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Offshore Oil Drilling for Virginia: Undead and Ugly

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( – promoted by lowkell)

Drilling for oil off Virginia’s coast is once again a possibility, popping up like a zombie when we thought it was dead (again). As the New York Times reported recently, “Efforts are focusing on Virginia because the public, politicians in both parties and energy companies all favor opening the waters to drilling.”

It will be news to many members of the Virginia public that we favor drilling off our coast, but there’s no doubt that oil companies are itching to open the Atlantic coast to drilling rigs, and plenty of Virginia politicians make it a talking point. Senators Warner and Webb are on board, as is Senator-elect Tim Kaine. Most famously, Governor McDonnell came into office dreaming of the highways he would build when his tanker ship came in.

For oil companies, Virginia is the thin edge of the wedge. Our share of federal waters is quite small because of the odd way that boundary lines are drawn. Virginia is targeted mainly as a means of cracking the line of resistance created by other eastern states. It’s a shame so many of our politicians are eager to help in the cracking.

It used to be that when Democrats and Republicans agreed on something, that improved the odds of it being a good idea. These days, it often just means they are taking money from the same corporations. Money alone may not buy a politician’s votes, but it most certainly buys lobbyists access to politicians, and access has a way of producing votes. So perhaps the surprise is not how many politicians have jumped on the drill-baby-drill bandwagon, but how many have not.

Some naysayers, including Congressman Gerry Connolly (D-Fairfax), point out that drilling off our coast is opposed by the U.S. Navy, which uses most of Virginia’s leasing area for its operations. These include testing air and surface missiles and bombs, which traditionally don’t pair well with oil rigs and tankers. (On the other hand, the Navy supports offshore wind farms, which would be located away from operations.)

Other legislators, like Congressman Bobby Scott (D-Newport News) oppose drilling because of the environmental hazards, and the danger posed to fishing and tourism.

Of course, no politician will admit to being unconcerned about the environment, including the ones who are very obviously unconcerned about the environment. This is why they say they support “environmentally safe offshore oil drilling.” The phrase is so familiar that we have come to take it for granted, but it actually bears some thinking about. Saying he supports “safe oil drilling” suggests a politician has in mind another kind of oil drilling–the unsafe kind–that he would not support.

But you’d be hard-pressed to find any restrictions on the drilling industry that the drill-baby-drill crowd supports. These politicians considered offshore drilling “environmentally safe” right up to the day millions of barrels of oil began gushing into the Gulf of Mexico and causing billions of dollars’ worth of damage. Drilling methods haven’t changed since the Deepwater Horizon disaster, and oil spills have continued to occur in the Gulf and elsewhere.

So let’s put in a plug for Truth in Advertising. Politicians, if you think extra American oil is worth the occasional catastrophic oil spill, then say so. Pretending there will never again be another Deepwater Horizon makes you look out of touch with reality, and the fact that a significant proportion of the voters are also out of touch with reality is not an excuse.

If you’re okay with drilling, tell us your Plan B for Virginia: how you would deal with the effects of a spill that fouls our coastline, kills wildlife, and contaminates everything that lives in the ocean, over an area that could be hundreds or thousands of square miles. If winds and tides spread the contamination onto Assateague Island or into the Chesapeake Bay, what’s your plan?

The folks in our commercial and fishing industries, and all the people who live and work in beach towns, should hear you talk about how confident you are in their ability to get by for a season on government handouts; if there’s longer-lasting damage, how maybe they can move to Northern Virginia and work in retail. I’m sure you can make it sound appealing.

And if you can’t, then maybe it’s time to kill the drilling zombie for good. You may be taking money from oil companies, but your job is to look out for Virginia.

Rand “Aqua Buddha” Paul Endorses Ken Kookinelli for Governor

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A few minutes ago on his Facebook page, Ken Cuccinelli announced the big news: “I’m honored to have Senator Rand Paul’s endorsement. We need leadership in Washington and in Virginia that will address the real budget problem–too much spending. We need to leave money in the hands of hard-working Americans.”

