Home Blog Page 2431

BREAKING: Virginia House Passes Transportation Compromise, 60-40

42

(NOTE TO SENATE DEMOCRATS: Before you guys leave town, you need to make 100% sure that you get Bob McDonnell’s agreement, in WRITING (and also publicly), to expand Medicaid. End of story. – promoted by lowkell)

Just a few minutes ago, the Virginia House of Delegates passed, by a 60-40 vote margin, the transportation compromise reached earlier this week (and that we’ve discussed intensively here at Blue Virginia). Personally, I would have voted against this bill unless two parts were fixed and/or strengthened: 1) the $100 fee on hybrid vehicles is utterly absurd, totally bass-ackwards as the expression goes; and 2) I would want much stronger assurances that any new transportation revenues would be spent on environmentally friendly, smart growth, sustainable transportation solutions and not on more sprawl-inducing highway boondoggles from hell. In addition, House Democrats needed to use this bill for leverage on Medicaid expansion. I’m disappointed they didn’t do that, really don’t understand why they didn’t play hardball, and am 100% certain Republicans would have done just that if the shoe had been on the other foot. Sigh… {UPDATE: Is a a “deal in the works” on Medicaid after all? Let’s hope!}

Anyway, now on to the State Senate, where I’m hoping (but not holding my breath) that the issues noted above will be addressed.

P.S. It turns out that Republicans could only muster 34 of the 51 votes they needed to pass this bill. In other words, Democrats gave then 25 of their 32 votes to pass this bill, without getting anything in return on Medicaid, the $100 hybrid fee, or whatever. I’m baffled; what am missing here?!?

UPDATE: Here are the “yeas” and “nays”.

Yea: Albo; Hodges; Marshall, D.W.; Scott, J.M.; BaCote; Hope; May; Sherwood; Brink; Iaquinto; McClellan; Sickles; Bulova; Ingram; McQuinn; Spruill; Cosgrove; James; Merricks; Stolle; Cox, M.K.; Jones; Minchew; Torian; Dance; Keam; Morris; Toscano; Dudenhefer; Kilgore; O’Bannon; Tyler; Edmunds; Knight; Orrock; Villanueva; Filler-Corn; Kory; Plum; Ware, O.; Greason; Krupicka; Poindexter; Watson; Head; LeMunyon; Purkey; Watts; Helsel; Lewis; Putney; Yancey; Herring; Lopez; Rust; Yost; Hester; Loupassi; Scott, E.T.; Mr. Speaker

Nay: Anderson; Fariss; Lingamfelter; Ransone; Bell, Richard P.; Farrell; Marshall, R.G.; Robinson; Bell, Robert B.; Garrett; Massie; Rush; Byron; Gilbert; Miller; Surovell; Carr; Habeeb; Morefield; Tata; Cline; Howell, A.T.; Morrissey; Ward; Cole; Hugo; O’Quinn; Ware, R.L.; Comstock; Joannou; Peace; Webert; Cox, J.A.; Johnson; Pogge; Wilt; Crockett-Stark; Landes; Ramadan; Wright

UPDATE 3:12 pm: I’m hearing definitively that a deal on Medicaid expansion most certainly WAS an integral part of why many House Dems voted for the transportation deal. Now, the key is to make sure that deal is locked in, that McDonnell doesn’t renege or backtrack, and that the Senate make that absolutely clear before they agree to vote for this legislation!

1st CD Democratic Congressional Nominee Adam Cook Endorses Mark Herring for Virginia AG

0

Nice endorsement for Mark Herring from 2012 Democratic congressional candidate (in the 1st CD) Adam Cook!

I know I’ve said this before, but it bears repeating: I can’t thank you enough for your incredible support during our campaign for Congress. It was truly inspiring. We fought for what’s right – for economic opportunity, equality and justice.

While we shared tremendous victories last year, it’s important to recognize that the fight is not over. That’s why I’m supporting Mark Herring for Attorney General in Virginia.

It’s no secret that women’s health is under attack in Virginia. Right now, AG Ken Cuccinelli and his allies in the legislature are pulling out all the stops to limit women’s health care options in the Commonwealth.

We have to stop them – and Mark is working hard to do just that. That’s why I’m asking you to stand with Mark and me right now.

Can you sign Mark’s petition telling the Virginia General Assembly not to let extremists like Cuccinelli interfere with women’s health?

We need our representatives all over the Commonwealth to stand strong against these aggressive attacks on women’s health – and Mark has been, and will continue to be, a leader in that effort.

