Home 2018 Elections New VA-10 Democratic Poll: Wexton 31%-Friedman 5%-Stover 3% (Undecided 58%)

New VA-10 Democratic Poll: Wexton 31%-Friedman 5%-Stover 3% (Undecided 58%)

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UPDATE: Compare this poll to the one conducted in April 2017, which had undecided at 45%, with Sen. Jennifer Wexton at 15%, then-First Lady Dorothy McAuliffe at 17% and Sully District Supervisor Kathy Smith at 20%. Obviously, neither Smith nor McAuliffe ran. Other changes: undecided went from 45% then to 58% now (+13 points), while Wexton went from 15% then to 31% now (+16 points).

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I’ve been wondering whether there had been any recent polling for the VA-10 Democratic primary, and…yep, just received the following from the Wexton campaign. Note that this poll was conducted by Garin Hart Yang Research Group for the Wexton campaign. Still, it’s an impressive showing for Wexton, who currently leads the Democratic field 31%-5% (over Alison Friedman)-3% (over  Lindsey Davis Stover). Also note that Gov. Ralph Northam – who has endorsed Wexton – is viewed positively by 83% of VA-10 Democratic likely primary voters, vs. just 3% who view him negatively. Of course, with 58% of likely Democratic primary voters still undecided, there’s absolutely still a chance for another candidate to win; but as of this moment, it looks like Wexton is in the pole position…


  • Kamran Fareedi

    The screenshot says that Stover has 3%, yet your headline says 5%. Please correct

    • Yeah, I misread it unfortunately; fixed it now…thanks.

  • sjberke1

    This poll of course represents the state of play before the campaign really gets going (meaning before a lot of ads go up), raising a couple of questions:

    —Can any of Wexton’s rivals spend enough on TV and social media to break off from the rest of the field and be seen as the main challenger?

    —Will one or more of the rivals be tempted to go strongly negative on Wexton in an attempt to level the playing field?

    I think the answer to the first question is no, and I hope the answer to the second is no. The poll doesn’t guarantee anything, but does show what a strong position Wexton is in.

    • notjohnsmosby

      I keep hearing people say that the small fry should go negative on Wexton. What is there to go negative on?

      Most of the candidates have been running for nine months to a year, so the campaigns got going a long time ago.. Even Friedman, who didn’t formally announce for several months after she informally started raising money. At this point, it is what it is for them.

  • O P

    Still waiting to determine which of them is the most progressive on environmental protection- because that is not reversible. Will be contacting each before making decision. Very dissatisfied with some of their positions on this- L. Stover says she will enact tenets of Paris Climate Agreement at state/local level- NOT enough. I totally wrote her off as soon as I read her environment should only be protected “when possible”. Are you kidding? Nope. Alison Friedman on the other hand seems to have a better start on her claims, but people want to know what the policies are, not vague generalities. I do like that she states that she will not accept money from Dominion Energy….though nothing from fossil fuels or, hey, here’s a novel idea, any pacs, corporations, dark money, or large donors would be better. For some reason I find it most difficult to find information on the genuine policies of candidates on environmental issues more so than any other topics (those seem to be easier to determine), and, especially as this is something we will not be able to just ‘fix’ later, I absolutely put this among the first things.