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Virginia News Headlines: Sunday Morning

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Here are a few Virginia (and national) news headlines, political and otherwise, for Sunday, February 17. Also, I hope to see everybody at the rally in DC to reject the Keystone XL tar sands pipeline (from hell).

*Gratifying Signs of Desperation (“On both sides of the Atlantic, the austerians seem to be freaking out. And that has to be good news, an indication that they realize, at some level, that they’re losing the debate.”)

*White House readies 8-year residency plan for illegal immigrants, report says

*Navy brass paint dire picture of a weakened fleet in a volatile world

*Presidential hopes mix with Va. governor’s race

*Schapiro: More than meets the eye to GOP gaming of election law

*Background checks in Va.

*Key issues stand in way of adjournment

*Democratic voter fraud cases become ammo for Virginia GOP (In short, there’s ZERO evidence of voter fraud in Virginia, yet Republicans are hell bent on pretending there is, as an excuse to make it harder for people – mostly lower income, the elderly, and others without a photo ID – to vote. Totally anti-democratic, small “d,” but that’s Republicans for ya.)

*A ranking that should shame Virginia

*Fairfax Chamber Gives Thumbs Up to Sen. Warner’s Entrepreneurship Bill

*Alexandria waterfront opponents vow to keep fighting

*Prince William’s struggle offers mixed lessons for immigration reform (How can this article not even mention 9500 Liberty, Eric Byler and Annabel Park, etc? Wow.)

*With Tysons Corner plan in place, Fairfax County to build elsewhere

*Snow falling on Hampton Roads; up to 3 inches expected to stick

*Despite Redskins’ claims, concern over name isn’t political correctness run wild (Bruce Allen appears to share the same utter lack of sensitivity to bigotry that his brother does. Runs in the family, apparently…)

*Wrestling must stay in the Olympics (For once I agree with Donald Rumsfeld on something! Wrestling has been an Olympics sport since…well, basically forever. How on earth can they have the Olympics without wrestling? That’s crazy; get rid of a pseudo-sport like synchronized swimming or whatever.)

To the Good, Decent Conservatives in America Today

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I bet the way you act and feel in your church is a lot more in keeping with the Sermon on the Mount than the way your political leaders encourage you to act and feel.

How much of the peacemaker do your leaders foster in your heart? How much of the merciful? How much do your leaders encourage the spirit of “love thine enemies” and of eschewing contempt (Matthew 5:22)?

Andy Schmookler, an award-winning author, political commentator, radio talk-show host, and teacher, was the Democratic nominee for Congress from Virginia’s 6th District.  He is the author of various books including Debating the Good Society: A Quest to Bridge America’s Moral Divide. (M.I.T. Press, 1999)

If you believe we should be guided by the Sermon on the Mount, are these leaders the kind you should allow yourself to be guided by?

Video: Ken Cuccinelli Surrounded by Security at Book Signing in Tysons Corner

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I just got back from Ken Cuccinelli’s book signing at the Barnes & Noble in Tysons Corner (and no, I wouldn’t buy one of his books if it was the last book on earth, I was stranded on a desert island, and I was absolutely desperate for something – anything! – to read). There was a long line of people waiting to get their book signed, including several members of the anti-Cuccinelli group Cooch Watch 2013. What I found perhaps most interesting was how anxious Cuccinelli obviously was to keep the public from asking him questions in a freewheeling fashion (e.g., as in a normal book reading/Q&A session). Also, I was surprised how much security there was (note that it was already pretty secure being deep inside a large shopping mall, with no direct access from the street, and with no ability for anyone to protest right outside the store), including people standing to Cuccinelli’s left and right. I asked one of them if he was with the campaign, he said “no sir.” I asked him if he was with the book store, he said “no sir.” And that was that. Who the heck knows, but they made it VERY clear that they wanted nobody getting anywhere near Cuccinelli, unless they had bought a book and were willing to proceed, one at a time (under watchful eyes of security) to have the book signed. Hmmmm.

P.S. Also, see the “flip” for a photo of the “Cooch Watch” folks at the event by Gail Gordon Donegan. As Gail colorfully describes the scene: “Waiting in line with tea partiers is strange. The men look sociopathic and the women look broken. They all have haunted eyes.” I simply can’t understand how anyone in their right (as in “sane,” not politically “right”) mind could support this extremist, theocratic, anti-LGBT, anti-women, science denying sockpuppet of the Koch brothers. Of course, this is the mindset we’re dealing with. Ugh.

P.P.S. Gail Gordon Donegan adds, “Cooch deflected my friend’s questions about Medicare and Social Security, and he wouldn’t even entertain my questions about abortion and the First Amendment. So, there you have it. He stayed about one hour.”