In “honor” of this fine endorsement, one loonytunes of another loonytunes, I thought it was worth posting this video. Enjoy! 😉

Three NOVA Obama/Kaine Counties that Need to Stop Going “Red” in Other Years

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Just 13 days ago, Virginia went “blue” for the second straight presidential election cycle, this time going for Barack Obama (D) over Willard “Mitt” Romney (R) by 4 points, and for Tim Kaine (D) over George Allen (R) by 6 points. In the process, Obama and Kaine carried many of the largest Virginia localities – Fairfax County, Loudoun County, Prince William County, Arlington County, Henrico County, Richmond, Norfolk, Newport News, Albemarle County, Portsmouth, Roanoke, Suffolk, etc. (also Virginia Beach in the case of Kaine; Obama came very close but didn’t quite win it).

In many of these places, Obama’s and Kaine’s victories weren’t even close, but were by wide margins (e.g., 20 points in Fairfax County, 16 points in Prince William County, 12-16 points in Henrico). Yet what’s striking is that, despite the “blue” dominance of most large Virginia localities during presidential years, there are an awful lot of Republicans in power in these same places on county boards and in the Virginia General Assembly. Two localities in particular jumped right out at me for their glaring discrepancies between how they voted in 2012 and who represents them at the county and state levels the rest of the time.

Loudoun County: The Board of Supervisors is ALL Republican (including the rabid homophobic wackjob Eugene Delgaudio), despite the county going by 5 points for Obama and 6 points for Kaine this November. At the state level, it’s not so hot either, with one total nutjob Republican (State Sen. Dick Black) and another right winger (State Sen. Jill Vogel), plus a slew of Republicans in the House of Delegates (Thomas “Tag” Greason, Joe May, Jim LeMunyon, Tom Rust, Randy Minchew, David Ramadan). That leaves just two Democrats representing Loudoun County – State Senator Mark Herring, who’s running for Attorney General in 2013; and State Senator Barbara Favola, who represents just a tiny sliver of Loudoun County. What on earth is going on here?!?

Prince William County: It’s 6-2 Republican on the County Board of Supervisors, despite Prince William County going by a landslide (16 points each) for Barack Obama and Tim Kaine in November 2012. That board is headed up by Corey Stewart, notorious for his “illegal” immigrant bashing, even though Prince William County is now a “majority-minority” county. WTF? And as if that’s not absurd enough, Prince William County also has a bunch of Republicans (mis)representing it in Richmond (7 of 8 Republicans in the House of Delegates, including some truly godawful ones like “Sideshow” Bob Marshall (see NLS’ excellent analysis of his district), David Ramadan and Jackson Miller; 2 of 5 Republicans in the State Senate, including the extremist nutjob Dick Black).

Fairfax County: The County Board’s in pretty good shape, and the State Senate delegation is all-“blue,” so that’s fine. Still, given that this county went by 20 points or so for Obama/Kaine, Fairfax definitely needs to be a LOT “bluer” than it currently is in the House of Delegates. A few Republicans who badly need to say “sayonara” in 2013 include: Barbara Comstock, Tim Hugo, Dave Albo, Jim LeMunyon, and Tom Rust. So, who do we have challenging these people?

Obviously, this situation needs to change, and it needs to change starting next year! How to do this? First of all, the Democratic “powers that be” all should be busting their butts right now recruiting top-notch candidate to run in every single “Obama/Kaine” House of Delegates district in these three counties. Second, the Democratic “powers that be” need to provide whatever help those candidates need next year. Third, the Democratic “powers that be” need to be developing a plan right away aimed at getting out “Obama coalition” voters (young, Latino, African American, Asian American, women) in “odd-year” elections such as 2013, not just when a presidential or top-notch U.S. Senate campaign like Tim Kaine’s swings into town (or in this case, county). Is any of this being done? Got me. Can we win without it? Highly unlikely. Can we win WITH it? Seems like a no-brainer to me. So, what am I missing here?

The Way Forward: Activating the Immune System

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( – promoted by lowkell)

The following is the first installment of a series that will be exploring — and creating- “The Way Forward” in the wake of the campaign for Congress that, with the help of many other people, I waged in Virginia’s 6th District and that, while not victorious, many of us feel achieved a great deal.

Your participation in this discussion is strongly encouraged, as this series –including selected comments– may become part of a permanent and published work that in itself may have a political impact.

