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Virginia News Headlines: Sunday Morning

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Here are a few national and Virginia news headlines, political and otherwise, for Sunday, April 12.

*Obama: U.S. can ‘turn the page’ on history with Cuba (Obviously, most of us are not fans of the Cuban regime, but it’s long past time that we had diplomatic relations with Cuba, just as we do with many other countries we’re not big fans of.)

*Clinton campaign memo: No drama this time

*Barack Obama to John McCain: Back off John Kerry (Basically, John McCain says if you don’t agree with his super-hawkish views, then you are “delusional.” Uh, John? Look in the mirror!)

*Krugman: A Victory Against the Shadows (“There are two big lessons from GE’s announcement that it is planning to get out of the finance business. First, the much maligned Dodd-Frank financial reform is doing some real good. Second, Republicans have been talking nonsense on the subject.”)

*A New Phase in Anti-Obama Attacks (“If this insurrection is driven by something other than a blend of ideological extremism and personal animosity, it is not clear what that might be. But it is ugly, it deepens mistrust of government and it harms the office of the president, not just Mr. Obama.” Add in a dollop of racism to the noxious right-wing stew and you’ve got it!))

*Fight over law enforcement surveillance to highlight Wednesday’s veto session

*McAuliffe amendments on license plate readers, drones spark pushback

*Barrick: Faith community must respond to Mountain Valley pipeline (“The fossil fuel industry believes it has dominion over private property, and indeed the entire planet. Well, the industry is dead wrong.”)

*Fredericks: Virginia’s New Senator Stooge (“Outgoing Republican Sen. Ralph Smith has cynically rigged the system to brazenly ensure his hand-picked successor – tenderfoot legislative aide David Suetterlein – would have no formal GOP challenge for the nomination.” For once I agree with right winger John Fredericks…)

*Tight state funding hits local classrooms hard (“Money’s still tight for schools years after the Great Recession – and with state support for schools barely at pre-recession levels, despite a 9 percent rise in state government revenue since then, the bite is felt most deeply in classrooms.” So much for Republicans funding education adequately.)

*Former Sen. Jim Webb shares thoughts on veterans’ issues (Cool, how about Secretary of Veterans Affairs in the Clinton administration? :))

*HRT: Bus transit alternative to light rail would be costly

*Schapiro: Sweet Briar played by the rules – a half-century ago (“With the fight for Sweet Briar heading to court, the outcome could be guided by a legal dispute a half-century ago over the college’s whites-only rule.”)

*Fairfax jail inmate in Taser death was shackled (Absolutely outrageous, unacceptable, etc. Heads need to roll for this.)

*Tug-of-war for new Redskins stadium is complicated by name debate (“Virginia is pushing hard to land the next stadium, Maryland is playing catch-up, and D.C. is on the sidelines.” No more taxpayer-funded corporate welfare to billionaire Dan Snyder!)

*We want Virginia to stop spying

*Divided Fairfax County School Board Passes Salary Increase for 2016, to $32,000 from $20,000. (“Moon also cited the lower current salary as a deterrent for a wider spectrum of people deciding to run for a position on the School Board.” Agreed, that’s one of several strong reasons for paying public servants a reasonable salary.)

*Next generation of Metro train cars, built in Nebraska, to debut Tuesday

*Portsmouth councilmen: City attorney was pushed out

*More secrecy in conference center (“Since the Ikon building was hurriedly demolished in 2007, Norfolk has been racing to replace it with something shiny and new.”)

*Expect a Spectacular Sunday and pleasant weather for the work week

As sea level rise accelerates, buying shorefront property becomes a game of musical chairs

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Thank God for climate change deniers. They may eventually be the only buyers for shorefront real estate.

Sea level rise may not cause widespread flooding until later in this century or into the next one, but real estate deals involve long timelines: the useful life of a new house or a commercial building can be at least fifty years, while an infrastructure project might last a hundred years or more.

And of course, it’s one thing to lose your house, and another to lose the ground beneath it. Sea level rise means low-lying real estate now comes with an expiration date.

So smart buyers-and landowners-have to consider not just today’s flood maps, but also ones that haven’t been drawn yet. If a rising sea will threaten property some decades from now, it will depreciate over time, like a car. At some point only chumps and climate deniers will buy.

Head-in-the-sand posturing still dominates the headlines, like Florida Governor Rick Scott’s alleged ban on the use of the term “climate change,” or the North Carolina legislature’s silly (and costly) attempt to legislate sea level rise out of existence. Now the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) hopes to force states to get serious about climate change by requiring states to do a better job planning for natural disasters caused in part by global warming. FEMA’s goal is to save money through better planning, but conservatives have attacked the requirement as politically motivated.