Citigroup gave Jack Lew $940,000 ONLY if he got a high-level government position

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This makes me sick.  My stomach is churning as I write.

Thursday’s WSJ, reporting on confirmation hearings for President Obama’s nominee for Treasury Secretary, Jack Lew, revealed the answer to Senator Elizabeth Warren’s question about why no banksters are in jail.

http://wallstreetonparade.com/…

Why not?

Because the banks pay the banksters only if they take high-powered policy or regulatory positions from which they can protect themselves and their co-conspiratorts.

Here’s Senator Hatch reading from Jack Lew’s contract with Citigroup.

. . . Third, your employment agreement included a clause stating that ‘your guaranteed incentive and retention award’ would not be paid upon exit from Citigroup but there was an exception that you would receive that compensation ‘as a result of your acceptance of a full time high level position with the United States Government or a regulatory body.’

So:  

1.  He gets a bonus.

2.  But if he leaves Citigroup he does NOT get the bonus.

3.  HOWEVER, if he leaves Citigroup for “a full time high level position with the United States Government or a regulatory body,” then, he gets the money.

No matter what you think about Hatch or the WSJ . . . and, in my case, that’s not much . . . Hatch appears to be reading from Lew’s contract with Citigroup and not making up accusations.

Think about:  We will give you close to a million $$$ ONLY if you leave here and go to work for the very people who are regulating us — wink, wink, wink.

Cue the theme music from The Sopranos.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v…

Why do any of us even try to be honest and hard-working?

I’m writing to Senators Kaine and Warren, asking them to NOT support Lew.  Lew needs to step down and go back to Citigroup. Or to jail.

Gerson, Wehner Utterly Lost on “How to Save the Republican Party”

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Start off with flawed – or totally wrong – premises, and it’s highly unlikely that you’re going to end up with the correct conclusions. Sadly (for Republicans, anyway), that’s exactly what Dubya’s former chief speechwriter Michael Gerson and Republican politico Peter Wehner manage to do in their new Commentary piece, “How to Save the Republican Party”. There’s so much muddle-headed “thinking” here, it’s hard to know where to start. Here are just a few big ones.

1. Gerson and Wehner argue that Republicans aren’t really beholden to “millionaires and billionaires,” aren’t really “out of touch with ordinary Americans,” and aren’t really “engaged in class warfare on behalf of the upper class.” But of course, as we all know, they very much are all of those things. Thus, we have Republican elected officials voting time and again to protect the wealthy at the expense of the middle class. We have Republicans lavishing corporate welfare on powerful corporations, yet opposing a small increase in the (pathetically low) minimum wage. We have Republicans dividing America into a nation of “makers” and “takers,” in which everyone who receives Medicare, Medicaid, Social Security, individual welfare (note: corporate welfare is fine and dandy!), food stamps, etc. are “takers,” while everyone else, a la Ayn Rand/Atlas Shrugged, are the put-upon “makers,” who are more than ready to “shrug” off the burdensome 99% of the population.

Bottom line: the Republican Party today is the the party of Corporate Welfare, Crony Capitalism, Big Business, and Reverse Robin Hood Class Warfare (steal from the 99% to give to the top 1%). They receive enormous campaign contributions from all those (wealthy/powerful) folks, are lobbied relentlessly by them, share their values and interests, and have zero desire to break from them. Which is why Gerson and Wehner’s recommendations – e.g., to become “visible and persistent critics of corporate welfare,” to promote social mobility, to be more like Teddy Roosevelt (a great Progressive) – are completely implausible and laughable. In reality, the Republican Party’s goal is anything but “equality of opportunity.” Instead, it’s to do everything it can to keep their entrenched, wealthy and powerful cronies and campaign contributors fat and happy. Why would this change? Sure, losing elections should be a motivation, but I’ll be shocked if that alone trumps the crony capitalists’ economic self interest in maintaining their Reverse Robin Hood gravy train.

2. It’s hilarious to hear these two establishment Republicans using language that, if a Democrat (especially the “Kenyan” “socialist” in the White House) said it, would be considered “communism” or whatever. Yet here we are with Gerson and Wehner waxing rhapsodic about the benefits of the “common good,” “community or social solidarity,” “the obligations and attachments we have to each other,” and “the Catholic doctrines of subsidiarity and solidarity with the poor.”

