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New Post Poll: Timing a Huge Break for Cuccinelli

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by Paul Goldman

200-proof politically speaking, the new Washington Post poll has a lot of fascinating statistics. But the importance is not in the results, but rather in the timing. Namely, it couldn’t have come at a better time for Ken Cuccinelli.

According to all the “experts”, Cuccinelli was going to be hurt by opposing the transportation tax plan, the Star Scientific mess, the attacks from Bill Bolling and the Republican left, attacks from the mainstream pro-tax media, yada, yada, yada.

We at 200-proof hold to our views stated in lonesome fashion months ago: taking the anti-tax side in an election year has never been known to hurt any candidate. Being against massive spending in an election year has never been known to hurt a candidate.

Finally, Cuccinelli’s greatest asset/liability is his performance as AG. Only one person who has never held prior office has been elected Governor in the modern times — Mark Warner. But Warner spent $50 million in constant dollars on a losing race a few years before, and he did serve as Virginia Democratic party chair. Historically, therefore, if Cuccinelli has a positive image as AG – given his high profile in the office – then it stands to reason he has an advantage.

Attacks on Cuccinelli will be aimed at saying he used his tenure in office to champion an ideological agenda. IF that is not the public perception, then his tenure as AG is a major plus. Which is why his decision not to resign, as we have written, can help him if he can afford the pitfalls which have been clear with Star Scientific and the Ex-Chef at the Mansion case, and also the transportation situation.

I don’t know if he can avoid the pitfalls, I think it is a considerable risk, but at least I get the reward part: it keeps him in office, high profile, which is his best asset. So there is potentially considerable upside.

On a net, net basis, it is a very close 200-proof call: Gerry Baliles resigned after officially getting the Dem nomination for governor in 1985. I believe he got a job with some big law firm, although everyone knew he wasn’t doing any work. This was acceptable in 1985. Probably not in 2013. Meaning: how does Cuccinelli support his family if he quits and then campaigns full time with no income?

But that is an issue for another day.

TODAY: 200-proof finds the Post Poll numbers no big surprise, since it is all based on the turnout model. So we find it interesting to read but nothing more than that at this point. Show the same poll in August, and I’ll have a different reaction.

But the poll is great news for Cuccinelli because it comes when he is under attack on two matters, and his own party has yet to fully embrace him publicly. So to have the Post poll say you can win is huge for Cuccinelli.

The pressure is now on Republicans to unit behind Cuccinelli. There is NO EVIDENCE all the Bolling attacks and those from the GOP left have had any effect. Nationally, the GOP  has to now get behind Cuccinelli. The poll, in my view, hides a lot of Cuccinelli’s weaknesses. But it helps on the unity thing and raising money.

Terry is too unknown for the poll to have any real meaning. BUT ONE ASPECT should worry the anti-Cuccinelli left: despite jobs/economy being the big issue, despite Terry owning that issue for governor since 2009, there is ZERO evidence it translates into votes Cuccinelli might have gotten.

Terry is running a major TV buy on the issue in some respects. He will presumably have a harder-hitting one soon. If they don’t translate into swing votes soon, then this is a troubling sign.

Bottom line: A bad poll for Cuccinelli at this moment would have hurt the boy. But he got the other, a present from the Post. The timing couldn’t have been better for the AG.

Jen Rubin’s Top Ten Quotes About Ken Cuccinelli’s Extremism

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Lowell noted in a recent diary how one of the Commonwealth’s right wing blogs was beginning to argue that Ken Cuccinelli was actually not that extreme.

While on its most basic level, this assertion seems to me to say more about the intellectual depravity of Conservative thought in modern America, to the extent that it argues that President Barack Obama, a slightly left-of-center Democrat, is a raging Socialist who is too liberal for an American public that elected him President twice, while the antediluvian Mr. Cuccinelli, who once remarked that he would not get his newborn child a Social Security Number because it is used by the government to track you throughout your life, is somehow a mainstream politician.

The idea, of course, is absurd. Lowell nonetheless took the opportunity to provide us with  twenty-five examples of Mr. Cuccinelli’s extremism, , and even at that level apparently did not come close to exhausting all the available evidence.