We need Mark Herring in the Attorney General’s office. He’s a proven leader who has spent his career in the trenches, fighting for us on the issues we care about most – from protecting women’s health to supporting middle-class families.

We’re going to need someone battle-tested like Mark, if we’re going to stop Cuccinelli and his crusade against women’s health.

Please sign Mark’s petition. Let’s tell Virginia’s General Assembly to stop extremists like Cuccinelli from limiting women’s access to health care options.

Together, we can make sure our Attorney General is focused on protecting Virginia families – not on attacking women’s health.

Thanks so much for your support.

Sincerely,

Adam Cook

Thinking About George W. Bush, Who So Darkened a Terrible Eight Year Period in American History

0

( – promoted by lowkell)

When I think of George W. Bush growing up in that family, I think of him as being in a troubled position. Problems with the father seem pretty clear. I’m not sure how it was with the mother, but I can imagine some humiliation (hence emasculation).

He’s somebody I gave a lot of thought to over a long period, and thought it was clear there was a lot of brokenness there.

Many of the destructive directions of the Bush administration seem to have gotten their impetus from Dick Cheney. But Bush was no mere pawn.  We know that he came in willing to do whatever he has to do –honest or not, decent or not, destructive or not– to prevail. We know that because W was working hand-in-glove with Karl Rove, a man for whom cheating and lying and manipulating are the basic modus operandi. Bush had made that deal with the devil long before Dick Cheney entered his picture.

So the brokenness of W himself was important for understanding all the brokenness his presidency inflicted on this nation.  W’s brokenness generated a wave of brokenness that left its damaging mark on everything the forces of politics touches, which is pretty much everything, directly or indirectly.

So if I’m right about how the family in which George W. Bush grew up fostered a good deal of brokenness, of wounding, that family picture contains something important about how the pattern of brokenness has spread from one level of the human system to another, from the personal to the global, in this case.

Nonetheless, the destructive spirit that’s been on a rampage in America in our times is not ultimately about George Bush.  

We can see that there was something behind the Bush presidency that continued to operate even after that presidency came to an end. The same spirit that drove the Bush wrecking crew was able to stay in Washington after he left and continue its destructive work by taking up residence in this equally disgraceful, equally dishonest, equally disrespecting of our democratic traditions that have served America well, equally inflamed with the insistence on conflict rather than peace and cooperation, “opposition” party the Republican Party has been for the past four years.  And still is.

The way that it could jump from one vehicle to another is evidence that THERE IS AN IT. (See http://andyschmooklerforcongre…  

It uses the people at hand, but it exists at a level that transcends even the major players, like Bush and Cheney and Rove, and the Koch Brothers and Limbaugh and the rest.

It is important that we see this “It,” because this is what we must defeat, and as the great pitcher Walter Johnson said, “You can’t hit what you can’t see.”

Seeing and understanding this “It” is what my “Swinging for the Fences” project is about.

Andy Schmookler, an award-winning author, political commentator, radio talk-show host, and teacher, was the Democratic nominee for Congress from Virginia’s 6th District.  He is the author of various books including The Parable of the Tribes:  The Problem of Power in Social Evolution and Sowings and Reapings: The Cycling of Good and Evil in the Human System.  

Virginia Sierra Club OPPOSES Transportation Deal on Environmental Grounds

3

FYI, I just received the following from David Dickson Program Manager of the Sierra Club, Virginia Chapter. I’m glad to see the Virginia environmental community uniting against the transportation deal, including its $100 fee on hybrid vehicles and its funding of projects like the environmentally damaging Coalfields Expressway.

Like [the Coalition for Smarter Growth] and [the Piedmont Environmental Council] we oppose the Transportation Bill.  While the bill may have some good provisions like funding for intercity passenger rail and transit, we oppose it because it lowers the gas tax, providing an incentive for more driving, more congestion, and more pollution, including GHG emissions.  It also imposes a $100 annual tax on hybrid and alternative fueled vehicles, and robs of almost $200 million per year to help make up for the lowered gas tax.  We have yet to see the actual language of the conference agreement so there may be other provisions we object to.

Virginia News Headlines: Friday Morning

0

Here are a few Virginia (and national) news headlines, political and otherwise, for Friday, February 22. Also, to Senate and House Democrats: stand strong today (on Medicaid and transportation), stand up for what our party believes in, and stand united!!!

*The sequester madness (“The GOP loses most, but everybody suffers.”)