Wait a minute, isn’t all that exactly what Barack Obama and the Democratic Party already stand for? And isn’t all that constantly demonized by the Republican Party, not to mention the Rand Pauls, Rush Limbaughs, Sean Hannitys, Ted Cruzes, Tea Partiers, “we built that!” folks, etc? Finally, isn’t it government of/by/for the people which is there to look out for the common good, and to provide a check and balance (along with organized labor) against the unbridled greed of the the private sector? Well, yeah, obviously. So what do Gerson and Wehner have to offer, exactly? “[W]ays to protect the charitable sector from federal aggression?” Huh? The federal government’s at war with charities? Who knew? How about “a concerted effort to encourage civic and cultural assimilation of immigrants?” You mean, the same immigrants the the Republican presidential nominee in 2012 said should “self deport?” Gotcha.

3. Gerson and Wehner argue that “the GOP can engage vital social issues forthrightly but in a manner that is aspirational rather than alienating.” What does that mean exactly? Are Republicans going to stop trying to shut down abortion clinics, stop forcing women to have invasive ultrasound procedures, stop waging war against contraception and Planned Parenthood, stop voting against laws to provide equal protection for LGBT citizens, stop opposing even such a no-brainer bill as the Violence Against Women Act? Who cares about the Republicans’ “manner,” when it’s their substance that’s all wrong on “vital social issues?” And the fact is, as long as the Grumpy Old Party is beholden to the Pat Robertson religious (far) right, none of this is going to change. Again, though, just as with the GOP being in bed with the rich and powerful, how do Gerson and Wehner propose the Republican Party tell Robertson et al. to take a long hike off a short pier? Got me.

4. Finally, while I agree with Gerson and Wehner that “Republicans need to harness their policy views to the findings of science,” there are a few big – possibly insurmountable – obstacles to overcome before they do. On climate science, for instance, if Republicans were to really accept what 97% of climate scientists know, that human emissions of greenhouse gases (largely from the combustion of fossil fuels) are rapidly and dangerously changing the climate, then the implications would be to get off of carbon-based fuels ASAP. Yet the GOP is funded, as well as controlled, to a large degree by those very fossil fuel interests, and the last thing the Koch brothers, ExxonMobil, etc. want to see is a rapid transition to a clean energy economy. If Republicans try to move in that direction, they’ll be snapped back fast and HARD by their paymasters. How do Gerson and Wehner propose to get around this problem? They don’t say, because obviously they have no clue. And, by the way, even Gerson and Wehner can’t bring themselves to stop lying about what would be needed to stop climate change (e.g, put a price on carbon!). They also can’t help themselves but to lie about the conservative basis of ideas like a carbon tax (thereby correcting a clear and enormous market failure), or the conservative Republican idea of “cap and trade.” Instead, Gerson and Wehner kill all their credibility by demonizing these conservative, Republican ideas as “Al Gore’s policy agenda,” or as “top-down approach of unwieldy government bureaucracies offering huge subsidies to favored companies such as Solyndra” (that’s quite a mouthful…of bile and bull****).

The bottom line is this: even when leading Republican “thinkers” (using the word loosely) like Michael Gerson and Peter Wehner take a stab at thinking through a reboot of the Republican Party, they fail miserably, because they ultimately can’t manage to look at things objectively, clearly, and with courage. In the end, what the Republican Party needs to do is clear: return to its roots as a serious, right-of-center (yet also broadly Progressive – not a synonym for “liberal” by the way – in the Abraham Lincoln, Teddy Roosevelt, Bob LaFollette, Dwight Eisenhower, John Chaffee, Lowell Weicker, Jacob Javits, Nelson Rockefeller, etc. tradition) party. It also needs to ditch the Pat Robertson right, become a secular party that “believes” in science again, get with modernity, and stop trying to take America “back” to a time when wealthy white men had all the rights, and everyone else was pretty much powerless. Then, we’ll see what happens. Until then, the GOP – and its “thinkers” like Gerson and Wehner – will remain lost in the political wilderness, increasingly out of touch with a population that simply doesn’t think like them anymore, and whose economic interests are in stark conflict with the Robber Baron Republicans. Until that day comes, if it ever does, the job of everyone else in the country is simply to beat these guys (and yes, they’re mostly guys), until hopefully they wake up and finally get a clue. Personally, I’m not holding my breath.