Regardless, I suspect we’ll hear plenty more of this nonsense as the summer wears on and the GOP attempts to recast Mr. Cuccinelli as an acceptable choice for a more moderate Virginia.  Indeed, based on the poll released last night by the Washington Post, this effort will become more desperate as more people start paying closer attention to the race and Mr. Cuccinelli’s record. According to the Post, Terry McAuliffe “does far better among those very closely tuned in than he does among those yet to pay much attention.”

The GOP game plan won’t break new ground. Unable to defend Mr. Cuccinelli’s record substantively, they will blame the messenger. Look for them to argue that Mr. Cuccinelli’s reputation as an extremist is simply the result of the typical liberal propaganda enabled by a liberal media.

So, I thought I might take a look at how other conservatives view Mr. Cuccinelli in terms of how extreme he is or, in their view, isn’t.

A bona fide Conservative like, say, Jennifer Rubin, the Washington Post’s “Right Turn” blogger.

Here, then, on the flip are the top ten Jennifer Rubin quotes about Ken Cucinelli’s extremism:

10. “Republican Ken Cuccinelli is going to have a heck of a time persuading women as well as Northern Virginian moderates to vote for him. His record on social issues (trying to stop prohibitions on gay discrimination at state schools, mandatory ultrasounds, etc.) fits easily into the ‘war on women’ or ‘right-wing fanatic’ attack that Democrats are adept at.” – Right Turn, 4/26/13.

9. “In an increasingly purple state, his strident positions on social issues were already a problem for him in winning women and moderate voters in the more populous D.C. suburbs of Northern Virginia. Moreover, he so far has run a contentless campaign, devoid of meaty agenda items that would give voters reason to support him.” — As quoted in the Richmond Times Dispatch, 3/5/13 .

8. “But he is also strident on social issues, immigration and most other matters to very little result. He went after state universities that wanted to adhere to policies prohibiting discrimination against gays. He has backed an Arizona-style immigration law for the state. He has also repeatedly tangled with the State Board of Health over regulations on abortion. If there is a symbolic victory on hard-right grounds (i.e., a loss that paints the GOP as extremist), Cuccinelli is close by.” Right Turn, 11/12/13.

7. “If there is a hard-liner who could lose big in Fairfax County and hand the election to the Democrats, he’s the guy.” – Right Turn, 11/12/13.

6. “[A] firebrand base-catering faux outsider (he’s actually been in government since 2002) who is easily portrayed as hostile to minorities, gays and single women.” – Right Turn, 10/12/13.

5. “He is a dogged ideologue, which might be fine in a deep-red state or as a federal lawmaker when you are one of 365 or 100, but the governor of a purple state must be a practical problem solver. Cuccinelli suggests he will be anything but.” – Right Turn, 2/5/13.

4. “Cuccinelli is preaching and screeching to the choir, ignoring the nonideological voters and painting himself as an ideologue. He sounds simultaneously clueless and mean-spirited.” – Right Turn, 1/31/13.

3. “More important is whether Cuccinelli can produce a compelling agenda on issues that voters care most about. … It is with these issues that I suspect the gubernatorial race will be decided. As for immigration and gay rights, I will quote that great philosopher: ‘If you can’t say something nice, don’t say nothing at all.'” – Right Turn, 3/20/13 .

2. “Cuccinelli remains unwilling or unable to set forth an agenda that women, and indeed all voters, can relate to.” – Right Turn, 4/26/13.

And the top Jennifer Rubin quote about Ken Cuccinelli’s extremism:

1. “If Virginia were Alabama, Cuccinelli would be a shoo in.” – Right Turn, 11/12/13.

Electronic Letter Sent to Office of the Comptroller of the Currency – JPMorgan Chase

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Written and sent to the OCC, 5/5/2013.

This email is concerning the JPMorgan Chase “manipulative schemes” in energy markets case being reviewed by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC). As a government institution whose mission is to serve the people of the United States through “Ensuring a safe and sound federal banking system for all Americans”, “warning of a potential crackdown” in the wake of such gross criminal activity by JPMorgan Chase is a dereliction of duty and an affront to the American people, the majority of whom ARE law-abiding citizens who play by the rules set forth by law.

