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Audio: Bill Bolling “keeping the door open” on Independent Bid for Gov, Will Decide by March 1

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For Virginia LG Bill Bolling’s thoughts on his potential independent run for governor of Virginia, check out the last minute or so of this audio. Then, if you want to hear why Bill Bolling would likely have minimal appeal to independent voters, but would overwhelmingly draw from conservatives, check out the first 7-8 minutes, during which he sounds 100% like a Teapublican’t, complaining about the fiscal cliff resolution on due to the fact that tax increases are EVILEVILEVIL!!! Oh, and Republicans all got “played” by President Obama (right, that’s why a lot of progressives are unhappy, also why the $250,000 cutoff became $400,000, etc.). Oh, and according to Bolling the supposed “moderate,” rich people are only the “so-called rich” (huh? they’re not ACTUALLY rich? so are the poor not ACTUALLY poor?). Oh, and revenues for the EVILEVILEVIL government are…well, you get the idea.

The bottom line is that, when it comes down to it, Bill Bolling is about as much of a right wingnut as Ken Kookinelli on just about everything. So why does anyone think Bolling’s more “moderate?” My theory is it’s 99% tone, as Bolling comes across as anything but a rabble rousing true believer, and more of a gray, bland, blah, unexciting snoozer (zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz). But in terms of substance, I’m not sure I see the differences between Bolling and Kookinelli, even though Bolling seems to have implied that the latter is “extreme” in some way that he’s not. Got me.

Cantor Breaks Promise as House GOP Stiffs Sandy Victims

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Eastern Virginia Flooded RoadwayEven for House Republicans, who in the face of crisis are always ready to say no to solutions, this is low:

House Republicans abruptly pulled the plug Tuesday night on their promise to take up this week an emergency supplemental disaster aid bill for Northeast states damaged by Hurricane Sandy.

The decision is a stunning reversal since just hours before New Jersey lawmakers were preparing for floor debate Wednesday as outlined under a strategy promoted by no less than Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-Va.). Indeed the Appropriations Committee had gone so far as to file a $27 billion bill Tuesday together with an amendment to be offered by Rep. Rodney Frelinghuysen (R-N.J.) seeking an additional $33 billion to match the Senate passed package of last week.

Absent a change of heart, the upshot now is that the Senate bill will die with this Congress on Thursday at noon. And the whole affair is sure to bring back memories of the famous Daily News headline in 1975-“Ford to City: Drop Dead.”

To recap: Hurricane Sandy killed at least 105 people in the U.S., including two Virginians, and knocked out power to 8.5 million homes & businesses, including 180,000 here in Virginia. With at least 240 Virginia homes damaged, Gov. Bob McDonnell asked for federal disaster relief. It’s not the first time Rep. Cantor has turned his back on disaster victims, including those in his own district. You may recall Rep. Cantor holding Virginia earthquake disaster aid hostage to Tea Party ideology. Cantor also blocked Japanese tsunami aid, claiming Americans are too poor to help suffering people.

Other, more responsible Republicans from states hit hard by Hurricane Sandy are furious with House Republican leadership:

Rep. Peter King (R-NY) lit into House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) and other House Republicans on Wednesday for adjourning the night before without taking up Hurricane Sandy relief legislation.

“It’s absolutely disgraceful,” King said on CNN. “People in my party, they wonder why they’re becoming a minority party. They’re writing off New York, they’re writing off New Jersey. Well, they’ve written me off, and they’re gonna have a hard time getting my vote, I can tell you that.”

King said that Republicans have no problem finding New York when they want to raise money. In light of Tuesday’s inaction, King said, anyone from New York or New Jersey who contributes to the National Republican Congressional Committee should have their “head examined.”

Look, I don’t care if you’re a progressive or a centrist or a conservative. I don’t understand people can go to the polls and cast your ballot for someone like Eric Cantor who refuses to help disaster victims in their hour of need. It’s not a question of partisanship or ideology. It’s a question of human decency.

McDonnell or Cantor: Who Will the 2013 VA GOP Ticket Emulate?

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( – promoted by lowkell)

by Paul Goldman

Will the GOP statewide ticket choose Governor McDonnell, or Congressman Cantor, as their role model?

It is likely to be a fateful choice.  

President Obama just put on a clinic in governing. So did Vice-President Joe Biden. As I have said, Terry McAuliffe – for the time being – just has to make sure his electric car doesn’t stall inside the Hampton Roads Tunnel at rush hour, or cause a big pileup at the Mixing Bowl in NOVA. Right now, the politics of 2013 is all on Ken Cuccinelli. Terry MAC is the other guy in the race for now. His staff probably doesn’t much like that situation. But they should.

