re-elected.” Also, Speaker Kirk Cox (R) is speaking right now and declaring victory. But it doesn’t look like he’ll be Speaker much longer.
UPDATE 9:10 pm – In Fairfax County, Democrat Steve Descano is cruising to victory over Republican Jonathan Fahey for Commonwealth’s Attorney. Democrat Jeff McKay is also cruising to victory for County Board Chair. For School Board, all the Democratic-endorsed at-large candidates (Karen Keys-Gamarra, Abrar Omeish, Rachna Sizemore Heizer) are leading right now, with 45% of precincts reporting, although not by huge margins, so stay tuned. Great news in Springfield District, at least so far, as Democrat Laura Jane Cohen is leading Republican Elizabeth Schultz 50.0%-42.5% with 45% of precincts reporting. As for the County Board race in Springfield district, Republican incumbent Pat Herrity leads Democrat Linda Sperling 52.2%-47.6% with 45% of precincts reporting.
UPDATE 9:07 pm – From Ben: “Kathleen Murphy (D) and Chris Hurst (D) re-elected”; “Subramanyam (D) elected to VA house to replace John Bell”; “Cole (R), Batton (R), and Wyatt (R) all elected”; “Wilt (R) re-elected in VA House.”
UPDATE 9:04 pm – Congratulations to Democrat Mike Turner, who has won the race for Loudoun County Board from the Ashburn District! Unfortunately, it appears that Democrat Tia Walbridge is going to lose to Republican Tony Buffington in the Blue Ridge District.
UPDATE 9:00 pm – Congratulations to Del. Jennifer Carroll Foy (D-HD2), who has been reelected. Also looking good for Del. Hala Ayala (up 52.6%-47.4% with 82% reporting). Del. Danica Roem has won reelection 57%-43%. Nice. Del. Schuyler VanValkenburg appears to be in good shape in HD72, as he leads 54%-46% with 81% reporting.
UPDATE 8:55 pm – With 96% reporting, Democrat Josh Cole leads Republican Paul Milde in HD28 by a 52%-48% margin. Looking good for Cole; Chaz just called it, actually. 🙂 And in HD76, Democrat Clint Jenkins appears to be defeating Del. Chris Jones (R), as he leads 54%-46% with 82% reporting. [UPDATE: Apparently, Jones just conceded, according to NBC12] In HD81, Democrat Len Myers leads Del. Barry Knight (R) 54%-46% with 62% of precincts reporting. This is really starting to look like a big night for Dems! Chaz just called it for Del. Lee Carter (D) in HD50.
UPDATE 8:53 pm – In Prince William County, Democrat Amy Ashworth is winning easily (58%-42%) for Commonwealth’s Attorney with 84% of precincts reporting. Congratulations! For Sheriff, it’s VERY close, with Republican Glen Hill leading Democrat Josh King 45.6%-44.2% with 83% of precincts reporting.
UPDATE 8:51 pm – Ben tweets, “8:46 PROJECTION: Lee Carter re-elected to VA House (D).” and “8:50 projection: Bloxom (R) wins HD100”; “Latest 33 DEM, 23 GOP, 44 to go”
UPDATE 8:46 pm – In Loudoun County, with 96% of precincts reporting, Buta Biberaj (D) leads Republican Nicole Wittmann by a narrow (50.9%-49.1%) margin for Commonwealth’s Attorney. Go Buta! Also, GREAT news, as Loudoun County Board Chair Phyllis Randall (D) is CRUSHING Republican John Whitbeck by a 56.4%-39.5% margin. So cool! Also, it looks like Democrat Julie Briskman is defeating Republican Suzanna Volpe in Algonkian district, as she leads 54%-46% with 92% reporting. And Sylvia Glass (D) is beating Jim Bonfils (R) in Broad Run district by a 59%-41% margin with 93% reporting. For Sheriff, it looks like Republican Mike Chapman is defeating Democrat Justin Hannah. Sigh.