Meanwhile, however, many states and localities have already begun using sea level rise forecasting in their planning. The projections will help land use planners determine not just where to allow growth, but also where to defend existing development against the incursion of the sea, and where the wiser course is to retreat. And of course, the studies should inform the decisions of anyone thinking of buying property on the coast.

Two recent studies provide a picture of sea level rise in Virginia. The Virginia Institute of Marine Science (VIMS) issued its report in January 2013, titled Recurrent Flooding Study for Tidewater Virginia. Building on that study and others, on March 10 of this year the Sierra Club released Sea Level Rise: What Should Virginia Plan For?

Both studies agree on some pretty sobering numbers. By the end of this century, the sea level in Norfolk, Virginia, is projected to be 3.6-5 feet above the level in 1992. By that point, the sea will be rising more than half a foot per decade. The numbers are higher for Virginia than for many states, in part because the land around Hampton Roads is also sinking at a rate of about one foot per century.

Although Hampton Roads gets most of the media attention, sea level rise threatens the entire Virginia coastline and the tidal portions of rivers, including the Potomac River all the way up to Alexandria and Washington, D.C. A whole lot of people should be consulting topographic maps before they make their next real estate decision.

The Sierra Club report focuses in on specific timeframes that matter in real estate decisions: twenty-five years for short-term projects, fifty years for new homes, and a hundred years for infrastructure projects. With a one-foot margin of safety added in, the report recommends that anyone considering a new project or building today with a 50-year expected life should plan for as much as 3.7 feet of sea level rise over the 1992 baseline. That number becomes 5.5-7.2 feet when the planning horizon is extended out a hundred years, to 2115.

(The “good” news is that the sea rose half a foot between 1992 and today, so you get to subtract six inches from these projections if you are starting now.)

Results are stated as a range rather than a precise number because the actual level will depend on many factors. Researchers agree that a certain amount of sea level rise is “baked in” as a result of greenhouse gas emissions to date, but future emissions will play a big role in determining how much the seas rise in the long run. Providing a range allows users to decide how much risk they are willing to take. Even at the high end, there are caveats; new information about melting ice in Eastern Antarctica could make today’s projections too conservative.

Right now many shore communities are hosting a game of musical chairs. Developers continue to build and sell new housing, figuring they can earn a good return on their investment and get out before the market collapses. Buyers aren’t told about the risks. Sea level rise is bad for business, so business would rather not talk about it. And some local governments soft-peddle the news, afraid of setting off a panic that will make the collapse of the real estate market a self-fulfilling prophecy.

The Virginia General Assembly took action this year to require localities in the Hampton Roads Planning District Commission to include measures addressing sea level rise in their comprehensive plans. The District includes 16 local governments in southeast Virginia, but that’s only a fraction of the counties and cities vulnerable to sea level rise.

Another bill requires that the disclaimer form provided to home buyers across the state include language warning that the seller makes no representations about whether the property is located in a “special flood hazard area” or may require flood insurance, putting the onus on buyers to inquire. While prudent buyers will follow through (and mortgage lenders will make sure they do), today’s flood maps don’t reflect tomorrow’s reality.

So these bills are a good start, but Virginia needs to do more. Local governments outside of Hampton Roads need specific guidance for planning, and the public needs better education about the floods to come. By the time the sea claims low-lying neighborhoods from Virginia Beach up to Alexandria, there may not be enough climate deniers left to buy everyone out.

 

Virginia News Headlines: Saturday Morning

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Here are a few national and Virginia news headlines, political and otherwise, for Saturday, April 11. Also check out the weekly address, in which VP Biden describes “his and the President’s plan to make two years of community college free for responsible students.”

*Lauren Hill, gone at 19, but still an undying force (She was, and is, an inspiration…)

*RNC Releases “Stop Hillary” Ad Exclusively To Fox & Friends (Again, why do any Democrats go on this right-wing propaganda network?)

*What To Look For In Media Coverage Of Hillary Clinton

*Helicopter Video Captures Extreme Police Brutality In California

*Bloomberg News Falls for Fake Story About Nancy Reagan Endorsing Hillary Clinton (Soo….any “heads going to roll” at Bloomberg News, given the media’s high horse about the supposedly unique incompetence of Rolling Stone? Nope, didn’t think so.)

*Video Shows Rand Paul Walking Out Of Interview With Newspaper (Hothead. Nut. Wacko. Rand Paul 2016! LOL)

*NRA’s Clinton Derangement Syndrome: Hillary Clinton “Will Bring A Permanent Darkness Of Deceit And Despair” To America

*Kaine asserts Congress’s role in nuclear agreement with Iran (Yeah, I have a much dimmer view of Congress mucking around in foreign policy…)

*Kaine feeling optimistic Congress will get more done (Based on what? Congress hasn’t passed almost any significant legislation in five years or so…)

*Teens in Virginia, nation not using most effective birth control devices

*Dispute over bathroom in Virginia school district is a sad spectacle (“IT IS hard to say who has behaved most disgracefully in a Virginia school district’s dispute over which bathroom a transgender child should be allowed to use.” I vote for Susan Stimpson, absolutely disgusting demagoguery.)

