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New Poll: NRA Ad Money Completely Failed in Virginia; Voters Trust Obama More on Gun Issues

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With poll results like the following, why is it again that politicians quake in their boots every time the NRA or gun issues are mentioned?

Voters in key three swing states preferred President Barack Obama to Mitt Romney on gun control issues, and overwhelmingly support a number of gun control measures, according to a poll released Thursday from an advocacy group.

The survey of voters in Virginia, North Carolina and Colorado found 45 percent of voters trusted Obama on gun issues, compared with only 40 percent who trusted Romney. Obama had the largest advantage in Virginia, where he led Romney 48 percent to 39 percent.

The survey, paid for by Mayors Against Illegal Guns, also found the National Rifle Association had little impact on the presidential election.

How little impact did the NRA have on the election? Well, they spent something like $12 million against President Obama, and we know how that one worked out. 🙂 They also spent $700,000 or so against Tim Kaine. That is, Senator-ELECT Tim Kaine. Heh.

P.S. In other news, the poll found that 88% of Virginians, including 91% of gun-owning households, favor requiring gun owners to pass a background check. I mean, why would anyone other than criminals, gangs, etc. oppose that?

John Kerry for Secretary of State

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Before I get into my case for John Kerry – and against Susan Rice – as the next Secretary of State (after Secretary Clinton concludes her successful 4 years in the position), let me just make a couple points.

First, John McCain and Company (Lindsey Graham, Kelly Ayotte, etc.) are completely off the deep end with their absurd, over-the-top, manufactured, ad hominem “case” against Susan Rice regarding the CIA-approved talking points she used for a round of Sunday morning talk shows following the Benghazi attack. My view is that McCain et al. are doing this for purely political reasons, as they must know that there’s not the slightest shred of evidence Susan Rice did anything wrong here. The whole situation is beyond absurd, but sadly not surprising for Mr. GETOFFMYLAWN. So, screw McCain, the guy’s completely lost it, not even worth listening to at this point (if anything, his opposition to Rice makes me want to SUPPORT her, just because McCain is such a douchebag). Sad; I used to respect him, but since he picked Palin as his running mate, he’s been totally wacked out.

Second, let me just make clear that Susan Rice is extremely well-qualified to be Secretary of State. The woman is brilliant, talented, experienced, you name it. That’s certainly not the issue here either.

So, why am I urging President Obama to nominate John Kerry, not Susan Rice, as our next Secretary of State? Several reasons.

First and foremost: I’m sorry, but this is not cool. At all.

Susan Rice, the candidate believed to be favored by President Obama to become the next Secretary of State, holds significant investments in more than a dozen Canadian oil companies and banks that would stand to benefit from expansion of the North American tar sands industry and construction of the proposed $7 billion Keystone XL pipeline. If confirmed by the Senate, one of Rice’s first duties likely would be consideration, and potentially approval, of the controversial mega-project.

Rice owns stock valued between $300,000 and $600,000 in TransCanada, the company seeking a federal permit to transport tar sands crude 1,700 miles to refineries on the Texas Gulf Coast, crossing fragile Midwest ecosystems and the largest freshwater aquifer in North America.

Beyond that, according to financial disclosure reports, about a third of Rice’s personal net worth is tied up in oil producers, pipeline operators, and related energy industries north of the 49th parallel — including companies with poor environmental and safety records on both U.S. and Canadian soil. Rice and her husband own at least $1.25 million worth of stock in four of Canada’s eight leading oil producers, as ranked by Forbes magazine. That includes Enbridge, which spilled more than a million gallons of toxic bitumen into Michigan’s Kalamazoo River in 2010 — the largest inland oil spill in U.S. history.

Rice also has smaller stakes in several other big Canadian energy firms, as well as the country’s transportation companies and coal-fired utilities

This is deeply troubling, especially given that, “Over the past 18 months, a number of questionable relationships between State Department officials and TransCanada have been uncovered.” As Bill McKibben of 350.org notes, “The State Department has been rife with collusion with the Canadian pipeline builders, and it’s really distressing to have any sense that that might continue to go on.”