UPDATE 8:44 pm – Ben tweets, “8:40 PROJECTION- Prince William Democrats have won control of the Board of Supervisors with pickups from Ann Wheeler for Chair, Kenny Boddye and Andrea Bailey. Will be a 5-3 DEM majority from 6-2 GOP edge from before.” Also looks like Babur Lateef is going to be reelected as School Board Chair. Nice!
UPDATE 8:43 pm – Ben tweets, “BEEN TOLD THERE IS A BOARD OF ELECTIONS ERROR HERE- HOLD THIS ONE” on the Rodman call. OK, this is really ridiculous.
UPDATE 8:38 pm – With 73% of precincts reporting, Sen. Lynwood Lewis (D) is cruising to victory, as he leads 60%-40%. In HD66, with 73% reporting, Speaker Kirk Cox (R) leads Sheila Bynum-Coleman (D) by a 54%-45% margin. With 88% reporting in SD17, Sen. Bryce Reeves (R) leads Democrat Amy Laufer 53%-47%. Chaz just called HD91 for Democrat Martha Mugler.
UPDATE 8:35 pm – Ben tweets, “Democrats pick up 91st (Mugler) and 94th House (Simonds)” and “Obenshain (R) and Stuart (R) re-elected to VA Senate” and “8:34 PROJECTION: Debra Rodman (D) is the 3rd DEM Senate pickup of the night.” “Latest: 21 DEM (+3), 15 GOP, 4 to go”
UPDATE 8:30 pm – With 40% reporting, it’s looking good for Del. Danica Roem (D-HD13), who leads 57%-43%. With 65% of precincts reporting, Del. Lee Carter (D-HD50) leads 53.1%-46.7%. With 65% reporting, Del. Schuyler VanValkenburg (D-HD72) is leading 53.3%-46.6%. In HD73, with 64% reporting, it’s Democrat Rodney Willett leading 52.8%-47.1%. According to Chaz, Del. Dawn Adams has won reelection; Del. Nick Freitas (R) won his write-in campaign; Del. Dave LaRock (R) has also won.
UPDATE 8:25 pm – In SD28, with 49% reporting, incumbent Sen. Richard Stuart (R) is leading Democrat Qasim Rashid by a 59%-41% margin. In SD17, with 74% reporting, incumbent Sen. Bryce Reeves (R) is leading Democrat Amy Laufer by a 54%-45% margin. With 71% of precincts reporting in SD13, Democrat John Bell leads Republican Geary Higgins by a 54.1%-45.9% margin. In SD12, with 74% reporting, it’s Democrat Debra Rodman 53%-Sen. Siobhan Dunnavant (R) by a 53%-47% margin. With 95% of precincts reporting, Democrat Shelly Simonds leads Del. David Yancey (R) by a huge margin, 57.7%-40.3%. That one’s over – congratulations Delegate-elect Simonds; no ceramic bowl this time! 🙂
UPDATE 8:10 pm – Now with 50% of precincts reporting in HD91, Democrat Martha Mugler is leading Republican Colleen Holcomb by a 58%-42% margin. Meanwhile, massive problems on both VPAP and the State Board of Elections sites. Sadly, this has been typical of those sites for many, many years…and yet it never seems to get fixed.
UPDATE 8:06 pm – With 42% reporting in HD91, it’s looking good for Democrat Martha Mugler, who leads her Republican opponent by a 59%-41% margin. Go Mugler! With 46% of precincts reporting, Speaker Kirk Cox (R-HD66) leads Sheila Bynum-Coleman by a 53%-46% margin. And with 18% of precincts reporting, Democrat Clint Jenkins leads Del. Chris Jones (R) by a 53%-47% margin in HD76. And in HD73, with 36% reporting, Democrat Rodney Willett leads Republican Mary Margaret Kastelberg by a 54%-47% margin. In HD68, it’s looking good for Del. Dawn Adams (D), who leads her Republican opponent (Garrison Coward) by a 55%-45% margin.