*How Obama moved the tax debate to the right (This is the infuriating, center-right Obama that makes me yearn for the day when we can have a real progressive as president…)

*White House changes course on sequester (“…a week before the sequester deadline, they’ve decided to change course, summoning cops, teachers, nurses and first responders to the White House for meetings on how to pitch their case to lawmakers on Capitol Hill reluctant to cut a deal.”)

*A GOP whitewash

(“Correcting their strange history of the sequester”)

*Updated: Top Virginia Republicans at odds on transportation compromise

*McDonnell’s stance on Medicaid imperils roads bill, Democrats say (“On Thursday, 24 House Democrats sent a letter to the chairmen of the Assembly’s two money committees saying they cannot support a state budget that does not include Medicaid expansion.” Good!!!)

*Cuccinelli, McAuliffe differ on road funding compromise

*Cuccinelli opposes transportation deal as ‘massive tax increase’

*The Smart (Growth) Crowd Weighs In (And their answer is NO!)

*Editorial: A transportation reality check (“A deal by state legislators contains some beneficial provisions, but it cuts into funding for other government services.”)

*Editorial: Questionable morals (“The governor has chosen politics over the fates of uninsured Virginians.” It’s not really “questionable,” it’s just typically Republican – nasty, cold hearted, etc.)

*Showdown looms over transportation, Medicaid (OK, Virginia House and Senate Democrats, it’s time to show what you’re made of!)

*Bolling finally free to speak out against GOP’s move to right (The thing is, Republicans are always “free” to do that, they just choose not to because they’d rather keep winning elections or whatever.)

*‘Straw man’ gun laws already on books, rarely enforced

*Va. Senate sends moratorium on drones to McDonnell (“In a rare show of unanimity, two-year study is approved”)

*Today is ‘Gun Owners Support Starbucks Day,’ for Virginians who openly carry guns in public

*Benefits of being a state legislator

*Sen. Warner to push to create center for campus safety

*Reckless rezoning in Chesapeake

From NO CAR TAX To GREEN CAR TAX: A Fairy Tale

14

Cross-posted at Daily Kos

Once upon a time, there was a wild and barbarous land called Virginia, ruled by a race of giant trolls named Republicans. This land also contained tiny dwarves known as Democrats, but nobody ever really tended to notice them.

The Republican trolls liked to do big, messy, smelly, destructive things, like chopping off the tops of mountains to turn them into coal fields, and covering their shores with oil rigs. The trolls liked to drive around in big vehicles known as pickups and SUVs.

One day, a particularly gruesome troll named Gilmore jumped on a rock to get all the others’ attention and yelled three words: “No Car Tax!” He repeated it over and over, until all the Republican trolls were excitedly yelling the same words, waving their hands and jumping up and down. (Trolls are very good at repeating things.)

In this way, Gilmore became King of the Trolls and was able to greatly reduce the hated car tax on their pickups and SUVs, and encourage another favorite troll chant — “Drill Baby Drill” — to ensure that the messy, smelly oil fields continued to fill the land.

So, all was good in the land of Virginia, until one day the trolls noticed that the dwarves also drove cars, but theirs were smaller and used less gasoline. This angered the trolls, since it contradicted the “Drill Baby Drill” chant.  

And so, the new King of the Trolls, named McDonnell — a troll with unusually excellent hair — jumped on a tree stump and started a new chant: “Green Car Tax!” Pretty soon, all the Republican trolls were waving their arms and yelling the same thing. So of course, there was a Green Car Tax imposed across the land, the oil fields kept flowing, and all was good in Virginia again.

It is possible that the Democratic dwarves may have said something on this matter, but as usual, no one paid any attention to them.

So, the moral of the story, boys and girls, is this: Trolls rule while dwarves get stomped on. Now shut up and go to bed. THE END.

“Why the Transportation Bill Is Bad Public Policy And a Bad Deal for Virginia”

0

From the Coalition for Smarter Growth and Piedmont Environmental Council, this is almost exactly what I've been saying: 

VIRGINIA – “Look beyond the deal specifics and look at the real implications of the announced deal on HB2313, and you’ll see a bill that represents bad fiscal policy and bad transportation policy,” said Stewart Schwartz, Executive Director of the Coalition for Smarter Growth. “It’s a bad deal for Virginia. Without reforming VDOT spending the statewide component of the funding will be wasted, and all Virginians will have to pay for this waste.”