UPDATE: Whoops, forgot to mention, they are also completely off base when they write, “Barack Obama has put in place an agenda of unreconstructed progressivism that is at war, not only with Reaganism, but also with Clintonism.” That’s just laughable on every level. The signature accomplishment, “Obamacare,” was modeled after “Romneycare” and the 1993 Republican alternative to “Hillarycare.” Not single payer. Not Medicare for all. Not even a public option. Instead, Obamacare keeps in place and even reinforces the for-profit healthcare model. Soooo progressive! LOL

Other than that, the “stimulus” was heavily (foolishly!) weighted towards tax cuts, and also far too small, as Nobel Prize-winning economist Paul Krugman has pointed out repeatedly. On foreign policy, Obama’s been pounding Al Qaeda with drones and special forces. He’s had an “all of the above” energy strategy, which many environmentalists oppose. I could go on and on, but the point is: Gerson and Wehner are utterly delusional if they believe that Barack Obama has been pushing “an agenda of unreconstructed progressivism.”

Virginia News Headlines: Saturday Morning

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Here are a few Virginia (and national) news headlines, political and otherwise, for Saturday, February 16. Also, check out President Obama’s weekly address, in which he “calls for quick action on the proposals he made during the State of the Union to grow our economy and create jobs, including making America a magnet for manufacturing, strengthening our education system through high-quality preschool for every child, and raising the minimum wage.”

*Earth caught in a cosmic crossfire

*Secret funding helped build vast network of climate denial thinktanks (“Anonymous billionaires donated $120m to more than 100 anti-climate groups working to discredit climate change science.” That says it all right there.)

*Automatic spending cuts loom . . . and Washington yawns

*Bill to allow Northern Va. counties to impose income tax killed by Va. House

*Virginia Senate, House advance separate bills tightening voter ID laws (The exact opposite of what they should be doing, which is to make voting as easy and convenient as possible for people.)

*The Post’s last ombudsman? (It’s sad, but very few newspapers have an ombudsman anymore, and I’m not sure the Post’s really did anything in the end. For instance, I contacted Mr. Pexton multiple times about the Post’s lack of journalistic ethics re: linking/crediting stories by blogs, such as this one, and the response was…got me, as the problem continued.)

*Cuccinelli reaffirms opposition to same-sex marriage (So much for being “libertarian” in any way.)

*Cuccinelli signs book for enthusiastic crowd

*Southside Va. lawmakers, McDonnell discuss uranium

*Kaine: Sequestration to Affect Education Funding in Virginia (“Virginia’s junior senator calls sequestration ‘abdication of responsibility.'”)

*Hits and Misses from the Capitol

*Obenshain endorsed by former AG candidate (Obenshain’s a menace, we’d better not elect him in November, that’s all I have to say!)

*General Assembly includes 15 with holdings topping $1 million

*Texting ban advances but Gov. McDonnell has concerns

*Lawmakers: Va. Parole Board must justify denials

*Washington, D.C., by far, leads the nation in LGBT population, Gallup says

*D.C. area forecast: A chilled holiday weekend with some snowflakes here and there

Republicans Cantor, Goodlatte, Griffith, and Hurt to Virginia’s Economy, Citizens: Screw You!

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The two main things I'd like to point out in the press release below are: 1) who signed (all of Virginia's Democratic U.S. Representatives and Senators, plus Republican Representatives Wittman, Rigell, Forbes and Wolf); and 2) who did NOT sign (Republican Representatives Robert Hurt, Bob Goodlatte, Eric Can'tor, and Morgan Griffith). That's right, Republicans Can'tor, Goodlatte, Griffith and Hurt put their far-right-wing ideology ahead of the wellbeing of Virginia's citizens to such a degree that they wouldn't even sign onto a letter urging "immediate action to avert the devastating impacts of sequestration" that will be " particularly devastating to Virginia." Apparently, they've got their priorities – allegiance to Grover Norquist, for instance – and it trumps their oath of office. I urge everyone to keep that in mind the next time these jerks are up for reelection.

**************************** 

WASHINGTON, DC – Members of Virginia’s Congressional Delegation today sent a letter to President Barack Obama, Speaker John Boehner, and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid expressing their unity for immediate action to avert looming cuts set to hit March 1, stressing the disproportional impact to the Commonwealth of Virginia. The bicameral, bipartisan group of members also stressed the enormous impacts on the country’s national security and federal government, and the ripple effect on Virginia’s economy.

Virginia Senators Mark Warner and Tim Kaine, and Representatives Rob Wittman (VA-1), Scott Rigell (VA-2), Robert C. "Bobby" Scott (VA-3), J. Randy Forbes (VA-4), Jim Moran (VA-8), Frank Wolf (VA-10), and Gerry Connolly (VA-11) wrote, in part:

“As a bipartisan delegation of Virginia lawmakers representing wide-ranging interests and viewpoints, we write to show unified support for immediate action to avert the devastating impacts of sequestration. The Commonwealth of Virginia, with its long history of contribution to our national defense and to the federal government, will bear a disproportionate amount of the pain imposed by these arbitrary cuts should they come to pass.”

