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No Backroom Deals on Redistricting, Say the Voters

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The Committee on Privileges and Elections of the Virginia House held a hearing on redistricting at Mason Hall on the GMU campus Tuesday evening, 5 October. Chairman Mark Cole, (R, 88th) District, was joined on the panel by Delegates David Albo (R, 42d), Rosalyn Dance (D, 63rd), and Jackson Miller (R,50th). This was one of three pre-redistricting hearings being held around the Commonwealth. Delegate Cole pointed out he intended the redistricting process to be fair, have input from everyone, and comply with federal and state constitutions and laws.  He reminded the audience of approximately 50 that they were not there for a debate, but to listen to voters—- and he did get an earful from the thirteen speakers, I think not all of it to his liking.

Almost every speaker made a point of requesting transparency in the process, and pled for a truly non-partisan (or at least bipartisan) process to replace old-style backroom deals and gerrymandering, a point which did not appear to please Delegate Cole, who sat with his arms crossed during such testimony, although he thanked each speaker graciously for their input.

Leading off was Tanya Hussein, representing the Fairfax County Federation of Civic Associations, who explained that the federation strongly supported a non-partisan model for achieving redistricting, preferably along the Iowa model which uses an independent commission to do the job, taking into consideration no political voting patterns, but rather population, contiguity, and compactness.  This system would take redistricting out of the political process.

The most incisive testimony came from two sources: Olga Hernandez, President of the League of Women Voters, and Professor Michael McDonald of GMU, a redistricting specialist who has developed a public mapping software project funded by the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation based on investigation of redistricting projects in Illinois, Michigan, Minnesota, Ohio, and Wisconsin.  

Mrs. Hernandez maintained that partisan gerrymandering, done by both Democrats and Republicans, has so reduced the number of competitive seats that voter turnout has fallen. For example, in the 2007 Virginia Senate races, incumbents in 17 of the 40 races has no opposition, and only 9 of the races were considered competitive; and in the 100 House of Delegates races 57 incumbents had no opposition, and only 12 of the races were considered competitive. That year, 2007, only 30.2 percent of the voters bothered to vote. She said

“The current system in Virginia only encourages partisan gerrymandering…. this subverts the democratic system because it allows politicians to choose their voters, rather than vice versa. It limits the vetting of new people with new ideas and solutions to public policy issues….One of the most significant effects of partisan gerrymandering…. is its contribution to the increasing polarization in legislative bodies, and ‘with little reason to fear voters, representatives increasingly cater to party insiders and donors rather than to the political center…’ (and) bipartisan compromise around moderate policies has taken a backseat to party loyalty.”

Professor McDonald arrived with a fat pamphlet explaining the investigation of “potential effects of four criteria on the congressional and state legislative districts in the five Midwestern states,” using mapping software to show the effects of using various guidelines or criteria in drawing the boundaries of the districts. “The drawing of electoral districts is among the least transparent processes in democratic government,” he pointed out, and by using the open source, web-based mapping software they had developed, the Virginia Assembly could make the process transparent and completely accessible to the voters, showing them how various proposed districts would work out. It is not a simple process, he made clear, and each criteria had special political consequences, sometimes surprising, I gathered.

This request for the use of modern technology and for transparency was echoed by several speakers, some of whom also complained that they had read newspaper accounts and heard rumors of “backroom deals” already in place to carve up the electorate in the same old gerrymandering style of the past, and they were defiant in their requests that this not happen. Kenton Ngo, GMU student and well-known blogger, strongly encouraged the Commission to make use of the many advances in technology to provide the public with maps of proposed new districts. He, too, strongly encouraged an independent commission (i.e., not composed of Assembly politicians) to undertake the task of redistricting.

Delegate Vivian Watts requested that, however the new district lines are drawn, there be no wholesale changes, that is, unnecessarily moving large areas and people from one district to another, because that made it difficult for voters to hold their elected leadership accountable from one election to the next.  This was a point I had not particularly considered before, but it makes sense. Mrs. Watts used her own district as an example: while only 2 or 3 thousand voters needed to be re-assigned to maintain the one-man-one-vote criterion which requires same-sized electoral districts, her district saw 20,000 voters changed in the last redistricting.

The Vice-Mayor of Vienna, Mrs. Cole, Ray Baldwin of Vienna, and Dennis Bush of Herndon all requested that, in redistricting, their respective towns be kept as a unit, with a single delegate and a single senator to represent them, rather than splitting a town into fragments tacked on to various districts.  Mr. Baldwin, like others, emphasized that the process be done without regard to voting patterns, and that there be a community of interest kept within a district.  He also reminded the panel that Governor McDonnell promised during his gubernatorial campaign that he would ensure a bipartisan process, and the voters expected him to follow through.

Representatives from the Latino and Vietnamese communities made a special plea for recognition, and asked that their voting power not be diluted when drawing the new lines.  Interestingly, they pointed out that there were Latino and Asian communities all across the commonwealth, not just in Northern Virginia.

Several Delegates were in the audience. I saw Vivian Watts, Mark Keam, Adam Ebbin, Charniele Herring, David Bulova, Jim Scott, and Eileen Filler-Corn.