*Aquaculture surges in the bay

*Va. Beach police investigating use of stun gun, pepper spray

*Will Loudoun Chairman Scott York and Sheriff Mike Chapman Make an Independent Team?

*Body found in Southampton County ID’d as AJ Hadsell

*Forecast: A breezy start to a mostly splendid stretch of spring weather

Fairfax County School Board Member, County Board Candidate Co-Founder of Quack, Anti-Vaxxer Group

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The race to succeed Gerry Hyland (D) as Fairfax County Supervisor from the Mt. Vernon magisterial district is off and running, and there are four Democrats in the field. I don’t support anyone in this race as of yet (and may never), but I’ve started looking into the candidates, one of whom is Fairfax County School Board member Dan Storck. According to Storck’s website, he is “Co-Founder and Managing Member, National Integrated Health Associates.” What is National Integrated Health Associates, you ask? I had never heard of it before (and barely knew a thing about its “co-founder and managing member,” Dan Storck), so I checked its website. Here’s what I found.

*The company claims to be “leaders in holistic integrative medicine and biological dentistry.” Sounds innocuous enough, but start poking around the website, and you quickly get a different impression.

*In fact, these folks are vociferous “anti-vaxxers,” who among other things tie vaccination to autism. See their page on vaccinations for more on this dangerous pseudo-science. Note that, according to the Centers for Disease Control, “There is no link between vaccines and autism.” Period. Also, just for emphasis, “Vaccine ingredients do not cause autism.”

*Despite the overwhelming benefit to humanity of vaccines, and the pandemics that would occur (which would kill untold numbers of people) if we stopped vaccinating people, the National Integrated Health Associates website states, “We support the National Vaccine Information Center (NVIC) effort and their accumulated expertise and information about vaccinations – the risks and benefits of vaccinations.”

*The “National Vaccine Information Center,” as this article in Slate explains:

…is a group that has an official-sounding name, one that might make you think their message is trustworthy.

Except, not so much. Or at all. Or really just the opposite.

NVIC is an antivax group, plain and simple. Despite hugely overwhelming tsunami-level amounts of evidence showing no link between vaccines and autism, they still think there is one. They go on and on about “vaccine injuries”, yet actual severe side effects from vaccines are very rare, especially when you realize that many millions of vaccines are given every year. The NVIC relies on anecdotes of injuries as evidence, but that’s very dangerous thinking. Stories and personal observations are a good place to start-it’s how you might notice a connection between two things-but it’s not where you end. You must apply rigorous testing to your ideas, so that you can make sure you’re not seeing a connection where none exists.

Not good.

*Even worse: on the National Integrated Health Associates website, there’s a page of links to all kinds of dangerous, pseudo-scientific nonsense. For instance, a document entitled “Seeking to understand: ASD (Autistic Spectrum Disorder)” argues absurdly that “only you can be your child’s best doctor.” No, sorry, that’s what all those years of Medical School are for, and why we go to the doctor for diagnosis and treatment, not to Dr. Mom or Dr. Dad.

*The National Integrated Health Associates website further claims, outrageously: “welfare moms and school systems get extra money for medicating their kids – what a system!” Whoa — “welfare moms?” The whole vaccination thing is a way for school systems and “welfare moms” to get money? Is this a bad joke?

*The website also asserts, completely falsely, that “Autism, ADHD, allergies and asthma (4 A’s) and all the other brain disorders are due to neuro-immune dys-function due to too much neurotoxins and the inability of the child to adequately detox or remove these harmful toxins.” It explicitly blames, again completely falsely, the “rapid rise in the vaccination schedules for infants in the last 30 years” for everything from autism to allergies to “leaky gut” to “Lyme, Candida, Herpes virus, Strep, staph, tetanus botulinum, mycotoxins from mold and others.” Alrighty then…

*One of the National Integrated Health Associates’ doctors was disciplined by the Maryland State Board of Physicians for having “incompetently managed 12 significantly ill patients.” This same doctor previously had been “convicted and sentenced to two years’ probation for marketing an unapproved medical device in interstate commerce.” In addition, he “signed a consent agreement with the Maryland board under which he admitted to practicing medicine without a license and would pay a $15,000 fine.” Oh, and New York State suspended this guy’s license for basically being a total quack, practicing something called “orthomolecular medicine,” which his website claimed (falsely) were “effective against ADD & ADHD; aging and longevity; alcohol and drug problems; allergies; Alzheimer’s; arthritis; asthma; immune and autoimmune disorders; cancer; chronic cardiovascular problems and risk factor screening; chronic fatigue; chronic illness; chronic pain; depression; detoxification; diabetes; fibromyalgia; heart and vascular disease; heavy metal toxicity; hormonal problems; intestinal problems; lifestyle health issues; men’s health problems; mental health problems; migraine; neurological disorders; osteoporosis; Parkinson’s disease; sinusitis; smoking; sports nutritional medicine; and women’s health problem.” Craaaazy stuff.