 

Full text of the letter follows:

 

February 15, 2013

 

The Honorable Barack Obama

President of the United States

The White House

1600 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W.

Washington, D.C. 20500

 

The Honorable John Boehner

Speaker

United States House of Representatives

Washington, D.C. 20515

 

The Honorable Harry Reid

Majority Leader

United States Senate

Washington, D.C. 20510

 

Dear Mr. President, Mr. Speaker and Mr. Leader:

 

            As a bipartisan delegation of Virginia lawmakers representing wide-ranging interests and viewpoints, we write to show unified support for immediate action to avert the devastating impacts of sequestration.  The Commonwealth of Virginia, with its long history of contribution to our national defense and to the federal government, will bear a disproportionate amount of the pain imposed by these arbitrary cuts should they come to pass.

 

            These reductions, while harmful to the entire U.S. economy, will be particularly devastating to Virginia. According to a study published by George Mason University, nearly ten percent of the 2.1 million jobs that would be lost as a result of sequestration will come from Virginia.  Of these 207,571 Virginia jobs, 136,191 will be lost as a result of cuts to defense, 71,380 job losses will result from reductions in non-defense spending.  Further, sequestration would result in a loss of $20.8 billion in gross state product. The consequences of a failure to avert sequestration will ripple through all parts of our state economy and could lead to a hollow military force and a government unable to adequately respond to the needs of its citizens.

 

            We stand ready to work hand-in-hand to negotiate an agreement to avert these cuts that threaten grave consequences for the Commonwealth, our federal government, and our national security.

 

                                                                                    Sincerely,

 

 

# # #

 

Virginia Senate Republicans Make it Harder to Vote, Pass Photo I.D. Bill

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From the Virginia Senate Democratic Caucus, this is not good news for anyone who cares about our democracy.

RICHMOND, VA — Today, Senate Republicans continued their drive to force a radical and overreaching agenda on Virginia voters. In a party line-vote, Republicans passed HB 1337, which limits the forms of identification voters can use at the polls. The vote was 20 to 20, with Lt. Governor Bill Bolling breaking the tie and voting for the bill.

Senator John S. Edwards (D-Roanoke) said, “A whole list of previously acceptable forms of I.D. that we just added to the code last year are being removed. The public was informed about this. There has been no misuse of these forms of I.D. This bill stops students, who may only have a student I.D. card, from using that I.D. This will prevent them from voting. This is simply a voter suppression bill.”

Senator A. Donald McEachin (D-Henrico) said, “A year ago the Republicans insisted on changing voter I.D. laws. To educate people about these changes, the state spent a lot of money. And my colleagues on the other side of the aisle insisted this was necessary. A year later, we still have no evidence of voter fraud. None at all. Changing the rules yet again will just confuse the voters. I think that those who didn’t like the last election results are trying to do exactly that — confuse voters.”

Senator Chap Petersen (D-Fairfax City) said, “Voter fraud isn’t happening, because no one would risk a felony conviction to give a politician one more vote.” 

Swinging for the Fences: The Transmission of Culture Through Time

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Here’s another of the foundation stones that will prove indispensable for building the “house” that that’s coming — the new integrative vision that I promised at the outset (in “Swinging for the Fences: Please Join Me in this Bold New Effort”) — another of the major forces at work in human cultures:  the transmission through the generations of the culture’s basic patterns.  

For better and for worse.

Our biological inheritance is transmitted through time by the passing of DNA from generation to generation.  The transmission of our cultural heritage employs different means — which we will have important occasion to discuss — but with much the same effect:  while there is change, what is most striking is the continuity.

The English language in which Beowulf was written is a far cry from the English language of today. Nonetheless, we can readily understand the speeches of Washington and Lincoln.  A century from now, Americans will still be speaking a recognizable English language, transmitted through our children and grandchildren to their children and grandchildren.

The phrase that captures this ability of culture to replicate itself from generation to generation — often across many centuries — is “the persistence of culture.”

And as with the transmission of DNA, there is much that is beneficial about this preservation, from generation to generation, of the patterns of culture.

In terms of our present concern — our ability to choose our future — the first and main point to be made about the way cultures transmits their patterns is that it represents a powerful stabilizing force.  It is less a force — like that described in href=” http://www.nonesoblind.org/blo… “> The Parable of the Tribes and that in href=” http://www.nonesoblind.org/blo… “> The Illusion of Choice — that pulls us off course than an anchor that keeps us on a course.  

As an anchor, it can be a problem, acting as an obstacle to our moving into the future we might most desire because it sets limits on our ability to change.