In the aftermath of the election on November 6th, many dozens of people have written or phoned me to encourage me to run for Congress again (against Bob Goodlatte in Virginia’s 6th District) in 2014.  I am honored and fortified by that encouragement, and by all the laudatory words that accompanied it.

I’m also open to the possibility.  But I’m not yet prepared to make a decision one way or the other.  To my mind, the more useful question is not, at this point, “Should I run again in 2014?” but rather a question that’s prior, and more fundamental: “What is the best way for me – and all of us together – to build upon what we’ve already accomplished in order to have the greatest possible positive impact on the political crisis that besets our country?”

So let’s look at how that crisis should be perceived, and what our campaign did and did not achieve related to it.  

The most obvious part of the crisis is that “a sick and broken” spirit has taken over one of our two major political parties and has been wielding great power in ways that are “more dishonest and more destructive than anything ever seen before at center stage of American politics.”

But its ability to gain such power is testimony to the fact that the pathology is not confined to the political right (and the Republican Party).  This dangerous force could only succeed as much as it has because the “immune system” of the American body politic has become compromised.  An immune system is supposed first to recognize the pathological when it enters the body and second to combat it to make sure that the pathology does not take over the body.

Our founders gave us a system in which 1) the competing factions (i.e. the Democratic Party), 2) the press, and 3) the American people would recognize and suppress such a dishonest and destructive force.  As I demonstrated in several of my “Rounds” talks (e.g. on the “torture memo” f  legal fraud, and on the climate change issue), all three of those components of the American body politic failed to respond as our founders would have wished.

I ran for Congress as the best way I could find of trying to activate the immune system and fight the disease.

In our campaign, the pathology was well-represented by Bob Goodlatte, who plays the role of rubber stamp for the destructive force the Republican Party has become, and who consistently communicates dishonestly with the people.

I played the role of the competing faction by dealing with that pathology in the way that I thought the Democratic Party should have been doing for some years: denouncing the Republican Party for what it is, and calling out their lies.

I hoped to light a fire – the fire of “Truth. For a change.” – and for that fire to spread with such energy that it would alter the political landscape.

In one domain, I feel I succeeded. Among the like-minded – those who already sided against the force we must fight – a fire did get kindled. People would say to me that “You’re preaching to the choir,” and I would reply, “I’m not preaching to the choir, I’m trying to raise an army.”

In the last two or three months before the election, the evidence of the growing fire among us was evident at almost every campaign event. My wife April and I were met and buoyed up by a bright passion in our supporters like nothing I ever experienced. The army I sought had been raised, and it put up an outstanding fight.

That’s what we’ve built now. And what we can hope now to build upon.

But that leaves two other elements of the body politic where there remained important barriers we didn’t manage to get past to any significant degree:  that portion of the people who did not begin like-minded, but rather who have been successfully manipulated by the lies, and who showed an unwillingness even to check me out; and the press on whose coverage of my message our campaign necessarily relied.

Part of coming to an answer to the question “Should Andy Schmookler run once again for Congress against Bob Goodlatte in 2014?” involves looking at these two parts of the picture where the “immune system” did not get activated.  

Is there a way that a second effort can succeed in those areas – reaching the “good, decent conservatives of this district,” getting the press to treat our message with a deeper level of seriousness-where the first effort failed?  

It’s not clear to me that, without greater success in those areas, my making a second run for Congress would achieve much that we haven’t already achieved.

So let’s turn next to look at each of those two areas -“cracking the nut” of the right-wing alternate reality so many of our neighbors dwell in, and enlisting the press in a genuine inquiry into what’s true and what’s a lie in American politics today-and assess what we’re up against.

Andy Schmookler is an award-winning author, political commentator, radio talk-show host, and teacher, Andy moved with his family to Shenandoah County in 1992.  He is a graduate of Harvard University and holds a PhD from the University of California at Berkeley.

60 Minutes Report Ignores College Football Cartel’s Real Problems

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The following diary is by Miles Grant, who asked me to post it because he was having a few technical difficulties (damn iframes!).

College football’s biggest problem, as I understand it from watching this 60 Minutes report by Armen Keteyian last night, is that it makes too much money.