In stark contrast, John Kerry has been a climate and clean energy champion. When the League of Conservation Voters endorsed Kerry for president in 2004, it called him “a man whose unparalleled record on environmental issues has earned him an extraordinary lifetime rating from the League of Conservation Voters (LCV), and he is clearly the strongest environmentalist in the field.” In endorsing him for reelection to the U.S. Senate in 2008, the LCV touted Kerry’s “clear commitment to protecting America’s environment through bipartisan action, not mere rhetoric.” They specifically pointed to Kerry being an “original cosponsor of the bipartisan Four Pollutant Bill, which would limit mercury, sulfur, nitrogen, and carbon dioxide emissions from power plants,” as well as “an outspoken proponent for addressing the threat of global warming through national and international efforts.”

The contrast between Kerry and Rice on energy and environmental issues would, in and of itself, be sufficient for me to support Kerry over Rice for our next Secretary of State. There are other reasons, however. For starters, I believe that Kerry is superbly qualified to be Secretary of State, given his 25 years on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee (he’s now chair). I’m greatly impressed with Kerry’s work on nuclear arms control issues, as well as – in his website’s words – his work in “Spreading Democracy and Human Rights Throughout the World,” “Fighting Global HIV/AIDS,” and “Fighting International Crime, Corruption and Drug Trafficking.” Clearly, John Kerry has everything it takes to be a superb Secretary of State. I doubt almost anyone would disagree with that.

On that last point, I presume that Kerry would win quick, easy, probably unanimous, confirmation by the U.S. Senate as the next Secretary of State. No fuss, no muss. More importantly, President Obama won’t have to spend any political capital on this one, which is important given all the other important issues he’s focused on.

The only downside to Kerry becoming Secretary of State, frankly, is political: the possibility that Democrats could lose Kerry’s U.S. Senate seat, possibly to Scott Brown. On the other hand, if Democrats come up with a strong candidate, there’s no reason to think they can’t hold that seat in solid-blue Massachusetts. There’s also the possibility  that Brown won’t even run for the seat. Plus, even if Kerry’s not nominated as Secretary of State, he might be nominated as Secretary of Defense, which would once again open up his Senate seat. So, bottom line, I’m not going to lose any sleep over this one.

Bottom line: Kerry would be a superb choice as Secretary of State, easily confirmed, with no political capital needing to be expended. Susan Rice, in contrast, would be a knock-down, drag-out fight, over a nominee who’s certainly not more qualified than Kerry, and who has extensive ties to fossil fuel interests at a time when global warming is arguably THE most critical crisis facing our country and our planet. Is this a no brainer or what?

Is Bill Bolling Actually MORE “Conservative” than Ken Cuccinelli?!?

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The conventional wisdom, which I’d point out is almost always wrong, is that Ken Cuccinelli is much more “conservative” (in quotes because the word today has essentially lost all meaning; many of these self-proclaimed “conservatives” are actually far-right-wing extremists and radicals) than Bill Bolling. Is there any truth to that? Let’s look at their interest group ratings, courtesy of Project Vote Smart, from when they were in the General Assembly.

Bill Bolling (looking at his last year in the State Senate, 2005, unless otherwise noted)

ZERO from NARAL Pro-Choice Virginia

ZERO from Planned Parenthood of Virginia

100% from the Virginia Chamber of Commerce

ZERO from Equality Virginia

100% from the Family Foundation of Virginia

ZERO from the Virginia League of Conservation Voters (although other years are all over the place)

11% Lifetime Rating from the Virginia AFL-CIO

ZERO from the Virginia National Organization for Women (2000 rating is the last available)

Also, the NRA said “Bolling’s strong support of the Second Amendment has earned him an “A+” rating.”

