If it’s Friday, it must be…
Flip-A-District Friday: Volume IX
Welcome to this week’s Flip-a-District, featuring important updates and contact information from all seven of the Republican-held House districts that Democrats are fighting to turn blue on November 6th.
After two years of fundraising, canvassing, phone banking, marching, winning in state-level elections, and more, we’re almost there – we’re just 11 days away from the most consequential midterm election of our lifetime. It’s time to find out if all of this phenomenal Democratic energy will translate into Democratic votes on Election Day.
This is the final stretch that will determine whether Congress will finally develop a (blue) backbone and stand up to Donald Trump’s divisive, destructive agenda. Imagine if we win the House – Democrats will be able to get Trump’s tax returns, have subpoena power, and block attempts to further dismantle the Affordable Care Act. If we win the Senate, we will be able to block unqualified nominees to judgeships and Administration positions.
These next 11 days are our last shot to help Democratic campaigns throughout the Commonwealth. Take a look at the candidates below – if one speaks to you, reach out to contribute or – better yet – volunteer. It’s now or never.
1st District: Cook Partisan Voter Index (PVI) R+8
Vangie Williams (D) vs. Rob Wittman (R-Incumbent)
Current rankings:
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Safe R
FiveThirtyEight: Solid R
RealClearPolitics: n/a
Politico: Solid Republican
Campaign Finance:
Williams Cash on Hand: $89,258.95
Williams Raised Q3: $256,020.18
Wittman Cash on Hand: $960,527.17
Wittman Raised Q3: $238,152.10
How you can help:
Contribute here.
Volunteer here.
Latest News:
“Congressman Rob Wittman debates Democratic opponent Vangie Williams”
“Wittman, Williams clash on health care, tariffs in first 1st District debate”
“Democrat Vangie Williams has fundraising surge, but still trails Republican Rep. Rob Wittman”
“Williams’ ad recounts family’s struggle with health-care costs”
Deeper Dive:
2nd District: Cook PVI R+3
Elaine Luria (D) vs. Scott Taylor (R-Incumbent)
Current rankings:
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-Up
Cook Political Report: Republican Toss-Up
FiveThirtyEight: Lean R
RealClearPolitics: Leans GOP
Politico: Toss-Up
Campaign Finance:
Luria Cash on Hand: $1,314,664.70
Luria Raised Q3: $1,442,429.24
Taylor Cash on Hand: $491,669.68
Taylor Raised Q3: $600,529.14
How you can help:
Contribute here.
Volunteer here.
Latest News:
“Vice President Mike Pence coming to Virginia Beach today to stump for Scott Taylor”
“Barack Obama endorses Elaine Luria for Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District”
“Biden stumps for Luria, touts union ties”
“Va. election changes coming after ‘fraud’ in petitions circulated by GOP candidate’s staffers”
Deeper Dive:
5th District: Cook PVI R+6
Leslie Cockburn (D) vs. Denver Riggleman (R)
Current rankings:
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans R
Cook Political Report: Lean Republican
FiveThirtyEight: Toss-Up
RealClearPolitics: Toss-Up
Politico: Likely Republican
Campaign Finance:
Cockburn Cash on Hand: $1,029,644.37
Cockburn Raised Q3: $1,146,074.46
Riggleman Cash on Hand: $505,089.11
Riggleman Raised Q3: $694,361.00
How you can help:
Contribute here.
Volunteer here.
Latest News:
“New York Times Poll Shows Cockburn Slightly Ahead of Riggleman”
“Va. GOP says Democrat running for Congress ‘hates America'”
“Leslie Cockburn Holds Discussion on Campaign Finance Reform”
“Riggleman, Cockburn spar in penultimate 5th District debate”
“Leslie Cockburn (D-VA05) Named to “Red to Blue” List:”
Deeper Dive:
6th District: Cook PVI R+13
Jennifer Lewis vs. Ben Cline
Current rankings:
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Safe R
FiveThirtyEight: Solid R
RealClearPolitics: n/a
Politico: Solid Republican
Campaign Finance:
Lewis Cash on Hand: $91,714.48
Lewis Raised Q3: $258,672.75
Cline Cash on Hand: $258,672.75
Cline Raised Q3: $332,217.45
How you can help:
Contribute here.
Volunteer here.
Latest News:
“Ben Cline rejects Jennifer Lewis’ challenge to debate”
“Final debate between Lewis and Cline brings out civility, pipeline and tax discussions”
“Jennifer Lewis announces Sixth District Small Business Tour”
“Sierra Club endorses Jennifer Lewis in Sixth District congressional race”
“Jennifer Lewis statement on Brett Kavanaugh hearing, process”
Deeper Dive:
7th District: Cook PVI R+6
Abigail Spanberger vs. David Brat
Current rankings:
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Toss-Up
Cook Political Report: Republican Toss-Up
FiveThirtyEight: Toss-Up
RealClearPolitics: Toss-Up
Politico: Toss-Up
Campaign Finance:
Spanberger Cash on Hand: $1,603,710.83
Spanberger Raised Q3: $3,127,085.77
Brat Cash on Hand: $1,338,789.30
Brat Raised Q3: $1,020,800.51
How you can help:
Contribute here.
Volunteer here.
Latest News:
“Meet former CIA spy Abigail Spanberger who got her resume de-classified to run for Congress”
“Rep. Brat and Democrat Spanberger tangle in first — and probably only — debate”
“Brat to inmates: ‘You think you’re having a hard time — I’ve got $5 million in negative ads.’”
“Suburban women, Trump fatigue and the House races that could make the difference”
“Rep. Dave Brat, an economist, borrowed heavily from Bernanke in academic paper”
Deeper Dive:
First Abigail Spanberger TV Ad
9th District: Cook PVI R+19
Anthony Flaccavento vs. Morgan Griffith
Current rankings:
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Safe R
FiveThirtyEight: Solid R
RealClearPolitics: n/a
Politico: Solid Republican
Campaign Finance:
Flaccavento Cash on Hand: $161,163.28
Flaccavento Raised Q3: $502,403.89
Griffith Cash on Hand: $480,193.60
Griffith Raised Q3: $229,649.56
How you can help:
Contribute here.
Volunteer here.
Latest News:
“Trump overshadows event as Griffith, Flaccavento meet in final debate”
“Anthony Flaccavento hosts 93rd town hall on Virginia Tech’s campus”
“Flaccavento may give Griffith a run for his money”
Deeper Dive:
10th District: Cook PVI D+1
Jennifer Wexton vs. Barbara Comstock
Current rankings:
Larry Sabato’s Crystal Ball: Leans D
Cook Political Report: Lean Democratic
FiveThirtyEight: Likely D
RealClearPolitics: Leans Dem
Politico: Lean Democrat
Campaign Finance:
Wexton Cash on Hand: $1,591,955.90
Wexton Raised Q3: $2,625,174.95
Comstock Cash on Hand: $1,032,411.54
Comstock Raised Q3: $1,154,110.22
How you can help:
Contribute here.
Volunteer here.
Latest News:
“James Comey just broke a long streak of donating to Republicans by jumping into a key House race”
“BREAKING: WaPo Endorses Democrat Jennifer Wexton for Congress”
“Democrat Wexton leads Rep. Comstock by 12 points in Northern Va. district, survey finds”
“Rep. Comstock’s donors: ‘A who’s who of the conservative movement in Washington’”
“Rep. Comstock declines to say whether she believes her friend Kavanaugh’s accusers”
Deeper Dive:
This concludes Volume IX of our 2018 Flip-a-District Friday series. Stay tuned for weeklyupdates as we track the key races in Virginia that will determine the balance of power in Congress.
Best,
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