Why? Because image wise, the AG is seen more like Eric Cantor than like Bob McDonnell. If this persists until election day, Terry MAC could lead a Democratic sweep. Let me explain.

Last November 6th, the President won re-election. There were two Republicans in Washington who understood the dilemma thus created for the lame-duck Congress dilemma: Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell and House Speaker John Boehner. This is why Senator McConnell remained quiet for so long: he had agreed to give his friend the Speaker a chance to avoid a coup by House Majority Leader Eric Cantor.

Boehner understood the political math. The President had won re-election promising to raise taxes on the top 2% of wage earners. The GOP duo of Romney and Ryan called the Obama plan the biggest tax increase in history. That was true as they defined it. At the same time, the Obama plan called for the permanent extension of the Bush era tax cuts for the other 98%. Boehner knew this would be the largest permanent tax cut in American history. That is how the White House saw it.

This left Republicans with three choices in the lame-duck session.

(1) THE FULL MONTE OF OPPOSITION. The House GOP could fight the President all the way, and refuse to pass the Obama plan during the lame-duck session. But McConnell had already told Boehner, my folks in the Senate are going to cut a deal with the White House. It was a replay of the 2011 debt ceiling debate. Thus, Boehner understood the bottom line – it would be the House GOP against the world. The polls showed the public blamed the GOP for the stalemate already; if they went the Full Monte, the House GOP would get crushed by public opinion. Boehner would ultimately be seen as a toothless Speaker and get blamed for the public debacle. So would his leadership team.  Cantor got that too.

(2) THE SMART PLAY. The GOP had an opening to get most of the credit for the tax cuts. Once negotiations between the White House and the Speaker (again, McConnell laid low) got predictably nowhere (has this not been the pattern for years now?), the Speaker could seize the opening — but only if he could get the House GOP to go first, to put a fiscal cliff deal on the table with some tax increases. There was no reason for the President to do what he did in the 2010 lame duck session, agree to extend the Bush tax cuts. The sunset provision coming into play on December 31, 2012 was the President’s leverage: use it or lose it.

So Boehner made the SMART PLAY: the “millionaire’s” tax increase made perfect sense politically. Cantor realized this was Boehner’s only play. So he had to sign on, or be disloyal. But then the GOP House Caucus rebelled, seeing it as caving-in to Obama. In fact, Boehner was doing no such thing; he was, to the contrary, trying to make lemonade out of lemons for the GOP. He got crushed in his own party.

At that moment, Boehner knew he was Sean Penn, AKA Dean Speaker Walking. So did Cantor.

(3) CANTOR RISING. McConnell and Boehner are old school: the best deal you can get is a win, not a loss. And when you are seen as being able to win stuff, your stock rises on Capitol Hill.

Cantor is from the Newt Gingrich school: the best deal you can get is a loss IF it allows the other side to get credit for a win. Gingrich shut down the government because he didn’t want to be seen as giving Clinton a win. But more importantly, backbench GOP Congressman  Newt Gingrich rose to the Speakership by opposing a tax increase deal brokered by Republican President Bush to help fix the budget.

Boehner and McConnell realized early that Cantor is a shrewd player. Having gone alone with Boehner’s “millionaire tax play”, he could not then be called disloyal if he bolted at the end. Once Cantor realized the Senate fiscal deal bill had the votes to pass in the House, he had every incentive to vote NO, joining the majority of his GOP Caucus. Cantor screwed Boehner big time by doing it. But politics is a contact sport.

HOW THIS IMPACTS THE 2013 VA GOV RACE

Ken Cuccinelli’s rise in VA GOP politics has been based, in large measure, by his willingness to challenge the very GOP constituency that backs the Fiscal Deal bill.

That is to say: The AG, despite holding an executive job, has shown little interest in creating a “governing image” as we enter the 2013 campaign. Terry MAC is a businessman: by and large, voters see businessmen as having the practical side needed to govern.

Governing, in the end, is about choosing, often from the lease worst option. In that regard, it is instructive that Mr. Ryan voted for the deal despite all his rhetoric last year. Why did Ryan do that? Because he wants to be taken as a serious player in the upcoming fiscal discussions, in the budget debate, in the debt ceiling debate. Obama won, and Ryan lost. He got it.

So Cuccinelli has a choice. McDonnell has a governing image: Cantor does not. Cantor only needs partisan GOP members of Congress to get to be Speaker. Cuccinelli needs middle-of-the-road swing voters to get to be governor.