UPDATE 8:02 pm – With 82% of precincts reporting, it’s now Debra Rodman (D) leading Sen. Siobhan Dunnavant (R) by a 55%-45%. Looking good for Rodman! With 41% of precincts reporting, Del. Lee Carter (D-HD50) leads his Republican opponent 52%-48%. With 42% of precincts reporting, Democrat Shelly Simonds leads Republican Del. David Yancey by a 58%-42% margin. Hopefully no pull of names from a ceramic bowl this time around! LOL
UPDATE 8 pm – Ben says, “It’s official, Democrats have won the VA Senate.” 🙂 This, after Ben tweets – “7:56 PROJECTION: JOHN BELL (D) has picked up the Senate seat currently held by Dick Black, and Jennifer Boysko (D) has won re-election.” Also “7:51 PROJECTION: Senators Amanda Chase (R) and Mark Peake (R) re-elected.” and “DEM Senators George Barker, Janet Howell and Creigh Deeds have all been re-elected. Dems now take control by holding final 2 seats they currently have or any others.” and “First flip of the night, Ghazala Hashmi’s lead in Chestefield seals the deal for her defeat of Glen Sturdivant (R) in key Senate race.”
UPDATE 7:58 pm – With 43% of precincts reporting, Sen. Amanda Chase (R-SD11) leads Democrat Amanda Pohl by a 57%-43% margin. With 37% of precincts reporting, Sen. Bryce Reeves leads Democrat Amy Laufer by a 54%-46% margin.
UPDATE 7:54 pm – With 60% of precincts reporting, Democrat Ghazala Hashmi is beating Sen. Glen Sturtevant (R) by a 58%-42% margin. In HD10, Del. Wendy Gooditis (D) is leading Republican Randy Minchew by 11 points with half the precincts reporting. Democrat John Bell is now up 54%-46% over Republican Geary Higgins in SD13 with 57% of precincts reporting.
UPDATE 7:52 pm – With 21% of precincts reporting, Sen. Bryce Reeves (R-SD17) leads Democrat Amy Laufer by a 59%-41% margin. Chaz Nuttycombe just said Debra Rodman is getting what she needs to get a win (by “less than 4 percent”) in SD12.
UPDATE 7:47 pm – With 24% of precincts reporting, Debra Rodman (D) leads Sen. Siobhan Dunnavant by a 60%-40% margin in SD12. With 15% of precincts reporting, Del. Danica Roem (D-HD13) leads Kelly McGinn (R) by a 64.4%-35.6% margin.
UPDATE 7:45 pm – With 18% of precincts reporting, Del. Lee Carter (D-HD50) leads Republican Ian Lovejoy 51%-49%. With 37% of precincts reporting, Del. Wendy Gooditis (D-HD10) leads Randy Minchew (R) 55%-45%. With 38% of precincts reporting, John Bell (D) leads Geary Higgins (R) in SD13 by a 53%-47% margin.
UPDATE 7:42 pm – Ben’s latest updates are Senate: 13 DEM, 10 GOP, 17 left; HOUSE: 24 DEM, 14 GOP, 62 left
UPDATE 7:37 pm – The NY Times has also called HD32 for Del. David Reid (D); HD35 for Del. Mark Keam (D); HD36 for Del. Ken Plum (D); HD37 for Del. David Bulova (D); HD38 for Del. Kaye Kory (D); HD45 for Del. Mark Levine (D); HD46 for Del. Charniele Herring (D); HD47 for Del. Patrick Hope (D); HD48 for Del. Rip Sullivan (D); HD53 for Del. Marcus Simon (D); HD57 for Sally Hudson (D); HD67 for Del. Karrie Delaney (D); HD69 for Del. Betsy Carr (D); HD70 for Del. Delores McQuinn (D); HD74 for Del. Lamont Bagby (D); HD77 for Del. Cliff Hayes (D); HD79 for Del. Steve Heretick (D); HD86 for Del. Ibraheem Samirah (D); HD88 for Del. Jay Jones (D); HD89 for Del. Joe Lindsey (D); HD92 for Del. Jeion Ward (D); HD95 for Del. Cia Price (D).
