The following analysis is from LAURA PAC (“Local Alliance for Urban & Rural Advancement”); compare/contrast to this analysis by Timothy Hickey, a public school teacher for 17 years who now works for the Virginia Education Association. As you can see, the maps are quite different, with Hickey’s map showing 64.5% of Virginia students in divisions “that are opening with a primarily virtual model,” while LAURA PAC has “all-remote” at just 9% of localities, albeit including some large-population jurisdictions, such as Fairfax County, Prince William County, Loudoun County, Arlington County, Richmond City, Albemarle County, etc. I messaged LAURA PAC and also Timothy Hickey to ask if they knew why there seemingly significant disparities between their analyses. I’ll update this post to let you know what (if anything) I find out…
UPDATE 6:30 pm – Timothy Hickey responded, said “it mostly appears [that differences between the maps] are explained by timing,” adding that “It’s a fast moving situation & divisions are changing course daily.”
UPDATE 5:55 pm – The LAURA PAC folks responded, said that they “completed collecting data Aug. 1 and then compiled the map”; “we had to rely entirely on publicly available sources”; “some of the classification is purely a judgement call”; “if the public information seemed especially vacilatory, I marked the locality has having no current plan even if there was a vague menu of options on the table”; “I imagine that some combination of the above factors pretty much explains everything…The ambiguities and fiddly ‘compromises’ that make it so easy for two well researched maps to look so different are a story, and perhaps the biggest story unto themselves, eh?”
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