Ken Cuccinelli (looking at his last year in the State Senate, 2009, unless otherwise noted)

ZERO from NARAL Pro-Choice Virginia

ZERO from Planned Parenthood of Virginia

89% from Virginia FREE (note: Cuccinelli’s last rating from the Virginia Chamber of Commerce was 82% in 2005)

67% from Equality Virginia

91% from the Family Foundation of Virginia

10% from the Virginia League of Conservation Voters (note: other years are all over the place)

ZERO from the Virginia AFL-CIO

A rating from the NRA

Comparing these ratings, it looks like Bill Bolling was actually a bit more right wing than Ken Cuccinelli while in the General Assembly in a number of areas (social issues, business), and about the same in other areas. So much for Bolling being more “moderate” in any way than Cuccinelli? Looking at their actual voting records, that sure seems to be the case.

So why does Cuccinelli get most of the attention, both positive (from the Tea Party, religious fundamentalists, etc.) and negative (from Democrats, liberals, progressives, etc.)? I’d argue it has almost nothing whatsoever to do with substance, but is pretty much 100% style/tone. Namely, Cuccinelli is flashy, aggressive, abrasive, insurgent/grassroots, loud and proud of the right-wingnuttiness he stands for; Bolling is boring, dull, drab, relatively genteel/establishment, and quiet about his own right-wingnuttiness. Other than that, I’m not seeing much daylight between the two. How about you?

P.S. Per a comment, it’s also worth noting that Cuccinelli has been in a much stronger position to push his right-wingnut agenda as Virginia Attorney General than Bolling has been as the mostly powerless Lieutenant Governor.

Virginia News Headlines: Thursday Morning

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Here are a few Virginia (and national) news headlines, political and otherwise, for Thursday, November 29. Also, check out the video of President Obama calling on Americans “to speak out to keep taxes from going up on middle class families.” #MY2K

*Editorial: The latest punch line in GOP politics (“Mainstream Republicans once laughed off their party’s rightward trend until they were elbowed out of the way. The latest victim is Lt. Gov. Bill Bolling.”)

*Volume suddenly rises in Virginia governor’s race (“Bill Bolling on Wednesday abruptly dropped his long-held plans to run for governor next year, clearing the way for conservative firebrand Ken Cuccinelli…”)

*Ken Cuccinelli’s fight for conservative causes (In no way, shape, or form is Ken Kookinelli a traditional “conservative.” To the contrary, he’s a radical and extremist, nothing “conservative” about him.)

*Virginia Race Turns To Chaos Following Cuccinelli’s Rise (We’ll see; for now, it’s consolidated, not “turned to chaos.”)

*Mr. Bolling exits (sigh) (“Conventions draw the red-meat eaters, those folks who live and breathe politics while the rest of us are getting our kids to soccer games. They would no doubt favor Attorney General Ken Cuccinelli, a Tea Party paladin and passionate defender of all things respectably right wing, over Mr. Bolling.”)

*The field clears for Cuccinelli (“Bolling’s latest decision effectively serves notice that the Republican Party of Virginia is poised to surrender to its more extreme, and temperamental, wing. The result is bad for the party and worse for Virginia.”)

*Editorial: Fewer choices in 2013 (“Bolling’s withdrawal narrows governor’s race in shrink-wrapped process”)

*Bolling hints of independent bid for Va. governor (Verrrry interesting.)

*Narrowing field could leave stark choice in Va. governor’s race (Bizarre quote by Jessica Taylor of the Rothenberg Political report. How is Terry McAuliffe not towards the “center of the party?” His best friend Bill Clinton is pretty much synonymous with centrism, the “third way,” etc., and Terry himself is a “pro-business” “centrist” if there ever was one. Does ANYONE out there in the national punditocracy know ANYTHING about Virginia politics?!?)

*Could Bolling run for governor as an independent?

*Bolling will not endorse Cuccinelli (“Bolling questions attorney general’s leadership potential.” Well, Cuckoo could certainly lead us all off the cliff pretty quickly! Heh.)

*Tom Perriello silent as speculation swirls on gubernatorial run

*Wilder says Va. gubernatorial candidates must take centrist approach (Wilder’s been wrong on pretty much everything for several years now, and something tells me he’ll be wrong on this as well when it comes to Ken Kookinelli.)

*RGA embraces Cuccinelli as nominee (Wait, national Republicans ditched Akin but embrace Cuckoo? What’s the difference exactly?)