But there is also another way that the “transmission of culture” is more complicated, and will illuminate that “mystery magnet” that we’ll be getting to soon.

Regarding the first point — cultural transmission as resistant to change, for better and for worse — here’s one vivid example:

In the north of New Mexico, it was discovered in our times that there were people who still lit candles every Friday evening at sundown, but had absolutely no idea why they did it. But their parents had done it. It turns out, of course, that these people are the descendants of Jews from Spain or Mexico who were compelled to conceal their Jewish observance and to maintain the pretense of being Christian. So, three and a half centuries later, their descendants — good Catholics by now, I guess — are still lighting candles on Friday evenings.

Here’s another, with more profound ramifications.  For many centuries, China was the dominant civilization in the world in which it operated.  The experience of this power and status generated in the culture — in the minds of its people — and image of Chinese civilization as the Center of the World, the Middle Kingdom, superior to everything they saw around them.  What is amazing, in terms of the persistence of culture, is how that feeling survived in China even through many, many generations of disintegration, and humiliation, and subordination to foreign powers.  The idea remained, ready to reassert itself.

The story of China also shows how this persistence of culture can provide continuity even despite efforts to effect a drastic change of course.

The Chinese revolution, led by Mao Tse-Teng attempted to extirpate, root and branch, much of Chinese tradition.  But analysts of Communist China back in the reign of Mao noted how profoundly Confucian, in many ways, was his way of ruling.

Societies and cultures and peoples have a powerful tendency to remain what they are.

In the next round, I’ll bring up another dimension of what the transmission of cultural patterns reveals.  Cultures are not all of a unit.

Within a cultural system, there can be different components or currents of the culture flowing with some autonomy, interacting in interesting ways.  Different components may be at war with each other, competing for control over the destiny of the society of which they are all parts.

That will be a key to understanding the pathologies we have witnessed in recent years in the American power system.  American “culture” has a multiplicity of parts, some constructive and some destructive.  By seeing how the patterns move through history, we become better able to perceive these essential forces and how they work to determine our destiny.

More about that in the next round.

Bolling’s Bizzaro Transportation “Compromise” Worries Terry, Cheers Ken

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by Paul Goldman

Lt. Governor Bill Bolling has done the seemingly impossible: he has proposed what only be described as the Bill Bolling Bizzaro Transportation “compromise”, combining the WORST POLITICAL ASPECTS of both the House/GUV plan and the Senate/DEM plan. Not only that: it doesn’t make any policy sense either. So hopefully, since it is bad policy, we can agree to just discuss what really will matter in the end, the 200-proof politics of the transportation issue.

Here goes: Bizzaro Bill’s politics on transportation call into question the accepted wisdom that a Bolling independent candidacy is guaranteed to take a lot of net-votes from Ken Cuccinelli. The accepted wisdom assumes – I have been guilty of this myself –  Mr. Bolling had not been seduced by those press clippings heralding his “political sex change” from a loyal leader of the conservative Republican Caucus in the Senate – where he generally voted in concert with then Senator Cuccinelli – to the bizzaro Bill “moderate” Republican darling of the media.

Sure, Bolling would use the new “image” to his advantage. But the accepted wisdom had to assume when push came to shove, he didn’t want to elect Cuccinelli, after all, the feud between the two is the motivating reason for the Bolling suicide mission. That is to say: Bolling would not actually believe all that media manipulation.

So much for assumption. The Bill Bolling Bizarro Transportation “Compromise” has got to have the McAuliffe campaign worried this morning, and the Cuccinelli team figuring that maybe God is a Republican, or at least he hasn’t changed his registration to Democrat.

Why? Because it is clear Bolling actually is believing those press clippings, the LG really believes he is the “moderate” third guy in this race. This is incredibly bad news for  Terry and incredible dumb luck for Ken. It is precisely what Democrats don’t want: a second guy in the race pulling for the moderate voters unhappy with Cuccinelli.  

I ask you:  How else to explain his Bizzaro Bolling tranny plan, contained in a letter to the House/Senate conferees, unless the LG actually believes this “moderate” silliness?

First, in a shot at Governor Bob McDonnell, Mr. Bolling endorses the gas tax increase proposed by the Senate Democrats. Now one thing we know for sure: Governor McDonnell would have to be willing to totally reverse himself, angering his entire Republican base, undercutting his own reputation, by accepting the Bolling proposal BECAUSE it is exactly opposite of everything MCD has said now for weeks. How does the governor go from saying we needed to totally eliminate the gas tax to supporting a record gas tax increase without making it seem he has no governing principles whatsoever except take whatever deal he can get, including a plan that is basically just a big tax increase, nothing else?