UPDATE 7:35 pm – More calls by Ben Tribbett: “Delegates Jeff Campbell (R) and Les Adams (R) re-elected”; “Ben Chafin (R) re-elected to VA Senate”; “2017 LG nominee Jill Vogel (R) re-elected to VA Senate”; “John Edwards (D) re-elected to VA Senate”; “Bill Stanley (R) re-elected to VA Senate”
UPDATE 7:31 pm – The NY Times has called SD1, SD2 and SD18 for Democratic Senators Monty Mason, Mamie Locke and Louise Lucas. The NY Times has also called SD23 for Sen. Steve Newman (R); HD1 for Del. Terry Kilgore (R); HD3 for Del. James Morefield (R); HD5 for Del. Israel O’Quinn (R); HD9 for Del. Charles Poindexter (R); HD17 for Del. Chris Head (R); HD19 for Del. Terry Austin (R).
UPDATE 7:28 pm from Ben Tribbett – “Jennifer McClellan (D) re-elected to Senate. Latest: 8 Democrats, 4 Republicans, 28 seats left”; “JOHN COSGROVE (R) re-elected to Senate. Latest: 8 Democrats, 5 Republicans, 27 seats left”; “Joe Morrissey (D) returns to the General Assembly winning his Senate seat after defeating incumbent in primary. Latest: 9 Democrats, 5 Republicans, 26 seats to go”; “David Suetterlein (R) wins re-election to Senate. Latest: 9 Democrats, 6 Republicans, 25 seats to go”
UPDATE 7:26 pm:
UPDATE 7:02 pm – Polls are closed now, but don’t leave if you’re in line! Also, check this out from Ben Tribbett – and we’re off and running…
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As always, I’ll be live blogging Virginia’s election results as they come in tonight (polls close at 7 pm – make sure you stay in line and cast your ballot!), with results from the State Board of Elections, the Fairfax County Board of Elections, Chesterfield County election results, the Washington Post, the NY Times, etc. I’ll also be keeping an eye on Twitter feeds from Virginia political gurus like Not Larry Sabato (Ben Tribbett), Chaz Nuttycombe, @kkondik, @JMilesColeman, @LarrySabato, @RachelBitecofer and others. [Note: check out the Election Day Open Thread, particularly the comments section, for tons of information from today…]
The main races I’ll be focusing on are as follows:
HD10: Del. Wendy Gooditis (D) vs. Randy Minchew (R)
HD13: Del. Danica Roem (D) vs. Kelly McGinn (R)
HD21: Del. Kelly Fowler (D) vs. Shannon Kane (R)
HD27: Larry Barnett (D) vs. Del. Roxann Robinson (R)
HD28: Joshua Cole (D) vs. Paul Milde (R)
HD30: Ann Ridgeway (D) vs. Nick Freitas (write-in)
HD40: Dan Helmer (D) vs. Del. Tim Hugo (R)
HD50: Del. Lee Carter (D) vs. Ian Lovejoy (R)
HD51: Del. Hala Ayala (D) vs. Rich Anderson (R)
HD66: Sheila Bynum-Coleman (D) vs. Speaker Kirk Cox (R)
HD68: Del. Dawn Adams (D) vs. Garrison Coward (R)
HD72: Del. Schuyler VanValkenburg (D) vs. GayDonna Vandergriff (R)
HD73: Rodney Willett (D) vs. Mary Margaret Kastelberg (R)
HD81: Len Myers (D) vs. Del. Barry Knight (R)
HD83: Nancy Guy (D) vs. Del. Chris Stolle (R)
HD84: Karen Mallard (D) vs. Del. Glenn Davis (R)
HD85: Alex Askew (D) vs. Rocky Holcomb (R)
HD91: Martha Mugler (D) vs. Colleen Holcomb (R)
HD93: Del. Mike Mullin (D) vs. Heather Cordasco (R)
HD94: Shelly Simonds (D) vs. Del. David Yancey (R)
HD100: Phil Hernandez (D) vs. Del. Rob Bloxom (R)
SD7: Cheryl Turpin (D) vs. Jen Kiggans (R)
SD8: Missy Cotter Smasal (D) vs. Sen. Bill DeSteph (R)
SD10: Ghazala Hashmi (D) vs. Sen. Glen Sturtevant (R)
SD11: Amanda Pohl (D) vs. Sen. Amanda Chase (R)