We could go on all day here, but the bottom line is clear: the National Integrated Health Associates, co-founded and managed by Fairfax County School Board member (and current County Board candidate) Dan Storck, is a quack organization which strongly promotes dangerous “anti-vaxxer” pseudoscience. Why “dangerous?”  Because, obviously, failure to vaccinate children makes not just the unvaccinated children more vulnerable to potentially life-threatening diseases, but also other people (e.g., older people whose immunity might be compromised for whatever reason) as well. As this article puts it: “An epidemic of vaccination skepticism – largely based on unfounded and discredited anti-vaccine beliefs – has contributed to the growing public health crisis.

So here’s the thing: Dan Storck is entitled to whatever beliefs he wants to hold, but for a member of the school board in Virginia’s largest county to be peddling this dangerous, anti-vaccination pseudoscience seems to be relevant information that parents and voters might want to be aware of. In talking to people yesterday and today, what I’m hearing is that the public has NOT been aware of Dan Storck’s anti-vaccination views. Perhaps if they had known, they might have reelected him anyway, but the issue apparently never came up, so we’ll never know.

Anyway, now Storck’s seeking a promotion to the Fairfax County Board of Supervisors, and it seems like voters should have this information before they go to the polls this June to select their Democratic nominee (Storck or one of the other Democratic candidates – Tim Sargeant, Jack Dobbyn and Candice Bennett) for this position. At that time, voters can make an informed decision as to who they want representing them on the Fairfax County Board, possibly for many years to come…

P.S. Also note that Storck’s company believes herbs can cure Lyme Disease, that fluoridated water is heinous, that mandatory vaccines may violate your civil liberties, that wearing a bra or putting on deoderant can cause breast cancer, that kids with cancer shouldn’t get chemotherapy, that women shouldn’t get mammograms because they are worthless (they link to this article), that measles is “transmitted by the vaccinated,” and…ok, I think you get the idea.

P.P.S. Before posting any of this, I emailed Dan Storck asking him for comment. Here’s his response, which really didn’t answer my questions about the reams of misinformation and pseudoscience posted on his company’s website and Facebook page. Also, he didn’t respond to a follow-up email asking him specifically about some of the more outlandish assertions his company makes, such as about the supposed connection between breast cancer and bras, the recommendation that kids with cancer not get chemotherapy, etc.

Mr. Feld,

Good afternoon, National Integrated Health Associates (NIHA) is a holistic medical center employing and contracting with many licensed medical professionals who treat mind, body and spirit for our patients – not just symptoms.  By agreement, we do not and cannot tell our practitioners how to diagnose or treat their clients or patients.  We expect, and to our knowledge, our practitioners comply with the District of Columbia’s standards of care for their profession.  We believe our practitioners blend the best of western medicine with proven and safe complimentary therapies to help the body heal.

As a holistic health care center, we offer a conservative form of health care that seeks first to do no harm, including the substances that we consume or are exposed to.  Different practitioners do take different approaches to client or patient needs. To address one of your core concerns, our MDs are cautious about the type and manner with which they administer vaccines, and they do provide them.

If this is not your philosophy or approach to your own health, I respect your right to choose.  I, and thousands of people each year, have personally found the care offered by our practitioners important to their and their family’s health.  While some may want to legislate what a person may or may not choose to do with his/her own body, I deeply believe that this is a privacy right, and one of our most fundamental rights.  

You are welcome to come visit our center and see for yourself or call me at any time…

Dan Storck

Video: PW County Supervisor Martin Nohe (R) Refutes Corey Stewart’s Crazy Claims

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Remember PW County Republicans Screw Up Big Time, Pathetically Try to Blame Democrats, #FAIL from a couple weeks ago? Here’s an excerpt.

1. Despite attempts by Corey Stewart and other Republicans to somehow blame the Democrats for their own mess, there’s absolutely no truth to that. According to [Prince William County Democratic Committee Chair Harry] Wiggins, “I didn’t do a damn thing…This is a Republican issue, I have stayed out of this whole thing [and told other Prince William County Democrats] to stay out of it…and to the best of my knowledge, they have stayed out of it.”

2. The Inside NOVA report about Corey Stewart issuing a “tirade of expletives” against Harry Wiggins “on the sidewalk outside the Old Manassas Courthouse after the electoral board’s emergency meeting March 11” most definitely accurate, and came as a huge surprise to Wiggins, who says he has had a cordial relationship with Stewart and also, again, had absolutely nothing to do with the Republicans’ self-created mess. In other words, Corey Stewart’s allegation that Wiggins “has perverted the electoral process of Prince William County” is simply a wild, baseless, crazy conspiracy theory, without any merit whatsoever.