If “too-big-to-fail” financial institutions can act with impunity, the American people will not only lose faith in the trustworthiness of large financial institutions, but government agencies whose mission is to regulate those institutions. Eventually, this loss of trust could result in a systemic breakdown of financial confidence by the typical American consumer.

So far, I haven’t even mentioned the hypocrisy of not holding large financial institutions to the same standards of the law as the average American nor have I mentioned the ethical outrage that should accompany ‘events’ like JPMorgan Chase’s illegal activities in the energy market.

I implore the OCC to prosecute/regulate JPMorgan Chase to the fullest extent possible if only to set an example for other financial institutions engaging, or thinking about engaging, in similar illegal activities. How many laws must these institutions break before the regulations fully and justifiably applies to them? It’s time to finally act in the best interests of Americans in the present, and for future generations of Americans who deserve to grow up in a country where everyone plays and is held to the same set of rules.

Thank you for your time on this important matter.

Virginia News Headlines: Sunday Morning

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Here are a few Virginia (and national) news headlines, political and otherwise, for Sunday, May 5. Happy Cinco de Mayo! Also, check out Saturday Night Live’s mocking of the utterly absurd, eminently mockable “Fox and Friends.”

*Israel strikes Syria again, rocking Damascus (“Western intelligence source told Reuters the operation hit Iranian-supplied missiles headed for Lebanon’s Hezbollah.”)

*New Study: The Economic Benefits of EPA Regulations Massively Outweigh The Costs

*Democrat Terry McAuliffe kicking off Virginia gubernatorial campaign with policy speeches

*Poll: Cuccinelli has early lead over McAuliffe in Virginia governor’s race (I’m certainly not going to try and argue that these poll results are good. They are certainly not. However, I would recommend you check out the table of poll results from 2005, which I’ve posted in the comments section, before putting your home on the market and planning your move to DC, Maryland, etc.)

*McAuliffe has 69% of blacks’ support, but it might not be enough (In the end, this will need to be 90%+, with strong turnout, for Terry to win.)

*McDonnell, Cuccinelli and Star Scientific (“Who ever would have thought that Gov. Bob McDonnell would have been done in by the chef, in the kitchen, with a cleaver?”)

*A new tune for Virginia Republicans (“Recent revelations show it is time for the state GOP to reconsider its presumptive candidate for governor and dump Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli. Many already considered him too far right to win. Now they can add inept and even suspect to the list.”)

*The Cuccinelli standard bites back (The author of this is a Tea Party nut, but he’s on to something…)

*Cabinet member discloses gifts from Star CEO (“Secretary of commonwealth discloses flights paid for by Star Scientific executive”)

*Bell, Obenshain square off for GOP nod for AG

*State leaders have a duty to Virginia Tech (“…if Virginia’s colleges are expected to remain accessible and affordable, and produce the workforce for the top jobs of the 21st century, the state’s commitment must continue to grow after McDonnell leaves the governor’s office.”)

*Arlington National Cemetery plans expansion to take it into 2050s (“The historic burial ground is running out of space, but critics say some plans would hurt its environment.”)

*Ryan Zimmerman helps the Nats steal a 9th inning victory from the Pirates

*NHL playoffs: Mike Green’s goal in overtime gives Capitals 2-0 series lead on Rangers  

Video: Romney’s Speech to Southern VA Univ. Congratulates “Class of 2012,” Goes Downhill From There

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This speech, Romney’s second public speech since he lost the 2012 election, demonstrates yet again why we are all SO fortunate that he DID lose that election. The fact is, the guy simply has no conception of – or respect for – the world most people live in nowadays. A few examples from this speech reflect a lot of what’s wrong with social conservatism, which in turn makes up a significant chunk of the off-the-deep-end Republican Party.

First, after erroneously congratulating the Southern Virginia University – a liberal arts school which “embraces the values of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints” – “class of 2012” (once again, appropriately, a right winger clinging to the past…), Romney launches into a speech that is relentlessly anti-modern, as well as relentlessly intolerant of anyone who doesn’t think like him, and relentlessly clueless about today’s reality.