SD12: Debra Rodman (D) vs. Sen. Siobhan Dunnavant (R)
SD13: John Bell (D) vs. Geary Higgins (R)
SD17: Amy Laufer (D) vs. Sen. Bryce Reeves (R)
SD28: Qasim Rashid (D) vs. Sen. Richard Stuart (R)
Prince William Board of County Supervisors Chair: Ann Wheeler (D) vs. John Gray (R)
Prince William Board of County Supervisors – Brentsville District: Maggie Hansford (D) vs. Supervisor Jeanine Lawson (R)
Prince William Board of County Supervisors – Coles District: Raheel Sheikh (D) vs. Yesli Vega (R)
Prince William Board of County Supervisors – Occoquan District: Kenny Boddye (D) vs. Supervisor Ruth Anderson (R)
Prince William County School Board Chair: Babur Lateef (D-endorsed) vs. Alyson Satterwhite (R-endorsed)
Prince William County Sheriff: Josh King (D-endorsed) vs. incumbent Glendell Hill (R-endorsed)
Prince William County Commonwealth’s Attorney: Amy Ashworth (D-endorsed) vs. Mike May (R-endorsed)
Loudoun County Board of Supervisors Chair: Incumbent Phyllis Randall (D) vs. John Whitbeck (R)
Loudoun County Commonwealth’s Attorney: Buta Biberaj (D-endorsed) vs. Nicole Wittmann (R-endorsed)
Loudoun County Sheriff: Justin Hannah (D-endorsed) vs. incumbent Michael Chapman (R)
Fairfax County Commonwealth’s Attorney: Steve Descano (D-endorsed) vs. Jonathan Fahey (I/R-endorsed)
Fairfax County Board of Supervisors – Springfield District: Linda Sperling (D) vs. incumbent Pat Herrity (R)
Fairfax County School Board – Springfield District: Laura Jane Cohen (D-endorsed) vs. incumbent Elizabeth Schultz (R-endorsed) and Kyle McDaniel (I)
Fairfax County School Board – Sully District: Stella Pekarsky (D-endorsed) vs. incumbent Tom Wilson (R-endorsed)
Fairfax County School Board – Dranesville District: Elaine Tholen (D-endorsed) vs. Anastasia Karloutsos (I) and Ardavan Mobasheri (I)
Fairfax County School Board – At Large: Abrar Omeish (D-endorsed), Rachna Sizemore Heizer (D-endorsed), incumbent Karen Keys-Gamarra (D-endorsed) vs. Vinson Palathingal (R-endorsed), Priscilla DeStefano (R-endorsed), Cheryl Buford (R-endorsed)
Chesterfield County Commonwealth’s Attorney: Incumbent Scott Miles (D-endorsed) vs. Stacey Davenport (R-endorsed)
Henrico County Commonwealth’s Attorney: Incumbent Shannon Taylor (D-endorsed) vs. Owen Conway (R-endorsed)
Chesterfield County Board of Supervisors: Democrat Javaid Siddiqi (D) vs. incumbent Leslie Haley (R)
Heading into election day, the consensus – based on fundraising, polling, absentee ballot numbers, etc. – seems to be that Democrats are favored to take back the State Senate and quite likely the House of Delegates. A good night for Democrats, IMHO, would be winning majorities – even if only bare majorities – in both the House and Senate, plus keeping the Loudoun County Board Chair, picking up the Prince William Board of County Supervisors, etc. A VERY good night would get Democrats to 53+ in the House of Delegates and 23+ in the State Senate, plus kicking butt in local elections. A “blue wave” election would see Virginia Dems picking up getting into the upper 50s in the House of Delegates and 25+ in the State Senate, plus sweeping the local races.
Finally, here are links to the final predictions by Ben Tribbett, Chaz Nuttycombe and Rachel Bitecofer…also the 2018 VPAP pundit contest winner Christian Heiens.
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