If he wanted to that, why spend all this time trying to create a plan which has a tax cut element in it to give his conservative allies some political cover? Does Bolling not get this at all? Of course he does. But the “moderate” to Bolling means dinging both sides. THIS IS NOT GOOD FOR DEMOCRATS.

My bottom line:  Bolling has taken a big shot at Governor McDonnell, essentially saying the fundamental building block of the governor’s plan has to be scrapped, indeed wasn’t a good idea in the first place. Even Cuccinelli hasn’t gone that far, at least the AG is keeping silent, not supporting McDonnell but not publicly attacking his idea either.

Let me go further: Assume for some reason – I concede to be unable to fathom why House Republicans would back the Bolling plan which is simply a tax increase for transportation, a record one at that – the  Bolling/Democratic gas tax idea gets through the House with a majority of Democratic votes. And assume further it is signed by McDonnell, over the objections of the conservative voters in the state of Virginia. No, take that back: over the vehement objections of his voting base, although not his financial base.

I ask you: How does this hurt Ken Cuccinelli? How does it hurt an anti-gas-tax-raising Cuccinelli in a race with two pro-gas tax opponents? Okay, you say: Terry could refuse to back the gas tax too. Hold that thought for now.

Remember: Cuccinelli can always then endorse the original McDonnell plan, calling for the total elimination of the gas tax, using every word McDonnell every spoke on the subject. But you say: This would could leave him vulnerable to a  McDonnell/Bolling/McAuliffe/House Republican joint attack saying…what exactly? He opposes the very tax increase the governor and House GOP leaders have said for weeks isn’t in the best interests of the state, and can’t solve the transportation problem?

It is one thing to be against your own party and the political establishment when the politics makes it impossible for you to be a credible populist: quite another when the stance of the establishment makes that stance very credible to working class voters.

In terms of the latter scenario, tell me how that hurts, not helps, Cuccinelli at this point? Earth to the reporters of Virginia: The gas tax is not popular. By McDonnell’s own rhetoric, an increase in the gas tax raises prices. Now yes, this is what the left side of the political spectrum thinks has to be done, raise the gas tax to save the planet. They may be right in the long run. But in the short run, a pro-gas tax candidate in 2013 might be dead.

Let me ask you: Bob McDonnell is forcing people in Tidewater to pay big new tolls, the Bolling/DEM plan wants to let local governments raise their local sales tax….and now Bolling and Democrats want to raise their state gas tax….at what point do you get a guaranteed voter backlash at the polls especially when Cuccinelli plays the “Road To Nowhere” card? Like maybe this November?

Maybe not: but if I were in Cuccinelli’s shoes, I would be praying every night for the Bolling Bizzaro Plan to be enacted.

AND FOR ANOTHER REASON; The Bolling Bizzaro plan endorses the worst part of the MCD plan, the part where he wants to take 1/4% of the current sales tax that goes for education/mental health etc. and instead give it solely for transportation. THIS IS SOMETHING THE SENATE DEMOCRATS SIMPLY CAN NOT SUPPORT.

Cuccinelli is already opposed it. Bolling is now on record for it. Even the governor knows this isn’t going to fly.

SO LET’S RECAP:

Conventional wisdom says Bolling is a pro-McAuliffe drone whose third party candidacy will hover atop Cuccinelli and then, in the last month of the campaign, drop down and wipe out the presumptive GOP gubernatorial nominee. If not months before.

A perfectly reasonable and historically accurate assumption…UNTIL THIS MORNING.

When you actually get a chance to read the Bolling letter, his “moderate” delusion is, as Tom Cruise told Jack Nicholson in “A Few Good Men”, crystal clear.

Bolling, the anti-tax guy for years, opposed to everything, is now on record for a record gas tax increase to fix transportation. Politically, there are now three general scenarios going forward.

1. Gas taxes go up instead of down as promised by the governor and the GOP leaders of the House of Delegate. Bolling will support them, Cuccinelli will oppose them. What does McAuliffe do? Does he break with GA Assembly Democrats? How can he, and allow Bolling to get all that editorial support, all the praise, basically what the LG wants in order to run. How can McDonnell credibility attack Cuccinelli if the AG says simply: Governor, I support your old plan, indeed, if elected, I will work to eliminate the gas tax and replace it with a fairer, revenue neutral plan. Ken gets to play the populist here. As I have written, this would seem to be his only chance right now in terms of a potentially winning message, even though he is a flawed messenger. This is a message that has proven to unite conservative voters in rural and Republican areas along with working class Democrats. ADVANTANGE K-MAN. It doesn’t mean he wins. But when you are the underdog, any light at the end of the tunnel is a huge gift. .