3. In fact, what really happened, to the best of Wiggins’ knowledge, is that there were no conspiracies at all – by anyone, certainly not by the Prince William County Democrats, but also probably not by Mac Haddow, Pete Candland or other Prince William County Republicans – but simply a screwup by Prince William County GOP Chair Bill Card, who honestly forgot to file on time the required paperwork to hold a primary.

Well, now Corey Stewart’s Republican colleague, Martin Nohe, has effectively refuted Corey Stewart’s wild-eyed, profanity-laden, spittle-flecked conspiracy theories. According to Nohe, what actually happened was exactly what Wiggins stated. Here’s Nohe with a MUCH simpler, saner explanation as to why Republicans will be hold a “firehouse primary,” not a regular primary, in a couple weeks: “we had an unusual situation happened, there was an administrative error, our local party chair missed a filing deadline, honest human error.

That’s it: honest human error. The result of which, unfortunately for Corey Stewart, is that PW County Republicans were forced to ditch their plans for a primary (which would generally tend to favor incumbents like Stewart and Nohe) and opt for a much-lower-turnout “firehouse primary.” That’s what set off Corey Stewart in the first place a few weeks ago, when he was busy flailing around trying to blame Democrats for his own party’s screwup. Of course, as usual, Stewart was wrong; as both Wiggins and Nohe have now explained, it was an error on the part of the Republican Party, nothing more, certainly not some nefarious plot by Democrats or whatever else Corey Stewart’s fevered imagination came up with…

Virginia News Headlines: Friday Morning

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Here are a few national and Virginia news headlines, political and otherwise, for Friday, April 10. Also, check out the NRA completely refuting its bull about “guns save lives.” Apparently, they themselves don’t really believe it.

*Krugman: Where Government Excels (“But true seriousness means looking at what works and what doesn’t. Privatized retirement schemes work very badly; Social Security works very well. And we should build on that success.”)

*Is Iran rational? (“There is no guarantee that its supreme leader will accept the trade-offs – as his recent tweets remind us – but the offer forces him to make a rational calculation and live with the consequences.”)

*Hillary Clinton expected to announce 2016 presidential campaign Sunday: source

*Feisty Bill Clinton takes on the NYT

*Robby Mook Just Took the Hardest Job in Politics: Saving the Clintons From Themselves

*“The GOP has scores of racists”: A former Bush official condemns modern Republican orthodoxy

*How Marco Rubio Abandoned Comprehensive Immigration Reform and Became a Typical GOPer

*The NRA’s open-carry clustermuck: How its annual convention highlights the hypocrisy of the pro-gun movement

*Rand Paul And The Nasty Campaign To Turn Pro-Choice Women Into Monsters (And this is the supposedly “libertarian” candidate in the Republican field? Hahahaha.)

*Media Should Remember: Rand Paul Has A Problem With Women’s Health, Not Just Female Journalists

*Tackling America’s Police Abuse Epidemic

*At Appomattox, Tim Kaine Calls for Unity

*Democrats Considering Female Comstock Challengers

*Draft state report: Oil train regs largely up to Feds

*Our view: Herring lowers the boom (“On Thursday, Herring filed what’s known as a ‘friend of the court’ brief in the suit that Amherst County’s county attorney had brought to stop the impending closure of the school.”)

*Courts miss the real problem with elections

*Sweet Briar closing the board’s decision, AG says

*Caddigan to Dumfries Mayor: I Don’t Trust You (Dumfries Mayor Jerry Foreman is the Republican who Scott Surovell is going to trounce this November. Go Scott!)

*Turning warm and potentially stormy today, but a beautiful weekend is ahead

Video: Staunton/Augusta County Virginia Middle School Kids Rap Against Atlantic Coast Pipeline

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This is great, courtesy of the Augusta County Alliance and the All Pain, No Gain Campaign. The video has a group of really cool middle school kids in the Staunton/Augusta County, Virginia area speaking out against Dominion’s proposed Atlantic Coast Pipeline. The area these kids live in would be heavily impacted by the pipeline, and the kids were hearing a lot about it on the news. The topic also came up in their sixth-grade U.S. history class during a conversation about things going on in their community. They have attended pipeline-related events, and even spoke recently at the Augusta County Board of Supervisors’ public hearing about the impacts of the pipeline.

The kids decided that they wanted to learn more about the issue, so they contacted the Shomo family, whose century-old farm has about a mile of the proposed pipeline route running it. Three generations of the family (with a fourth already helping out!) currently operate the farm. These middle schoolers wanted to learn more about the pipeline’s impact on farms in Augusta County. Ultimately the kids wanted to get involved and took the initiative to perform a “rap” song about the pipeline. They also have some smart things to say, including that “this pipeline is a very bad idea….we need clean water to drink…if it does burst, then it will be a disaster…our drinking water could be contaminated…it’s something that needs to be reconsidered, because it doesn’t really benefit us at all.”