After the session I approached Delegate Cole as an interested voter, and asked him if he noticed that we the voters were a little bit cynical about the process of redistricting.  He nodded but immediately explained how, when the Democrats redistricted in 1990, the Republicans won, and when the Republican redistricted in 2000 the Democrats won. I suppose he meant to convey that the so-called gerrymandering did not work after all, and therefore we should not be cynical. I responded that that was not what I referred to, but rather that the Commission make use of the new technology to open up the process, making it transparent. That would restore credibility and make the voters less cynical. I could not resist also letting him know that having the elected representatives chose their constituents, as Mrs. Hernandez said, was, frankly, just a little arrogant. I am not sure he got the message.

ABC as a Bellwether of McDonnell’s Gubernatorial Style

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I’d like to point out that articles concerning the privatization efforts underway in the Commonwealth, whether mentioned in the Post or in the RT-D, all strike a similar chord of regurgitating facts or just reporting gradual moves as this issue (undeservedly) becomes McDonnell’s first keynote.  He is looking for solutions to transportation and, whether or not this privatization passes, we know that this will be strike one.  $100m, $250m or $500m, including the figure of initial sale of ABC permits, will not absolve Virginia of its transportation woes.  A strike is a decent and worthy call here.

An article in the Examiner took a slightly different tone when it mentioned that the Governor had “handpicked the special panel of committee members” charged with passing the proposal.

http://www.examiner.com/city-b…

The initial interpretation is that this is just another factoid out of many.  The reality is that it’s an incredibly significant piece of the puzzle as to how McDonnell’s political brain ticks.

This article hits a good note and paints a unique picture in the first handful of lines: that Governor McDonnell is taking a risk and that he’s a kind of lone horseman on this policy venture [see “since Governor McDonnell handpicked the special panel of committee members”].  That’s not to paint him as some sort of maverick or hero.  He has certainty in his immediate circle of advisers and pushers but lacks it in the General Assembly, where even fellow Republicans are casting doubts that even the eradication of some of the significant taxes hasn’t been able to dry up.  The ultimate fallacy, to me, whether he wins or loses (but especially if he loses), is that he put all the chips on the table and didn’t take a different approach to ease into privatization in an assured but cautious manner.  This says a lot about the Governor, particularly that he is a bit on the self-assured side, which can read reckless [see April’s “Confederate Appreciation Month” as a minor example…or his inability to control all parts of his administration, like Cuccinelli, who is not doing McDonnell’s bidding but is pursuing his course through stubborn, desperate self-interest].

Perhaps I have made minor points but the matter is that the Governor isn’t hedging bets on other massive rearrangements of  how we run things in Virginia with the looming woes of transportation funding waving in his face.  He’s making much ado about something that his supposed friends are stuttering on.

Another Poll Indicates Deadlocked Race in VA-05

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Another day, another poll (other than SurveyUSA) indicates a tossup race in Virginia’s 5th Congressional district.

A survey of likely voters in Virginia’s 5th Congressional District reveals a deadlocked race with Democrat Tom Perriello receiving 43%, Republican Robert Hurt 44% and Independent candidate Jeff Clark barely registering with 1% in the initial trial heat.

A representative sample of 500 likely voters was interviewed live, by telephone, from September 20 – 23, 2010…

The poll was commissioned by the League of Conservation Voters and the Service Employees International Union and conducted by Custom Strategic Research. According to the LCV:

Congressman Perriello’s leadership in the House on clean energy issues has been unparalleled. We are encouraged by the results of this poll and will work hard to ensure that Congressman Perriello is re-elected so that he can continue working to bring clean energy jobs to Virginia and increase our national security.

The SEIU adds:

Tom Perriello has remained focused on three things – jobs, jobs and jobs – and his focus on the issues that matter to his district is paying off while Robert Hurt’s refusal to hold a single town hall meeting is backfiring…Across the country, candidates who’ve focused on strengthening the middle class, as Perriello has with his Economic R.E.V.I.V.A.L. plan, are surging as we enter the last month of the election.

Good stuff, go Tom!

Voter Registration Deadline: One Week From Today

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Lowell and Barack ObamaJust a quick reminder that if you’re not already registered to vote in Virginia, or have moved since the last time you voted, October 12th is the deadline for your application to be postmarked or delivered to your local Voter Registration Office. The State Board of Elections website has all the details.

Why’s it so critical to vote this year? I’ll let President Obama take that from his must-read Rolling Stone interview:

Everybody out there has to be thinking about what’s at stake in this election and if they want to move forward over the next two years or six years or 10 years on key issues like climate change, key issues like how we restore a sense of equity and optimism to middle-class families who have seen their incomes decline by five percent over the last decade. If we want the kind of country that respects civil rights and civil liberties, we’d better fight in this election. And right now, we are getting outspent eight to one by these 527s that the Roberts court says can spend with impunity without disclosing where their money’s coming from. In every single one of these congressional districts, you are seeing these independent organizations outspend political parties and the candidates by, as I said, factors of four to one, five to one, eight to one, 10 to one.