For instance, at around 1 minute in, Romney makes a big joke about how it’s tough for parents to get their kids out of the home these days. In reality, of course, it’s not so funny, especially when you consider that the right-wing economic policies (austerity, cuts to the social safety net, disinvestment in education and other crucial human and physical capital, opposition to universal health care, the economic “race to the bottom,” equating corporations with people, encouraging wealthy people – and corporations – to pay the absolute minimum in taxes, crony capitalism run amok, offshoring/outsourcing, etc.) that Romney and his party support not only contributed greatly to the “Great Recession” that began in 2007, but have prolonged it and worsened it. And that, to a large extent, is why young people these days aren’t getting out of their parents’ houses as quickly as they’d like to — because Republican economic policies keep squeezing the middle class, keep making the poor poorer, and keep enriching the already super-rich. That’s the world Romney sees, and he thinks it’s just hilarious!

Second, it’s one thing of Romney personally wants to have a “quiver-full of kids” (he actually uses that exact phrase). Fine, that’s Romney’s own “lifestyle choice,” to use the phrase right wingers use about LGBT people and others they don’t approve of. To each his own, I suppose (although I’d also note that the world would benefit greatly from the population NOT increasing any more, and that the LAST thing we need is for 7 billion people to all have a “quiver-full of kids” and explode that population to 14 billion, 21 billion, whatever, when we’re already far beyond the earth’s carrying capacity).

The biggest problem, though, is that Romney mocks the very concept of NOT getting married young, of NOT having that “quiver-full of kids” while you’re in your 20s, etc. Thus, according to Willard, if you don’t do that, you’re “living in the shallows.” Let me quote the jerk directly:

Getting married is one way of launching into the deep. I’m so glad I found Ann when I was still so young; combining your life with another person, particularly someone when men and women are as different as we are, this combination is extraordinarily challenging and enormously rewarding. Some people could marry but choose to take more time, they say, for themselves. Others plan to wait until they’re well  into their 30s or 40s before they think about getting married. They’re going to lose so much of living, I’m afraid. From the beginning of recorded time, the prophet Adam told us this life secret: “therefore shall a man leave his father and his mother and shall cleave unto his wife.” Marriage is a gift from god. Now, some may dismiss the council coming from the Bible because it comes from a book that they’ve discarded…

OK, OK, enough of this nonsense, scorn, straw men (that last comment in particular), and reactionary rubbish. As Mother Jones explains, this is insidious stuff, part of something called “the Quiverfull movement” (“Children are a heritage of the Lord, and the fruit of the womb is His reward. Happy is the man who has his quiver full of them“), which “has become almost synonymous with an absolutist rejection of all forms of contraception or family planning, and an embrace of what believers describe as ‘biblical patriarchy.’” In that nightmarish, Handmaid’s Tale-style worldview, offspring are viewed as “‘arrows’ in a divine army,” while the adults “follow rigid gender roles in the home, where men are the spiritual leaders and women the submissive helpmeets.”

In addition, the strong subtext here is that anything else other than Romney’s approved way of life – homosexuality, for instance, or simply a decision not to get married young, not to have a “quiver-full” of kids, etc, etc. – is a really bad thing, a violation of divine law, not to mention a waste of your life, “shallow,” and selfish.

Again, let me emphasize: if you want to have a “quiver-full” of kids, that’s your choice. I personally believe the world has plenty of people, that we’re wildly overloading the planet’s carrying capacity, and that it would behoove us all to think VERY carefully about that in our decisions about procreation. But that’s just my personal view; I’m not trying to impose it on anyone (nor do I have any power to do so, nor would I ever want such power). In stark contrast, Romney and the theocratic wing of the Republican Party – from Rick Santorum to Ken Cuccinelli – DO want such power: the power to tell women what they can and can’t do with their own bodies, the power to outlaw abortion and in many cases contraception as well, the power to make homosexuality and other “alternate lifestyles” as difficult as possible (given their belief that those “lifestyles” are  abhorrent and against the Bible).

In sum, Willard “Mitt” Romney perfectly reflects the worldview of right-wing, theocratic, social conservative Republicans: absolutist, intolerant, judgmental, reactionary, and wildly at odds with how most people live their lives – or WANT to live their lives – in the modern world. All I can say is, thank god Romney wasn’t elected president. Let’s just make d*** sure nobody like him ever is!