*The ‘anti-business’ knock on Ken Cuccinelli (No doubt, Cuccinelli would be very bad for Virginia business.)

*Connolly falls short paying party dues (Not cool, especially given that he’s in a safe, “incumbent protection” district.)

*Jeff’s Notes: Running for lieutenant governor? (“The line for lieutenant governor candidates forms on the right, says columnist Jeff Schapiro.”)

*Goodlatte named chairman of House Judiciary Committee

*In Fairfax County, a tough budget season lies ahead

*Virginia Chamber to release new statewide economic development plan

*Va. Beach arena pitch gets mixed reaction from lawmakers

*Deeper water aims to keep Great Dismal Swamp fires under control

*Virginia panel gives list of dangerous animals

*Mighty chestnut may yet return to glory

*Traffic woes likely to persist for decades, officials say (Actually, thanks to Republicans’ utter failure to raise revenues, Virginia’s traffic woes are likely to get a lot, lot worse.)

Video: Tom Davis Says “Underclass Minorities” Were Big Reason for Obama Reelection

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And Tom Davis is supposedly one of the more “moderate” Republicans nowadays?  Wow, this party is FUBAR.

Political Trivia in Times of Crisis

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I’ve been trying to figure out why John McCain, Lindsey Graham, and several other Republican senators are piling on Susan Rice, UN ambassador, for her role as spokesperson for the administration on the Benghazi Sept.11 attack. There is no reasonable evidence for their ridiculous attacks, but maybe there’s a political motive.

One of the “shining stars” of the GOP, Scott Brown, got wiped out by Elizabeth Warren, a genuine progressive, in his race to return to the Senate from Massachusetts. If we look at the two names mentioned for Secretary of State we come up with Susan Rice and John Kerry. If the GOP senators can make Susan Rice a difficult choice for President Obama, then perhaps Obama will simply nominate Kerry, thus opening a Senate seat in Massachusetts.

When Willard “Mitt” Romney was governor of Massachusetts, the Democratic majority in the  legislature took away his ability to name someone to an open Senate seat. That came back to bite them when Sen. Ted Kennedy died in office in 2010, and Scott  Brown won a special election against a feckless Democrat, Martha Coakley. (Coakley actually thought that Curt Shilling, hero of the Boston Red Sox victory in the 2004 World Series, played for the Yankees!) I’m coming to the conclusion that some GOP senators hope they can force the nomination of John Kerry as Secretary of State, thus giving Scott Brown another chance at a low-turnout special election.

Such Machiavellian maneuvers rarely work out as planned. Just ask Bob McDonnell and Bill Bolling. In their dream scenario, Romney names McDonnell his Attorney General (!?!), thus enabling Bolling to be the incumbent governor when he faces crazy Ken Cuccinelli in 2013. Now, all Bolling can do is drop out of the race for the Republican nomination and scheme (we hope) for a way to stop Cuccinelli from getting to the governor’s mansion.

Oh, I do love politics!  

Black Helicopter Wing on the Rise

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Rejoice among Democrats that Kenny C will be the Republican nominee is premature. So, no such right wingnut could become Governor of our Commonwealth? This would be the same reactionary who won the statewide contest for Attorney General in 2009. And this would be the same DPVA that was swept.

There is nothing substantive the DPVA can show as a response to the 2009 debacle. Republicans have a completely new wardrobe on order for 2013. OFA blew in, blew up, and blew out. Republicans still hold everything but the teetering state Senate (one special election away) and have an amazingly slick snake oil salesman in the Governor.

Note to all Democratic hopefuls: the OFA field organizers did nothing without guidance and were held on a short leash. Not a one was required or allowed to demonstrate initiative or individual competence. They followed a well designed call-center playbook; they might as well have been selling time shares. Political acumen was not in their terms of reference. They consistently alienated their local Democratic contacts. Check beyond their references before bringing them on.