The optimist would say CBS thinks its broad audience has rarely thought about how money impacts college-run football, the universities, and athletes, and is hoping to get them thinking about the topic. Talking directly about how top colleges rake in the dough for themselves while tossing crumbs to the athletes who actually put their lives on the line to play the games would be too jarring, even off-putting.

But the cynic would say that this CBS report is concern trolling at its worst, pretending to care while ignoring the real issues and skipping solutions altogether. The report presenting the views of four people cashing in on the NCAA’s corrupt cartel (two athletic directors & two coaches) with only a brief comment from an athlete and nothing from college football’s many critics. The cynic would also point out that CBS, which has an $825 million contract to broadcast SEC football games, has a strong financial incentive to go whistling past the graveyard on this one.

What do you think?

Virginia News Headlines: Monday Morning

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Here are a few Virginia (and national) news headlines, political and otherwise, for Monday, November 19.

*Obama, in an Emerging Myanmar, Vows Support (Nobody seems to be mentioning this, but Jim Webb has played a major role in U.S.-Myanmar/Burma diplomacy the past few years…)

*International pressure mounts for Gaza truce

*Much as Mark Warner loved being governor, he’s not likely to leave Capitol Hill for Richmond

*Oil Lobbyists Target Sen. Mark Warner In New Ad (“As Washington lawmakers look for new streams of revenue to deal with the bloated federal budget, the American Petroleum Institute is looking to protect the hard-won tax breaks energy companies enjoy.” That really says it all right there. Tell them to go jump in a lake…of high-sulfur oil.)

*House District #13 (Excellent analysis by NLS: Barack Obama and Tim Kaine won “Sideshow Bob” Marshall’s Virginia House of Delegates district by wide margins. So…who do we have running against “Sideshow” next year?)

*Republicans Abandon Romney in Droves After ‘Gifts’ Comments

*Election-weary Virginia looks ahead to 2013

*495 Express Lanes open for rush hour

*Schapiro: A product of new Virginia, Allen undone by newer one

*Editorial: Right electoral fixes, wrong funding source (“Sen. Mark Warner offers a blueprint for better elections that Virginia and other states should follow.”)

*Cat claims third place in Senate race

*Falls Church has the first ‘passive house’ in Fairfax County (“A super insulated, airtight house expected to reduce energy cost by 90 percent.”)

*D.C. area forecast: A dry week which slowly warms up before weekend chill

*Griffin provides D.C. a present (“Star rookie Robert Griffin III backs up his words with a four-touchdown passing effort. His presence is why Washington has a fighting chance this season.”)

Video: 350.org Stop Keystone “Do the Math” Event Live Feed

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Bill McKibben of 350.org is a national treasure. I just wish our politicians, very few of whom are national treasures, would listen to him and take action on climate change now!

P.S. I plan to head into DC for the anti-Keystone rally at 3 pm. Also, I just signed the petition pledging to “stand in the way of the Keystone XL pipeline…will not allow it to pollute our water, dirty our land, and endanger our future…”

This Cycle’s Best and Worst Virginia Polls (and Pollsters)

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Looking back at the 2011-2012 election cycle provides an opportunity for accountability – both positive and negative – for political analysts, candidates, campaigns, pundits, and pollsters. Over the next few weeks, I hope to get to the first four on that list. Today, though, I want to focus on the best and worst polls (and pollsters) of Virginia during 2011-2012. (source)

BEST VIRGINIA POLLS AND POLLSTERS OF THE CYCLE (Note: the actual results are available here – Obama 51%-Romney 47%; Kaine 53%-Allen 47%)

1. PPP’s November 4 poll had Obama up 51%-47%, which turned out to be the exact results! PPP also had Tim Kaine up 52%-46%, which nailed the 6-point margin exactly. Very, very impressive!

2. JZ Analytics/Newsmax came close to nailing the final results as well, predicting Kaine by 7 points and Obama by 8 points in their final poll of the cycle. Not too shabby, especially when the poll was by the widely-mocked John Zogby, paired with the far-far-far-right-wing-loony Newsmax. Maybe they canceled each other’s badness out and ended up with goodness? Heh.