David Alpert of Greater Greater Washington on Why “streetcars are Arlington’s best bet”

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There’s been so much misinformation (and, frankly, DISinformation) spewed around about the Arlington streetcar project, that it’s great to see people who know a TON about transit options respond. For instance, David Alpert of Greater Greater Washington, who has a new op-ed in the Washington Post entitled, Rail, streetcars or BRT? The definitions matter.  A few key points.

1. As I’ve pointed out, and as others – Arlington County Board experts, for instance – have explained time and again, “modern bus transit” (whatever that is exactly) or “Bus Rapid Transit” (which requires a dedicated right-of-way) are simply not possible on Columbia Pike. As Alpert explains, “It would be fantastic to dedicate lanes on Columbia Pike, but the Virginia Department of Transportation isn’t willing to consider reallocating space from cars to transit, even if more people would be moved in the higher-capacity trains or buses.” End of story. Next subject!

2. BRT supporters can deny or hand-wave this point away as much as they want, but it doesn’t make it (aka, “reality”) disappear. As Alpert humorously puts it, “Personally, I favor ‘Star Trek’-style transporters on Columbia Pike, which would be far faster than any car, bus or train, but those are just as nonexistent.” LOL – exactly! Nor are there dedicated lanes for any BRT or “modern bus transit” (whatever that is; it remains undefined by people who throw that phrase around as if it actually means something).

3. Among the MANY advantages of streetcars, Alpert explains, is that they “can transport more people than buses can and usually stimulate more economic development than an equivalent bus project.” Let’s see, it transports more people and brings more economic value to the community than adding more buses. Hmmm…gee, this is a really tough call! (not)

4. Of course, nobody’s arguing that streetcars are the right fit for every situation. You have to analyze the specifics of each particular case, which is exactly what Arlington’s done for over a decade now. And, not surprisingly, Arlington’s come to the same conclusion over and over again, that – as Alpert puts it, “streetcars are Arlington’s best bet” – the “right mode” for Columbia Pike.

The bottom line here is that the Columbia Pike streetcar’s almost certainly going to happen, barring a truly bizarre turn of events (e.g., the Tea Party takes over the Arlington County board?). For starters, it’s conceivable that somebody could primary leading streetcar advocate and County Board member Chris Zimmerman next year (in fact, I’ve heard VERY strong rumors that this is EXACTLY what’s in the works) and try to replace him with someone who opposes the streetcar. That would be a huge mistake, to put it mildly, and we should all strongly oppose any candidate who runs on such a platform.  

Virginia News Headlines: Saturday Morning

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Here are a few Virginia (and national) news headlines, political and otherwise, for Saturday, May 4. Also check out President Obama’s weekly address, in which he “describes the incredible opportunities to create middle-class jobs in the United States by deepening our economic ties and expanding trade in Latin America and discusses recent Senate bill that takes commonsense steps to fix our broken immigration system.”

*Stocks rise as 7.5% jobless rate dispels fears that the recovery has stumbled (See, America, these are the HORRORS you see when Democrats are in charge. Oh wait…LOL.)

*The Loss Of Government Jobs Is Holding Back The Economy (And THAT is thanks to Republicans!)

*The legal mess on emergency contraception (“We think the greater danger lies in discouraging desperate teens from using this safe contraception.”)

*Sources: U.S. believes Israel has conducted an airstrike into Syria

*Obama tells Mexicans a ‘new Mexico’ is emerging

*Who had the worst week in Washington? Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell. (“Bob McDonnell doesn’t live in Washington, but any hope he had of moving here when his term is up took a serious beating this past week.”)

*McDonnell Endorses Springfield Site for New FBI Headquarters (But only if they pay his food and entertainment expenses for the next 20 years or so. Just kidding, but you never know with Gov. Quid Pro Quo.)

*Howell: Gift disclosure worth a look

*Warner criticizes House’s approach on immigration (“Democratic senator reacts to push by Republican Rep. Goodlatte”)

*Absurd decision on Virginia FOIA (“But the notion that a person could work and play in Virginia and be denied access to records through FOIA simply because he maintains his home across state lines is absurd.”)

*Dominion asks Virginia regulators for first fuel rate increase in 2 years

*Terry McAuliffe proposes local tax reforms

*Warner stays away from Star-Scientific saga (“U.S. Senator Mark Warner (D) who has a very loose connection to the Star- Scientific saga plauging leading Republicans in Richmond, chose not to attack and instead said that he will wait see how the case plays out.”)