Meanwhile, the Republicans are reining in the vitriolic. It will fade as we proceed through the 2013 General Assembly session. Delegate Rob Bell (R-58th), candidate for Attorney General, is already stepping up as a defender of the elderly. This despite his party’s burial of a bill last session he now claims to champion. Republicans are moving back toward dog whistle politics. Remember, crazy is not an impediment to political success (See Hitler, Adolph). You just need someone to blame.

Assessing the gains from the OFA effort locally is difficult. At least in my locality, we know who volunteered. But the OFA walk list has not been fully harvested. The use of social media is not a DPVA strong suit despite Frank Leone’s (who is now more focused on hockey than Virginia politics) promises, but OFA has been redirected to use that medium to sell policy rather than promote candidates and that may mitigate effectiveness of any DPVA mimic. Mimicry is not what we need. We really need professionals to determine the way ahead. Unfortunately, those professionals are persona non grata at DPVA.

Bill “Marshall Coleman” Bolling?

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Could Bill Bolling be the 2013, gubernatorial version of Marshall Coleman’s 1994 run as an independent for U.S. Senate? According to the Roanoke Times, ” Bolling didn’t rule out the possibility” of running for governor next year as an independent. Why would Bolling do such a thing? Gee, let’s think about it for a second. How about: a) he despises Ken Cuccinelli (in this interview, he noted “uncertainty and uncomfortableness” with Cuccinelli); b) he is pissed at Bob McDonnell for reneging on the deal they had (Bolling let McDonnell run for governor in 2009, in exchange for McDonnell’s support of Bolling in 2013); c) he wants to be governor of Virginia; and d) he sees a path to victory as a moderate/independent candidate in a field including Cuccinelli and McAuliffe. This race could get even more interesting than it already is if Bolling runs as an independent. Personally, I’m stocking up on popcorn.

UPDATE: The Richmond Times-Dispatch reports that Bill Bolling will not endorse Ken Cuccinelli, saying “I have serious reservations about his ability to effectively and responsibly lead the state…And given those reservations, I could not in good conscience endorse his candidacy for governor.” Ouch.

UPDATE #2: Of course, the risk is that Bolling would end up like this, which would be amusing if nothing else. How about “We want to go bowling! We want to go bolling!” No, doesn’t have the same ring to it as “We want Potts!” We want pots!” LOL

UPDATE #3: TPM reports that Bolling has “canceled his appearance at an annual state GOP retreat this weekend.” Nice.  

“Bobby” McDonnell’s “Dear Friend” Pat Robertson: “Wild” Liberals Support “Society of Death”

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Yep, the same guy who believes in beating a “rebellious” wife, and who calls our governor his “dear friend” “Bobby” (also donates a lot of money to him) is at it again. As usual, don’t hold your breath waiting for McDonnell or any other Republicans to denounce Robertson for his “wild” attacks.

The Virginia Governor’s Race Is Interesting, but Not for the Reasons “The Fix” Cites

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In coming months, we can expect a flood of analysis about the 2013 Virginia governor’s race from everyone, their uncle, their aunt, their aunt’s brother in law, you name it. Why? First off, the media needs something to talk about, and with the presidential election over, 2013 is shaping up as kind of blah…except for the Cuccinelli-McAuliffe WWE/UFC Death Match&reg. Second, the two main contenders in this fight are highly “colorful” characters, with equally “colorful” supporters (just on Kookinelli’s side alone, can you imagine the parade of right-wingnuts who will be trolling around Virginia next year?), and of course the media loves that too. Finally, with Chris Christie’s popularity through the roof, it’s unlikely that there will be any serious gubernatorial race in New Jersey to cover, leaving Virginia – conveniently, a crucial “swing state” that just went for Barack Obama once again – as the main draw for 2013.

Of course, the fact that everyone and their uncle, aunt, etc. will be writing about the Cuccinelli-McAuliffe showdown also means that there will be a ton of drivel, nonsense, and pablum – much of it written by people who haven’t followed Virginia politics and/or don’t know the first thing about our state – filling the newspapers and airwaves. Can’t wait, huh? Well, actually, you don’t have to wait, as it’s already begun. For instance, take this new piece by “The Fix”, on “How the Virginia governor’s race just got very interesting.” Let us count the ways this is flawed.