2. Gas taxes stay the same, get cut a lot slated to be phased out, or totally eliminated while the sales tax goes up. I figure Bolling backs any compromise deal. But this doesn’t help Bolling at all, he is still the high tax guy now, precisely what conservatives think the press means when they call someone a “moderate”, just a high tax politician in sheep’s clothing. Truth is, he will now be on record for record high gas taxes and a new record high in the sales tax. Forget the new “moderate” Bolling: let’s go whole hog to the liberal Bolling. He can back these plans all he wants, but the gas tax sticks to him forever now. Terry backs any plan would be the best guess, what is his alternative, all the DEMS are on board, same with the GUV. Politically, the more the gas taxes are cut, the better: but I don’t see the politics in Terry refusing to back a plan the House and Senate and GUV support. What does Ken do? It is a risky business to predict for sure. Surely he has to support total elimination, and a phase out: Unless he is gonna say this will actually enrich the Oil companies at the expense of the working class guy who will not get lower gas prices but will get higher sales taxes? But does this type of populist appeal work? I don’t know, it has potential, but it may be too complicated an argument. What about the other scenarios? Predicting Ken on these is even more complicated. However, logic suggests: ADVANTAGE K-MAN here in (2) because Bolling’s high tax image will not appeal to Republicans or Republican leaning independent likely to vote in November. .

3. There is No Deal. ADVANTAGE K-MAN for sure. Bolling is now stuck with his Bizzaro Plan, and is the high tax guy in the race, since why would Terry now back the DEM plan with record high gas taxes if he has stayed quite so far. But what plan will Terry back, he has to have one for the 2013 race? As we know, this is very tricky. Cuccinelli has his problems here too, but at least he can say he backed the failed Senate conservative plan, so you can’t accuse him of not saying something in the GA Session. Terry, on the other hand, has been quite. This should mean the press hounds him first, and forces a response.

Historically, this has never helped anyone running for Governor since the newspaper editorial boards – all primed to back Terry – feel an obligation to show their “fairness” by hounding him to say he will raise taxes. Wilder and Warner followed my strategy for telling the ED boards NO. It worked. Kaine had the luxury of running on Warner’s coattails, so the tax issue wasn’t a big one in 2005. Deeds slipped on the tax issue, and Beyer opposed Gilmore’s “No Car Tax” on principle: Beyer proved right but lost the Governorship.

So Terry is in a tough spot historically. Baliles, even riding Robb’s popularity, said he wouldn’t raise taxes. Like I way, the NO TAX position has never cost anyone any votes so far. .

Bolling is now “all-in” as a high tax guy for transportation. He can’t retreat, moreover, is only chance of staying credible is to get favorable ink as the “moderate” willing to fix transportation and other things by telling the truth. If Bolling has been seduced by the media “fawning” so far, what happens when they actually write editorials saying he is the only one with the guts to tell it like it is on transportation?

This potentially leaves T-Man between Bolling to his left and K-Man to his right. On taxes, this has tended not to be the sweet spot, rather the hard spot. The middle position may work on other things, but on taxes, there isn’t really any room.

Bottom line: A pro-gas tax Bolling, whose bizzaro plan actually allows Cuccinelli to win points by refusing to back cuts in education and mental funds, strikes me as BAD NEWS FOR TERRY in a three way race.

How does it help to have someone to your left on taxes, saying you don’t have the guts to tell the people the truth? Cuccinelli now has a plausible non-social issue to explain Bolling’s attack on him: we disagree on gas taxes, with prices going up, this is not the time to raise gas taxes.

But what is Terry’s comeback to Bolling attacking the DEM nominee on transportation? If he comes out for higher taxes, then Cuccinelli gets the chess board he wants. If Terry says he won’t raise taxes, he gains nothing on Cuccinelli but gives Bolling at least an issue.

And if Terry tries to straddle the line? That’s the Deeds approach until of course it fell apart and Deeds endorsed higher taxes, which started a landslide defeat.

Bolling may in the end prove the conventional wisdom right, he may be on election day the third way anti-Cuccinelli guy. But if Bolling gets pegged as a high tax “moderate” who is also moderating his views on social issues, then I ask you: Why is everyone so sure  he winds up taking more votes from Cuccinelli, not McAuliffe, on election day?

The Bolling Bizzaro transportation “compromise” tells me: He has lost his political moorings, and there is no telling right now whether he might actually hurt Terry and help Ken by running as an independent candidate for Governor.