3. The Washington Post’s last poll of the cycle, about two weeks out, came close to nailing it as well: Obama 51%-Romney 47%; Kaine 51%-Allen 44%. Nice job!

4. Believe it or not, Rasmussen of all pollsters had Kaine up 7 points a few weeks out. The problem is, Rasmusssen had the race moving towards George Allen in the closing days, with their final poll showing Kaine up just 2 points, and the one before that showing Kaine up just 1 points. Meh.

5. A few other pollsters who did reasonably well in Virginia during this cycle were NBC/WSJ/Marist, Ipsos-Reuters, Quinnipiac/NYT/CBS, and Garin-Hart-Yang (D-DSCC). Nice job, everybody!

WORST VIRGINIA POLLS (AND POLLSTERS) OF THE CYCLE

1. The most hilariously, outrageously awful pollster of Virginia this cycle was, by far, Roanoke College. Starting off in March 2011, with a poll that can’t even really be called “crap,” because that’s an insult to good fecal material everywhere, is this, this…thing, showing George Allen leading Tim Kaine by – wait for it – 13 points (!!!). Uh guys? Bwahahahahahahaha.

1a. Another truly abysmal Roanoke College poll came on October 31, 2012, just days before the election. In this debacle, Roanoke College had Kaine and Obama both down FIVE points in Virginia, meaning that they missed the final results a few days later by 9 and 11 points, respectively. Wow.

1b. Even more hilariously, that Roanoke College “poll” (using the word VERY loosely) came just a few weeks after another one of their “polls” showed Obama up 8 points and Kaine up 10 points. That’s right, according to Roanoke College, there was a 15-point swing towards Romney and Allen in Virginia during October 2012. Seriously, just shut this “pollster” down and spare us all the misery. (Note: I thought about looking at Roanoke College “polls”‘ internals, but then I thought, why even bother, these polls are so awful it doesn’t even matter what the internals are, might as well have just pulled them out of their butts for all they’re worth…)

2. Republican hack “pollsters” Wenzel Strategies, Gravis Marketing, McLaughlin, and Pulse Opinion Research/Let Freedom Ring all had George Allen up (from 2 to 5 points) in the closing weeks of the 2012 campaign. Not even close, although not as abysmal as the beyond-laughable Roanoke College.

3. We Ask America had a bizarre poll back in June 2012 showing Allen up 9 points over Kaine. This one’s a bit surprising, as Nate Silver rated We Ask America as fairly average. Not this poll, though, which was a major stinker.

Virginia News Headlines: Sunday Morning

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Here are a few Virginia (and national) news headlines, political and otherwise, for Sunday, November 18. Also, note the graphic to the right, which shows that despite hysterical teahdist cries to “stop the spending,” in reality (something they’re not well connected with) federal government spending has grown the SLOWEST under President Obama in the past 60 years or so. Hmmmm.

*Israel Warns of ‘Expansion’ as Attack Widens to Media Sites

*Ron Barber defeats Martha McSally

in race for Giffords’s former seat


*States running out of money for roads, transit

*Did climate change controversy cause UVA’s sacking of Teresa Sullivan? (“The University of Virginia board that fired, then reinstated UVA’s president earlier this year owes us all a full account of its actions”)

*With election over, what’s next for coal?

*The gloves come off in Bolling-Cuccinelli race

*Marshall to renew social-issues push (“Ahead of the upcoming session that begins Jan. 9, Marshall has already filed legislation that would allow Virginia employers to opt out of contraception coverage in their health plans and another bill that would make it a felony for doctors to perform sex-selective abortions.”)

*Airports agency must clean house or face skyrocketing tolls

*Voters without proper ID were a small percentage of ballots cast

*Editorial: Downtown’s evolution

*The trouble with Virginia’s plates

*A growing Old Dominion University needs to expand – but how?

*Pr. William County Board chief proposes deep social service cuts

*Arlington buys building for offices, shelter

*Windfall a pleasant puzzle for Charlottesville

*Dulles Airport celebrates 50th birthday Saturday

*Wizards make history with loss to Jazz, 0-8 start

*D.C. area forecast: Still cool, but slightly warmer each day with 60+ possible by Thanksgiving