Cantor could “dis” Boehner because in the end, as he doesn’t need Boehner to get what he wants. Can Cuccinelli afford to “dis” McConnell and still get to be governor? I don’t see how.

Right now, the McDonnell image is up for grabs. If Democrats can seize any part of it before Cuccinelli awakens to the inevitable political math, they will be heavy favorites to win in 2013.

Virginia News Headlines: Wednesday Morning

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Here are a few Virginia (and national) news headlines, political and otherwise, for Wednesday, January 2.

*Congress forges late-night deal to avoid the fiscal cliff

*Statement from the President on the Senate Deal to Extend Middle Class Tax Cuts

*Boehner, Cantor take different sides (“Speaker John Boehner (Ohio) voted in favor of the measure.  But Majority Leader Eric Cantor (Va.) voted against the legislation…”)

*House pulls plug on Sandy aid bill (“The decision is a stunning reversal since just hours before New Jersey lawmakers were preparing for floor debate Wednesday as outlined under a strategy promoted by no less than Majority Leader Eric Cantor (R-Va.).”)

*Lessons learned from the ‘fiscal cliff’

*‘Fiscal cliff’ deal falls short under three economic theories (Great job, guys!)

*The fiscal cliff deal that almost wasn’t (“”Go f- yourself,” Boehner sniped as he pointed his finger at Reid, according to multiple sources present.”)

*‘Fiscal cliff’ deal does little to tame threats from debt ceiling, high unemployment rates (The deal ignores a LOT of things, such as the chance to deal with the #1 threat to humanity, global warming, by putting a price on carbon. #FAIL)

*On the Left, Seeing Obama Giving Away Too Much, Again

*Assassinating Clinton’s character (“The attacks on the secretary of state during her illness have been cruel and unfair.”)

*Goodlatte, Griffith, Hurt vote against fiscal cliff deal

*D.C.-area lawmakers divide along unusual lines on ‘fiscal cliff’ vote

*Schools, roads on deck for governor

*Former state GOP director to run Cuccinelli’s 2013 campaign

*Editorial: Running for cover on transportation (“Referenda, particularly those limited to one part of the state, won’t solve transportation needs.”)

*Redevelopment a Fairfax priority in 2013

*Arlington officials tout spending plans for 2013

Video: Rep. Gerry Connolly Blasts Freezing Federal Employee Pay

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So true: “The bill before us today cynically pairs a pay freeze for us in Congress with a continuation of the pay freeze [for] career civil servants. It’s yet another tired, duplicative cheap shot at our nation’s dedicated federal work force; one last parting shot in the dying days of this Congress which cannot die too soon.”

Shocker! Eric Can’tor, Crazy House Teapublicans Opt for Purity Over Pragmatism (and Patriotism)

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(UPDATE: Boehner finds a way out? Or, I wonder if this was all just kabuki theater all along…hmmmm. UPDATE #2: House Republicans move toward climactic vote on ‘fiscal cliff’ bill – promoted by lowkell)

Any further evidence needed that Eric “I do not support the ‘cliff’ deal” Can’tor is an ambitious, amoral slimeball gunning for Speaker Boehner’s job, or that House Teapublican’ts are extremists?

The bipartisan agreement struck in the Senate to avoid the worst effects of the “fiscal cliff” ran into strong opposition in the Republican-controlled House on Tuesday, with GOP members criticizing the deal for raising taxes without cutting spending.

Eric Cantor (R-Va.), the influential House majority leader, emerged from a two-hour meeting with GOP colleagues and said he opposes the Senate bill, which would let income taxes rise sharply on the rich. Rep. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.) said Cantor “forcefully” expressed his concerns during the closed-door session, during which other GOP members expressed grave doubts about the agreement.

Remember, this bill passed the U.S. Senate by an overwhelming, bipartisan 89-8 margin, and although it wasn’t ideal for either Democrats or Republicans, it was a compromise that almost everyone could live with (e.g., it was the classic “making of sausage”). But not Eric Can’tor and his band of teahadists in the House; for these crazies, only absolutely ideological purity will do. Of course, given that most of these jerks were elected in gerrymandered, solidly “red” districts, and that the only threat to their reelection would be a primary challenge from their right, they have zero political incentive to compromise, and every political incentive not to. Brilliant system we’ve got here, huh? Well, I guess it was nice being the world’s greatest nation for 100 years or so. Thanks, Eric Can’tor et al, for seriously threatening to end that. Grrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrr.