All true: this pipeline is a really bad idea, especially considering that alternatives already exist. First and foremost, that means energy efficiency, the cheapest form of energy by far (that you never have to produce in the first place). Second, it means solar power, both distributed and “utility scale,” both of which have seen their costs plummet in recent years, to the point that utility-scale solar in particular is competitive in many parts of the country with new fossil-fuel power plants. Finally, it means wind power, both onshore and offshore, which in Virginia is more than sufficient to power the entire state, particularly combined with energy efficiency and solar. Frankly, until ALL three of those things – energy efficiency, solar and wind – have been maxed out, there is no excuse whatsoever to be building new fossil fuel infrastructure. No matter what lame excuses we hear from Dominion Power and its bought-and-paid-for political pals.

Will Republicans Rise to the Occasion on Ethics Reform?

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From the DPVA: 
 
With less than a week until the General Assembly reconvenes, Virginia has a chance to enact meaningful ethics reform. Governor McAuliffe has led on this issue, from convening an ethics commission in the fall to proposing a series of bills aimed at curbing corruption in the Commonwealth.

While Republicans almost tanked ethics reform during the legislative session (see: blaming the media instead of taking the problem seriously), a watered-down version made its way to Governor McAuliffe's desk. In return, Governor McAuliffe has proposed real, common-sense amendments to the ethics bill, including a true $100 aggregate cap on gifts. And he's not going at it alone. There's widespread support for ethics reform in Virginia, from recent polling to opinion leaders across the Commonwealth.

  • “Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D) is on the right track in trying to correct its most egregious problems, and Virginians should pay close attention to what lawmakers do next.” – Washington Post editorial, March 30
  • “Thanks to McAuliffe, the anemic ethics reform measure – passed after some politicians blamed the press corps for making them do it – is being fitted with dentures to give it some teeth.” Virginian-Pilot Op-Ed, March 29
  • “When lawmakers return for their veto session April 15, they must decide whether to go along with McAuliffe’s modest suggestions or to further embarrass themselves by overriding his changes. This will be their third chance to get ethics reform right. Let’s hope they don’t strike out.” –Richmond Times-Dispatch editorial, March 31
  • “Virginians should press lawmakers to have the courage to turn down gifts clearly designed to curry favor.” Virginian-Pilot editorial, April 1

Will Republicans in the General Assembly join McAuliffe and Virginians across the Commonwealth in making real progress on ethics reform, or protect their own interests once again?

New Report: Implementing EPA Clean Power Plan Can Be Job Creator for Virginia

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Eliminating Electricity Imports at Same Time Would Double Job Gains

 

Mix of new temporary construction and permanent jobs would peak at 5,700 under basic scenario, but reach 12,600 jobs if investments also aim to keep utility spending in the state  a number nearly equal to employment in Virginias commercial construction sector.

 

[Richmond, VA, and Washington, D.C.] – A new report analyzing scenarios for Virginia’s compliance with the U.S. EPA’s Clean Power Plan to reduce carbon emissions from the electric power sector shows that the Commonwealth could create thousands of permanent and temporary jobs by making investments to diversify its power sources with renewable energy, energy efficiency, and natural gas generating plants – and more than double the new jobs if the state pursued a long-sought goal of eliminating electricity imports from out of state.

 

The new report, Assessing Virginias Energy Future: Employment Impacts of Clean Power Plan Compliance Scenarios, was prepared by Meister Consultants Group for the Advanced Energy Economy Institute and the Virginia Advanced Energy Industries Coalition. The full report is available for download at http://info.aee.net/virginia-energy-future.

 

“This analysis shows the job creating value of putting advanced energy technologies to work in Virginia under the Clean Power Plan,” said Graham Richard, CEO of Advanced Energy Economy, a national business group, and the AEE Institute, its nonprofit educational affiliate. “Deploying these technologies in Virginia to also reduce imports creates even more jobs while keeping precious energy dollars in state supporting economic growth. This report should be a road map for Virginia’s energy future.” 

 

“We have an opportunity to significantly increase employment in Virginia while achieving a lower risk energy portfolio, greater grid resiliency, and satisfying the significant and growing demand for clean, advanced energy,” said Francis Hodsoll, Board President of Virginia Advanced Energy Industries Coalition, a business group representing a range of energy technologies.“Given these findings, political and business leaders in Virginia should demand that Virginia develop a prudent pro-growthimplementation strategy.”  