“On the same day that the conference committee announced a deal proposing about $850 million per year in additional transportation funding, we learned that VDOT is wasting yet more of the $3 billion in funds approved by the General Assembly in 2011,” said Chris Miller, President of the Piedmont Environmental Council. “Yesterday, in a presentation to the Commonwealth Transportation Board, VDOT said it would allocate $869 million in borrowed federal funds to Route 460 and the Coalfields Expressway, two of the most wasteful projects to ever be proposed in Virginia. Then there is the $1.25 billion or so they propose to waste on the Charlottesville Bypass and the NoVA Outer Beltway. ”

Ignore the complexity of the sources of funding and step back.  There are simple reasons why this is a bad deal:

1) Eliminating the per gallon gas tax and cutting taxes on gas by up to one-third represents bad economics and bad transportation policy, because it reduces the tie between transportation use and funding. Transportation, unlike our schools, is like an electric utility, yet the primary fee—the gas tax—hasn’t been increased in 27 years. Transit users have been paying increased fares, year after year, yet road users would see a reduction in daily travel costs under the bill, leading to a potential shift from transit to driving, more driving and more congestion.

2) By diverting statewide sales taxes, the proposal reduces current and future revenues needed for education, health care, public safety, and other core services.  According to the Joint Legislative Audit and Review Committee, Virginia ranks  38th for investment in public K-12 education, 35th for investment in our universities and 46th in state spending on Medicaid.  General fund revenues will be needed to invest in our human capital, not in asphalt, in order to maximize Virginia’s competitiveness.

About $500 million per year will be taken from the General Fund (.175 cent increment of existing sales tax + share of .3 cent increase in the sales tax; and not counting the Marketplace Equity Act). The entire .175 cent increment taken from the existing sales tax (or $192 million) would be directed to highway maintenance — meaning we will be buying asphalt instead of hiring more teachers.

3)  The proposal includes no measures to ensure wiser spending by VDOT.  The agency is squandering most of the $3 billion in borrowed funds authorized by the General Assembly in 2011 and we can expect more of the same if VDOT controls how the new statewide funding is to be spent. The nearly $500 million in funding that would go to the Highway Maintenance and Operating Fund in the proposed bill in actuality frees up an equal amount of highway construction money, and VDOT would likely continue to waste this money. Because the funding goes directly into the HMOF and is not passed through the TTF, it avoids the TTF formula that would require 14.7 percent to go to transit and could potentially provide funding for primary, secondary and urban roads. So transit and local roads get nothing out of the largest share of new funding.

Just yesterday VDOT took $869 million in Garvee bonds to spend on two wasteful projects, Route 460 and the Coalfields Expressway.  This is over two-thirds of the $1.2 billion in Garvee bonds authorized in 2011, reducing funds available for much higher priority projects.  Four wasteful, unnecessary projects total a potential $5.5 billion in spending:  Route 460 ($1.4 billion), Coalfields Expressway ($2.8 billion), Charlottesville Bypass ($243 million, with estimates up to $400 million), and the Outer Beltway (estimated $1 billion). The traffic numbers do not justify these highways and the money is being diverted from much higher priority needs. 

4) The proposal offers no statewide funding for local road needs VDOT has zeroed out funding for local roads over the past few years. Instead, the bill will make Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads increase sales taxes and wholesale gas taxes to pay for local roads. This is a major step toward devolution and passing on the cost of local roads to Northern Virginia and Hampton Roads. Meanwhile, with as much as $500 million in new road construction funding, VDOT will spend that on highway projects and not the local road construction needed across Virginia. Finally, instead of providing adequate state funding for the Midtown/Downtown Tunnels, the bill proposes that Hampton Roads use an additional local sales tax and wholesale gas tax to reduce the costs of tolls. So the bill lets the state off the hook in terms of funding the tunnels, while VDOT is free to divert over a billion dollars to Route 460.

5) Instead of funding transit through taxes on fuel and through the Transportation Trust Fund as a core transportation service in Virginia, the bill pushes all new transit funding into the General Fund (.3 cent addition to the statewide sales tax), forcing it to compete with schools, health care and other public services.  Dulles Rail should long ago have been funded through the Transportation Trust Fund. It should not be a bargaining chip to get Northern Virginians to agree to taking General Fund revenues.

6) It makes no sense to allocate most of the (potential and speculative) future revenues from the Marketplace Equity Act to transportation when the state has growing needs in education and other human capital investments in order to maintain our competitiveness.

Can Virginia House Dems Use their Window of Opportunity for Leverage?