P.S. I strongly agree with this, although I’d add the word “House” in front of “Republicans” to be a bit clearer about it (not that Senate Republicans are great either, but House Republicans are utterly insane): “Republicans aren’t so much brilliant negotiators on behalf the rich as an ideological cult. They won’t take a good deal when they get one, and they won’t buckle for anyone or anything.

Half a Loaf Is Better Than None

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Before progressive Democrats pummel President Obama too much for “caving” on the $250,000 threshold for raising taxes, we all should look carefully at the bill that passed the Senate in the last minutes of 2012. The bill, if it can make it through the House with its tea-poisoned GOP caucus, actually raises taxes on all Americans, but it does hit the wealthy the hardest. Here’s how it works.

Individuals with incomes of $400,000 or more, and couples with incomes of $450,000 or more, will see their top tax rate go from 35% to 39.6%. (Remember that no one’s income is taxed at the highest rate for every dollar. The 39.6% simply affects earnings OVER those amounts.)  Additionally, personal exemptions and itemized deductions will begin to phase out for people making $200,000 or couples making $250,000 or more, giving the president an “out” for his $200,000/$250,000 threshold.

Every working person will pay more under this compromise because the temporary recession stimulus of a 2% cut in FICA taxes (Social Security and Medicare) will be allowed to expire. (These are the taxes that Mitt Romney conveniently “forgot” about when he wrongly said 47% of Americans pay no income taxes. FICA taxes are paid on a person’s income and are regressive because everyone pays the same amount, about 7.5% of gross income, regardless of income.)

The estate tax will increase from 35% to 40%, but not on the first $5 million of estate value. That’s hardly surprising, considering that most members of the Senate are multi-millionaires. Most people who get income from capital gains and/or dividends won’t notice the rise in their tax from 15% to 20%, because the higher tax rate doesn’t kick in until annual income goes above that $400,000/$450,000 threshold. (Sorry. Mitt, but you will pay a bit more in taxes unless your accountants can find more ways to hide your income.) Not only that, but the 3.8%  percent surcharge on investment income that was part of the Affordable Care Act means the top rate on investment income would increase to 23.8% for the richest Americans.

I’ve already noticed inaccuracy in reporting on this bill, even from the venerable New York Times. In the Times, Jonathan Weisman says, “The Senate,.. in a pre-dawn vote two hours after the deadline passed… overwhelmingly approved legislation on Tuesday that would allow tax rates to rise only on affluent Americans.” Wrong!  FICA taxes are collected on gross incomes. The tax rate for FICA is going up. Believe me, if I only made $200 a week, the extra $218 I’ll be paying in taxes this year is definitely an increase in my “tax rate.”  

Just as important to President Obama were some other things fixed by this bill, plus the fact that he recognizes that voters want to see politicians compromise. The bill extends federal farm policies through September, avoiding a possible doubling of milk prices. While the bill took away the pay raise for this “do-nothing” Congress, sadly it also ended overdue pay raises for all Federal workers. Extremely important to President Obama was the inclusion of an extension of unemployment insurance for a full year. Without that provision, over 2 million Americans would have lost unemployment benefits.

As I expected, Congress refused to give up its leverage by foregoing another debt ceiling fight at the start of the next Congress. So, the inability to conduct business because of political obstruction will likely go on and on, as will what to do about the automatic, across-the-board budget cuts that this bill simply postpones for another day.

Sen. Tom Harkin, Paul Krugman, and other liberals are extremely disappointed that President Obama didn’t hold out for the $250,000 threshold for income tax increases, believing that Republicans would have been forced by public pressure ultimately to agree to the lower amount. That may or may not be true. However, I personally believe that the president read the politics of this thing correctly. If no compromise had been reached in either branch of Congress, the corporate media would then have blamed both sides equally for the inability to compromise.

In just about every opinion poll taken, Americans want to see compromise in Washington. They want to see problems addressed in a bipartisan way. So do I. I’m sick and tired of posturing politicians playing into the hands of media that want everything to be turned into a conflict, where the media will be able to blame both sides for the gridlock that is caused mainly by a dysfunctional House of Representatives that has been poisoned by Tea Party extremists.

We also have to remember that Barack Obama is not a confrontational person. Let’s be honest with ourselves. No African-American could have attained the highest office of the land if he/she had been an in-your-face, take-no-prisoners, Newt Gingrich clone of a politician.