 

Under EPA’s draft Clean Power Plan, which is expected to become final this summer, Virginia would be required to reduce its carbon emissions rate from electricity generation from 1,438 pounds per megawatt-hour (lb/MWh) to 810 lb/MWh by 2030. EPA set that target based on the agency’s calculation of the state’s ability to take measures such as increasing the efficiency of existing coal-fired power plants, shifting generation to natural gas-fired plants with unused capacity, developing more renewable energy capacity (along with maintaining nuclear capacity), and increasing the efficiency of energy use.

 

In Assessing Virginias Energy Future, Meister Consultants Group analyzed two of the many scenarios under which Virginia could meet EPA’s 2030 emissions rate target, and found that both would result in significant employment gains for the state compared with a “business as usual” scenario. As net new jobs created between now and 2030 would be a mix of temporary construction jobs and permanent positions, the report follows the convention used by economists to express employment gains in “job-years,” with one job in existence for one year equal to one job-year.  Thus, a construction job that lasts for two years on a particular project would count as two job-years, while a permanent job created in 2021 and still in place in 2030 would count as nine job-years.

 

The Diversified Portfolio option, that achieves compliance by implementing changes already planned by utilities, most of the building block measures contemplated by EPA, some renewable energy, and greater energy efficiency, will result in more than 54,000 additional job-years by 2030. Net new jobs would peak in 2029, at 5,715 – a number approaching current employment in beverage and tobacco production in Virginia (6,800).

 

Job gains would more than double if the state chose to accomplish a frequently stated goal of keeping utility spending in the Virginia economy by eliminating electricity imports at the same time as it complied with the Clean Power Plan. Currently, Virginia gets a little less than 40 percent of its electricity from out of state. The state could reduce electricity imports to zero by 2030, as well as surpass EPA’s emissions target, with more renewable energy, energy efficiency, and natural gas resources.

 

Under the Import Reduction scenario, employment would get a boost of more than 120,000 job-years by 2030. Net new jobs under this scenario would peak in 2027, at 12,631 – nearly equal to existing jobs in commercial construction (14,000).

 

Job gains under both scenarios would be in addition to 7,964 job-years expected as a result of changes already planned by the state’s utilities (see Figure 1 attached). These include plans to retire or convert a substantial amount of coal-fired generation, implement some renewable energy and energy efficiency investments, and construct several high-efficiency natural gas combined cycle power plants. These changes reflect the changing economics of the electric power sector, and will also reduce Virginia’s emissions rate, helping the state reach its target under the CPP.

 

“After considering different compliance strategies, this report found that implementing the Clean Power Plan can lead to substantial direct job creation in Virginia,” said Wilson Rickerson, CEO of Meister Consultants Group, Inc., an independent international research firm. “These employment benefits will be greatly increased if the state adopts a compliance plan that aims to increase the state’s electricity independence.”

“Working with nearly 100 utilities across the nation and around the world, we have helped meet efficiency goals and lower costs to serve, while improving customer satisfaction,” said Richard Caperton, Director of National Policy & Partnerships atOpower, based in Arlington, Va. (NYSE: OPWR). “This report shows that innovative technology can help drive significant energy savings and create thousands of jobs for the state of Virginia.”

Early Read on the 2015 Battle for Control of the Virginia State Senate

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Sadly, the overwhelming number of State Senate districts are not seriously in play this year. As you can see, 26/40 seats are “safe,” with 7/40 “likely” holds, leaving just 7/40 for either “tossup” (1 district) or “lean” (6 districts). In other words, right now it looks like a status quo election for the most part, which would mean Republicans maintain (or slightly increase) their 21-19 control of the State Senate. The challenge for Democrats will be holding all of the seats they currently hold, including a few tough ones (retiring Sen. John Colgan’s seat; Sen. Lynwood Lewis and Sen. John Edwards), while picking up a Republican-held seat (maybe Dick Black’s?).

SD 1 (57% Mark Herring district in 2013): Sen. John Miller (D) vs. Mark Matney (R): Leans Democratic Hold

SD 2 (68% Mark Herring district): Sen. Mamie Locke (D) unopposed: Safe Democratic.

SD 3 (64% Mark Obenshain district): Sen. Tommy Norment (R) unopposed: Safe Republican.

SD 4 (61% Mark Obenshain district): Sen. Ryan McDougle (R) unopposed: Safe Republican.

SD 5 (73% Mark Herring district): Sen. Kenny Alexander (D) unopposed: Safe Democratic.

SD 6 (53% Mark Herring district): Sen. Lynwood Lewis (D) vs. Richard Ottinger (R): Leans Slightly Democratic Hold.

SD 7 (53% Mark Obenshain district): Sen. Frank Wagner (R) vs. Gary McCollum (D): Leans Republican Hold.

SD 8 (55% Mark Obenshain district): Dave Belote (D) vs. Bill DeSteph (R) or Craig Hudgins (R) for retiring Sen. Jeff McWaters’ (R) seat: Likely Republican Hold.