1. The Virginia governor’s race didn’t “just” get “very interesting.” In fact, if anything, it just got LESS interesting, as we now don’t have months of Ken Cuccinelli and Bill Bolling pounding the bejeezus out of each other. In the end, it was almost certain to end up as McAuliffe vs. Cuccinelli anyway, so today’s announcement by Bolling just moves up the timetable, removes the intra-Republican bloodletting, and changes the main characters over the next few months. But of course the Virginia governor’s race was going to be “very interesting” no matter what. No s*** Sherlock.

2. According to “The Fix,” “Neither man could likely win a general election against anyone other than the person he is going to run against next year.” That’s utterly ridiculous, almost not even worth commenting on it’s so silly. So, let’s see, Terry McAuliffe couldn’t possibly have beaten Bill Bolling? Why not, exactly? And Terry couldn’t have beaten any number of Virginia Republicans – “Sideshow Bob” Marshall or any of the many hard-right-wing guys (and they’re almost all guys) who fill the Virginia Republican Party these days? As for Cuccinelli, why wouldn’t he be able to beat other Democrats? In fact, according to PPP, the Virginia governor’s race was likely to be close next year except under one circumstance: if Mark Warner decided to run. Other than that, it’s highly likely that this will be a close race next year in our “purple state,” with either party capable of winning it. I’m not sure what “The Fix” bases categorical statements like this one on, exactly, but he tends to do it frequently (e.g., his incessant narrative during the recent presidential race that it was a “dead heat”/”too close to call,” that Romney had “momentum,” blah blah blah).

3. Third, what really drives me nuts is the false equivalency being drawn here. Thus, in Cillizza’s view, “Cuccinelli will have rock-solid support bordering on fervor from the Republican base while McAuliffe – now that Sen. Mark Warner (D) has removed himself from consideration – should receive similar treatment from the Democratic base.” That’s completely absurd. As for Cuccinelli, there’s no doubt that he’ll have “support bordering on fervor from the Republican base” that tends to vote in odd-year elections (e.g., skews older, more right wing, more “Tea Party”) because he’s a true believer and rabble rouser. But Terry McAuliffe receiving “similar treatment from the Democratic base?” Seriously? Has “The Fix” ever read any progressive blogs? Last I checked, having been DNC chair doesn’t make progressives swoon over you. If anything, it’s the exact opposite. Don’t believe me? Ask Tim Kaine about the tremendous support (not!) he’s received from progressive, netroots activists over the years. Ask Terry McAuliffe how much support he got in 2009 from progressive, netroots activists (note: I was an exception to that, supporting Terry over Creigh Deeds and Brian Moran, both of whom I thought were awful candidates). The bottom line is that there is ZERO equivalence between the fervor Cooch will have on the right, and what Terry will get from the “left” (such as it is). That’s just corporate media false equivalence run amok.

4. Also silly: “But neither man is a natural fit to appeal to the centrists – fiscally conservative, socially liberal – who populate the far suburbs and exurbs of Washington, D.C. (Prince William and Loudoun counties, we are looking at you) and tend to decide elections in the state.” Actually, Terry McAuliffe is socially liberal for the most part but fairly conservative fiscally, so why wouldn’t he bet a good fit for Virginia suburbs and exurbs based on ideology? Got me.

5. “…nor will McAuliffe’s high-profile defense of all things Democratic during his tenure as the titular head of the party.” Yeah, tell that to Senator-elect George Allen. Oh wait, you mean Allen’s strategy of relentlessly reminding people that Tim Kaine had been Chairman of the Democratic National Committee, and thus a supposed hyper-partisan figure, didn’t work? You mean that being a Democratic partisan is NOT the same thing as being far-left or even progressive? Oh, I know, details details, don’t mess with the simplistic narrative the corporate media loves so much! LOL

Anyway, other than that, it’s a simply brilliant analysis by “The Fix.” Well, ok, it’s not. At all. Unfortunately, something tells me we’re in for a lot more of this silliness in coming months from the usual suspects…