I would rather have a compromise that doesn’t give me all that I hoped for, rather than make it seem to the business community and the rest of the world that the government can’t get anything done, even when faced with events that could lead to another recession. So, this compromise is O.K. with me. We’ll have to wait and see if the House feels the same way…

Virginia News Headlines: Tuesday Morning (New Year’s Day)

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Here are a few Virginia (and national) news headlines, political and otherwise, for Tuesday, January 1. Oh, and as Del. Rob Krupicka (D-Alexandria, where my wife and I had a great time celebrating “First Night” last night – see video of fireworks over the Potomac River), “Welcome to DC, instead of watching ball drop folks are waiting for CBO score.” LOL

*Senate overwhelmingly passes ‘fiscal cliff’ deal (“Agreement wins approval 89-8 in rare New Year’s vote”)

*Fiscal cliff bill (full text)

*Senate Roll Call Vote (Senators Webb and Warner vote “yea.”)

*Wonkbook: Everything you need to know about the deal (“The agreement primarily targets taxpayers earning more than $450,000 per year, but there’s much, much more.”)

*Despite last-minute deal, more political drama likely on the way (“The measure will now be turned over to the House, which needs to give its backing and will hold a session on Tuesday starting at noon.”)

*Are Democrats Inviting A New Debt Ceiling Debacle? (Good question.)

*A Tepid Fiscal Agreement (“Nonetheless, this deal is a weak brew that remains far too generous to the rich and fails to bring in enough revenue to deal with the nation’s deep need for public investments.”)

*Clinton Expected to Recover Fully From Blood Clot in Head

*New abortion clinic regulations approved by McDonnell (“Clinics say strict building codes could put them out of business”)

*From same-sex marriage to chicken feed, new laws to take effect in Md., Va.

*Cuccinelli names campaign manager for ’13 bid

*Odd bills back on agenda for Va. lawmakers

*Group files complaint on U.Va. ‘warning’

*Innovative Beach schools chief in running for national honor

*A name without identity or heft (“Perhaps ‘Hampton Roads’ needs more time. This year, we should also consider the possibility that after 30 years, what this community needs is a new name.”)

*New year, new growth on horizon in Southwest Va.

*Homicide rate down across D.C. region

*Redskins might extend Mike Shanahan

Video: President Obama Makes a Statement on the Fiscal Cliff

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The bottom line, as always, is that we need a resolution of the “fiscal cliff,” or whatever you want to call it, but a BAD deal is worse than NO deal at all. We’ll see…

Sierra Club’s Top 10 Virginia Environmental Stories of 2012

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As we move into 2013, it is important to take a moment and reflect on what we accomplished (and what we didn’t) this past year.  It is amazing how many victories we achieved and with your help we can have even better 2013.  

Here, then, are our Top 10 Virginia environmental stories, both the good and the bad.  Expect several of these fights to continue into 2013

1.  The re-election of President Obama and Election of Tim Kaine to the Senate – Voters rejected climate deniers Romney and Allen despite BIG Coal and BIG Oil attack ads!

2. Uranium mining defeated in 2012  No bill introduced in the 2012 General Assembly Session but Governor McDonnell spends $1.2 million of taxpayer money in support of new regulations to allow uranium mining. Fight resumes in 2013 General Assembly Session  

3. ODEC Coal Plant in Surry County is defeated in September!  Potomac River Coal Plant in Alexandria closes Oct 1!

4. George Washington National Forest supports fracking ban in the forest (but frackers are working to allow fracking behind the scenes). Stadium Woods saved on the Virginia Tech campus for now.

5. EPA finalizes Mercury Rule that prompts Dominion and AEP to retire several old, obsolete and dirty coal plants.

6. Support for Offshore Wind in Virginia Grows American Wind Energy Association holds its Annual Conference in Virginia Beach, federal Bureau of Ocean Energy Management process moves forward on Virginia lease block

7.  Public transit advances across Virginia:  Loudoun County votes to extend the Silver Line; Arlington and Fairfax approve the Columbia Pike transit line from the Pentagon to Baileys Crossroads/Skyline and Virginia Beach referendum on the extension of the Tide Light rail passes by 60%.

8. Governor McDonnell attempts to open up a 50 mile long corridor in southwest Virginia to mountaintop removal coal mining in the name of the Coalfields Expressway-a strip coal mine masquerading as a road.   Virginia’s largest coal company, Alpha Natural Resources, named as the highway contractor.  Governor McDonnell attempts ram new US 460 highway thru southeastern Virginia. Sierra Club continues to fight both these boondoggle projects

9. Virginia General Assembly votes to further weaken Virginia’s renewable energy law while Dominion rips off rate payers $76 million for phantom renewable energy.

10. State Corporation Commission approves Dominion’s first solar project, a 30 MW pilot solar project. but NJ already has 900 MW installed–30 times what Dominion even proposes as a pilot.