SD 9 (72% Mark Herring district): Sen. Donald McEachin (D) unopposed: Safe Democratic.

SD 10 (51% Mark Herring district): Glen Sturtevant (R) vs. either Emily Francis (D), Dan Gecker (D) or Alex McMurtrie (D) for retiring Sen. John Watkins’ (R) seat: Leans Republican Hold.

SD 11 (58% Mark Obenshain district): Amanda Chase (R), Sen. Steve Martin (R) or Barry Moore, Jr. (R) vs. no Democratic candidate: Safe Republican.

SD 12 (56% Mark Obenshain district): Siobhan Dunnavant (R), Vincent Haley (R), Bill Janis (R) and Edward S Whitlock, III (R) vs. no Democratic candidate for retiring Sen. Walter Stosch’s (R) seat: Safe Republican.

SD 13 (51% Mark Obenshain district): Sen. Dick Black (R) vs. Jill McCabe (D): Leans Slightly Republican Hold.

SD 14 (61% Mark Obenshain district): Sen. John Cosgrove (R) or William Haley (R) vs. no Democratic candidate: Safe Republican.

SD 15 (64% Mark Obenshain district): Sen. Frank Ruff (R) unopposed: Safe Republican.

SD 16 (69% Mark Herring district): Sen. Rosalyn Dance (D) or Joseph Preston (D) vs. no Republican candidate: Safe Democratic, although if Joe Morrissey runs as an “independent” and there’s a Republican as well, that rating could change.

SD 17 (53% Mark Obenshain district): Sen. Bryce Reeves (R) vs. Traci Dippert (D): Likely Republican Hold.

SD 18 (65% Mark Herring district): Sen. Louise Lucas (D) unopposed. Safe Democratic.

SD 19 (69% Mark Obenshain district): Michael Lawrence Hamlar (D) vs. David Suetterlein (R) for retiring Sen. Ralph Smith’s seat: Safe Republican.

SD 20 (59% Mark Obenshain district): Sen. Bill Stanley (R) vs. Kimberley Adkins (D) and Independent Green Elaine Hildebrandt: Likely Republican Hold.

SD 21 (51% Mark Herring district): Sen. John Edwards (D) vs. Nancy Dye (R): Lean Slightly Democratic Hold.

SD 22 (60% Mark Obenshain district): Sen. Tom Garrett (R) unopposed: Safe Republican.

SD 23 (74% Mark Obenshain district): Sen. Steve Newman (R) unopposed: Safe Republican.

SD 24 (68% Mark Obenshain district): Sen. Emmett Hanger (R) vs. Dan Moxley (R) and Marshall Pattie (R) vs. no Democratic candidate: Safe Republican.

SD 25 (56% Mark Herring district): Sen. Creigh Deeds (D) unopposed: Safe Democratic.

SD 26 (65% Mark Obenshain district): Sen. Mark Obenshain (R) vs. April Moore (D): Safe Republican.

SD 27 (62% Mark Obenshain district): Sen. Jill Vogel (R) unopposed: Safe Republican.

SD 28 (59% Mark Obenshain district): Sen. Richard Stuart (R) unopposed: Safe Republican.

SD 29 (59% Mark Herring district): Atif Qarni (D), Michael Futrell (D) or Jeremy McPike (D) vs. Hal Parrish (R) for retiring Sen. Chuck Colgan’s (D) seat: Slight Democratic Lean if Qarni’s the nominee; possibly a tossup if Futrell is the nominee; lean Republican pickup if McPike’s the nominee for these reasons.

SD 30 (69% Mark Herring district): Sen. Adam Ebbin (D) unopposed: Safe Democratic.

SD 31 (65% Mark Herring district): Sen. Barbara Favola (D) unopposed: Safe Democratic.

SD 32 (65% Mark Herring district): Sen. Janet Howell (D) unopposd: Safe Democratic.

SD 33 (60% Mark Herring district): Sen. Jennifer Wexton (D) vs. Stephen Hollingshead (R): Likely Democratic hold.

SD 34 (59% Mark Herring district): Sen. Chap Petersen (D) unopposed: Safe Democratic.

SD 35 (69% Mark Herring district): Sen. Dick Saslaw (D) unopposed: Safe Democratic.

SD 36 (63% Mark Herring district): Scott Surovell (D) vs. Jerry Foreman (R) for retiring Sen. Toddy Puller’s (D) seat: Likely Democratic hold.

SD 37 (58% Mark Herring district): Sen. Dave Marsden (D) unopposed: Safe Democratic.

SD 38 (68% Mark Obenshain district): Sen. Ben Chafin (R) unoppposed: Safe Republican.

SD 39 (59% Mark Herring district): Sen. George Barker (D) vs. Joe Murray (R): Likely Democratic hold.

SD 40 (74% Mark Obenshain district): Sen. Bill Carrico (R) unopposed: Safe Republican.