Two New Virginia Polls Have Kamala Harris Up 7.6-10 Pts and Tim Kaine Up 10-11 Pts. GOP Pollster Has Winsome Sears Up 48%-12% Over Jason Miyares for 2025 GOP Governor’s Primary

We’ve got two new polls today on Virginia, one from Roanoke College (not the greatest pollster) and one from Cygnal (Republican firm; its VP for polling “served as Pollster to President Donald J. Trump’s reelection, and Vivek Ramaswamy’s campaign for President in 2024”). The good news is, even these two pollsters have Kamala Harris easily winning Virginia, as well as Tim Kaine easily defeating Hung Cao. Here are a few highlights from the two polls.

• Cygnal has Kamala Harris up 7.6 points (50.3%-42.7%) over Donald Trump in Virginia, with Sen. Tim Kaine up 10 points over Hung Cao.

• In the 2025 Virginia GOP gubernatorial primary, LG Winsome Sears crushes AG Jason Miyares, 48%-12%, with 40% undecided.  Perhaps Miyares – the worst Attorney General, other than Ken Cuccinelli, Virginia has ever had – should either retire or run for reelection and lose to the Democratic AG nominee (Jay Jones or Shannon Taylor) next year?

• The Roanoke College poll has Kamala Harris up 10 points (51%-41%) over Donald Trump in Virginia, with Sen. Tim Kaine up 11 points (51%-40%) over Hung Cao. 
• This compares to Roanoke College’s last poll, back in August, which was a hot mess in just about every way, with: a) Kamala Harris up an absurdly small 3 points; b) Tim Walz at -17 favorability (34%-51%), which was/is utterly ridiculous, a wild outlier from almost every other pollster; c) Kamala Harris at -10 favorability; etc. As I noted above, Roanoke College really isn’t a very good pollster. 
• Note that in its latest poll, Roanoke College has Kamala Harris’ favorable rating up from -10 in August to a still-unlikely -1 now (in comparison, Republican pollster Cygnal has Harris +5 net favorable). Roanoke College has Sen. Kaine’s favorable rating at just +6 (39%-33%), against lower than Cygnal (+11 net favorable for Kaine). Who knows…
• Finally, note that Roanoke College’s analysis claims that Trump “might not” have enough support to win Virginia and has a “tough uphill climb,” although supposedly “Republicans are catching up” in early voting.  I mean, Trump DOES NOT have enough support to win Virginia, has a lot more than a “tough uphill climb” and is NOT “catching up.” Other than that…spot on, LOL!