Photo via Flickr’s Waldo Jaquith

Hypocrite Scott Rigell Just Couldn’t “Say No” to “Cash for Clunkers”

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Typical Republican, rail against federal “stimulus” money, then take that same money when it benefits you, then try to claim you were forced to take it, blah blah blah. The question is, why does anyone take hypocrites and phonies like Scott Rigell seriously?

Virginia AG Cuccinelli’s War on Science, Episode II

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In our previous episode, a retired state judge called on to rule on the case bounced it into the next county.

In episode two:

Cuccinelli has appealed that ruling to the state Supreme Court.

The current filing from Cuccinelli was issued Sept. 29 in conjunction with the continuing probe. It is more narrowly crafted to target one state grant – a $214,700 award – in which Mann had a role.

I am beginning to believe that Republicans oppose science because knowledge is inimical to their mythology.  

Once you know the sun is umpty-ump miles away, you can no longer believe in Icarus.  

They want to keep hold on to their Icarus.

Moran

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http://notlarrysabato.typepad….

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/…

https://bluevirginia.us/dia…

Out in California, of the more than $8.3 million contributed to the “Yes on 23” campaign, less than $1 million has come from within the state.

http://californiawatch.org/wat…

Sierra Club Gives Bob McDonnell an “F” on Chesapeake Bay

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According to the Virginia Chapter of the Sierra Club:

Gov. Bob McDonnell gets an “F” on his Chesapeake Bay report card. He has failed to protect the Bay from agricultural runoff, from storm water runoff and sewage pollution, and failed to provide the jobs and economic growth that come from protecting the Bay. The only accomplishment he has is his giveaways to polluters.

What else but “Stunningly deficient”?!

Heckuva job, Bob McDonnell!

The First Amendment’s Greatest Nightmare is Back!

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Just in time for Halloween – Coochie’s back!  No, nothing can stop this maniac – not common sense, not reams of empirical evidence of human-induced climate change – and certainly not a court order affirming that he’s full of (a certain methane-emitting organic substance).  

In direct defiance of Judge Paul M. Peatross Jr’s ruling that Cooch’s case against U-VA was so hollow that it echoed (I’m paraphrasing here), Virginia’s Ayatollah General Ken Cuccinelli has issued yet another subpoena (called a civil investigative demand or CID) against Jefferson’s university and its former professor, acclaimed climate scientist Michael Mann.

In his CID (does he, in his fantasies, call himself “El Cid”?), Cooch shows his characteristic level of self restraint by only asking U-VA to produce

the original and any copies of any written, printed, typed, electronic, or graphic matter of any kind or nature, however,  produced or reproduced, any book, pamphlet, brochure, periodical, newspaper, letter, correspondence, memoranda, notice, facsimile, e-mail, manual, press release, telegram , report, study, handwritten note, working paper, chart, paper, graph, index, tape, data sheet, data processing card, or any other written, recorded, transcribed, punched, taped, filmed or graphic matter now in your possession, custody or control.

(Although I’m not a lawyer, I believe that the inclusive nature of the list above would require the university to turn over all colonoscopies of Dr. Mann and related researchers during the period in question.)

To be helpful, though, Cooch limits the subpoena to only the files of fourteen different academic departments at U-VA, from “Computer Engineering” to “Public Policy Program”, plus “[a]ny person who assisted Dr. Mann regarding any of the Grants…”  

The only concession to the environment that Cooch makes in this new filing is his ardent recycling of the same worn out old climate conspiracy theories. He reiterates his claim that Professor Mann committed “fraud” by engaging in research that could potentially impact the share prices of major oil and coal companies.

Screw your aluminum cap on tightly because the conspiratorial thinking is rich here.  Cooch claims that the findings of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change were controlled by a small cadre of researchers and that they, like the mad scientists in James Bond movies, are motivated by greed: “Because neither the IPCC nor governmental grants to climate scientists would likely continue were it to be determined that man-made global warming was not a serious threat, potential conflicts of interest flow predominantly in one direction.”

Cooch’s CID even repeats the right wing media’s favor out-of-context quote from the so-called “Climategate” so-called “scandal” about “Mike’s trick to hide the decline” without even mentioning that the decline in question is a decline, not in temperatures, but in tree ring widths, which Mann replaces in his work with actual temperature data.  So Prof. Mann is being accused of fraud about climate change for focusing on actual temperature data?

BTW, it’s worth noting that even one of the scientists whose work Cooch quotes in this CID to discredit Mann, Stephen McIntyre, said of his last CID:

This is a repugnant piece of over-zealousness by the Virginia Attorney General, that I condemn. […] To the extent that Virginia citizens are concerned about public money being misappropriated, Cuccinelli’s own expenditures on this adventure should be under equal scrutiny. There will be no value for dollar in this enterprise.

Ditto that, dude.

At a time when secret corporate donors are doing their best to purchase a Congress more to their liking, Cooch seems determined to lead the charge to ensure that the climate denial theories subsidized by Koch Industries and Exxon-Mobil prevail over actual science fact.  And if academic freedom dies in the process – hey, you want an omelet, ya gotta break some eggs, man!

Will Virginia wake up before this nightmare kills us?  Stay tuned!!