*Looking up! Region’s housing market feeling 5 years younger

*Nationals bats go quiet again in 3-1 loss at Pittsburgh (This team really hasn’t hit a rhythm yet this year. Hopefully that will change soon, or it could be a long season…)

Climate Wake-Up Call Reaches Dominion Shareholders!

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( – promoted by lowkell)

Birth of Venus on sea level riseCross-posted from the ChesapeakeClimate.org blog.

Today I attended my third Dominion Resources annual shareholder meeting, the company’s 104th. And woah! What a day! The company announced that a resolution addressing the financial risks of climate change, which I worked with a shareholder to introduce, received an unprecedented 22% of the shareholder vote. While that may not sound like much, in the shareholder activism world, anything over 10% is remarkable. Resolutions are typically introduced not with passage as the goal but with the intention to educate board members and shareholders.

Outside of the meeting, which was held at the Virginia Museum of Fine Arts, about 20 activists volunteering with CCAN, Sierra Club and Appalachian Voices held their own “exhibit” of altered artwork to represent the unrecognizable future of rising seas, extreme weather disasters and destroyed mountains that Dominion is leading Virginia toward. The "masterpieces" included a Starry Night marred by mountaintop removal mining, The Birth of Venus submerged by rising seas — a reality all too close to home for residents of Hampton Roads — and Napoleon, with CEO Tom Farrell moonlighting as the emperor of climate pollution.

Dominion is Virginia’s biggest climate polluter and a major purchaser of coal from mountaintop removal mining. On the other hand, the company has yet to bring a single kilowatt of utility-scale wind or solar power online for Virginia customers.

group shot

Activists got a pleasant surprise when Delegate Peter Farrell, son of Dominion CEO Tom Farrell, wandered by. The Virginia General Assembly member stopped to check out the action, and listened as one of his constituents explained we were there to call attention to Dominion's climate pollution and the impacts of the company's fossil fuel-fired energy. Then he asked to take a picture of our artwork featuring his CEO father!

Delegate Farrell takes a photo of the artwork

Back inside the meeting, the resolution I presented (item 8 on the 2013 proxy) calling on leadership to report on risks posed to shareholders by climate change , especially extreme weather, received 22% of the vote. The proposal noted that the three most costly extreme weather events in Dominion's 104-year history– Hurricane Isabel, Hurricane Irene, and last year's derecho– have all come within the last decade.  A proposal to link executive compensation to sustainability metrics received 7%, one related to mountaintop removal coal mining received 6% and one related to nuclear power safety received 4%. In recent memory, the highest vote percentage received by a shareholder resolution that the Dominion board urged shareholders to reject — in other words, all of the environmentally focused resolutions — was 16%. That was received by a 2011 proposal related to the community impacts of power plant retirements.Starry Night marred by mountaintop removal coal mining

The impressive level of support for the climate risk resolution shows that Dominion’s shareholders are experiencing a wake-up call, like the rest of the country. I just hope to see Dominion take today’s vote seriously. If the company took a hard look at the existing and long-term threats posed by building massive new fossil fuel plants, like the natural gas plant it has proposed in Brunswick County, VA, the rewards of investing instead in large-scale clean energy would be self-evident. Neither Dominion's shareholders nor everyday Virginians can afford the unrecognizable future of ever more powerful storms, ruined landscapes and chronic flooding that the company's unrelenting pollution is taking us toward.

Check out all the photos on Flickr!

Graphic: We Know Where Terry McAuliffe’s Been, but #WheresKen?!?

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From Terry McAuliffe’s Facebook page: “Terry spent the week touring Virginia’s community colleges, meeting with voters, and discussing the issues that matter most to them. Meanwhile, Ken Cuccinelli was… well, we’re not sure.” One possibility: he’s hiding out in a bunker somewhere, rather than comment on the burgeoning scandal he’s involved with. Given how bad things are looking for Cuckoo right now, it might actually be a smart move by [Cooch campaign strategist] Chris LaCivita and Company.

Video: Aneesh Chopra Speaks About How Democrats Can Win This November

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Also from this morning’s Northern Virginia Democratic Business Council breakfast in Tysons Corner. More video to come…