9

(I’d also consider using whatever leverage we have vis-a-vis this transportation bill to push for Medicaid expansion. – promoted by lowkell)

The Virginia legislature seems poised to adopt a mediocre transportation bill – better than what Governor McDonnell proposed originally, but still pretty bad — but the voting is likely to be close, as Tea Party Republicans are prepared to vote NO on the Governor’s top priority because it includes tax revenues to pay for common goods.

This legislation represents one of the rare occasions where House of Delegates Democrats might actually have serious leverage. In looking at this bill, here are three major problems that House Democrats can use their leverage to address:

  1. Wholesale gas tax is lower than general sales tax rate.
  2. Hybrid tax is punitive and the (il)logic doesn’t stand up to scrutiny.
  3. There are horrid transportation boondoggles embedded in this that will syphon off $billions (potentially $10s of billions) of limited resources that could be better spent on other transportation projects to improve Virginians’ lives, improve Virginia’s economy, and better serve Virginia’s future.

Addressing these very quickly:

Make Wholesale Gas Tax Equal to Sales Tax: While there a myriad of policy reasons why lowering gas taxes are simply bad policy (moving away from user fees, rewarding pollution, hurting efforts to reduce oil imports, promoting things that move money out of Virginia (since VA imports all of its oil products), etc …), there is a fundamentally bizarre element at play here:  Why is the legislature going to reduce partially the gas tax percentage while increasing the general sales tax? A simple question, “Why should fuel for cars be taxed less than buying clothing for children?”

Democrats in the House should demand that the wholesale gas tax equal the general sales tax rate.

Eliminate Hybrid Surcharge:  Again while it is stupid on policy reasons (attacking those seeking modern technology and energy efficiency with lower pollution with lower external costs (such as reduced health implications)), the logic behind the hybrid surcharge doesn’t stand up. Governor McDonnell has claimed it is required due to lost gas taxes. However, with the new wholesale gas tax, it would take over 20 years of average driving in a hybrid to lead to lost tax revenue of $100.  And, hybrid vehicles sell for higher prices than non-hybrids — thus there is more tax revenue on sales and title transfers.  This is a punitive ‘anti-green’ tax which is simply a punching of those ‘greenies’ who buy hybrids and who generally favor Democratic Party candidates.

Democrats in the House should say no to this idiot policy which is targeting their own supporters.

Mandate open review of major transportation projects with legislative review before proceeding.  While the Coalfields Expressway is truly the worst (designed more to support Mountain Top Removal using tax dollars than to help better Virginia transportation), there are multiple $multi-billion questionable projects that will — $ for $ — do far less than Virginia and Virginians than a wide range of other transportation project options.

House of Delegates Democrats should demand provisions for external review of major projects and legislative approval requirements to reduce the waste of taxpayer resources on ‘Roads to Nowhere’.

Swinging for the Fences: Hunting for Very Big Game

0

We’ve been on this “Swinging for the Fences” trail for a while now, and it feels to me like time for me to tell you more about where we’re heading. Let me start with an image I recall from some movie, or maybe more than one movie:

Our heroes are explorers in some strange land that time forgot, reputed to be the home of creatures of monstrous proportions. They are wandering around, looking for footprints to guide them to their hoped-for quarry, but can find none. The ground seems smooth, except for the rising like berms around them.

Then the camera backs away upward to show our dauntless explorers from above, and then we see the truth that escapes the people on the ground: that depression they’re standing in is a footprint.

So it is with us, seeing the world around us from our usual vantage point.

What I’m going to do here, in “Swinging for the Fences,” is raising the camera up to show the tracks of some very big game that’s not readily visible when we usually look at human affairs from the ground on which we usually stand.

Here is the big game we’re going to track:

1) In the human realm, there operate deep and forces that warrant being called “spirits”-not visible to our usual eye, but powerful in their effects.

2) An important part of the human drama can meaningfully and appropriately be described as “the battle between good and evil.”

Please note that I am speaking here as a social thinker, a theorist, in the tradition of rational and empirical thought. I am claiming these notions – “spirit,” and “the battle between good and evil”-not within the framework of any theology or received tradition (though not necessarily in conflict with them either). These are, rather, what I see as the best way of describing and explaining important realities I’ve discerned in recent years in my life-long effort to understand, using reason and evidence, the story of our species.

I intend to show here that these realities are discernible– but only in the same sense that the huge footprint in the movie is discernible. It can be seen if we can achieve the necessary perspective.

Achieving that perspective is what I’ve been working toward in this “Swinging for the Fences” series. To see the footprint of this vast and deep kind of creature I’m calling “spirit,” and to see how different kinds of forces – constructive and destructive-are contending in human affairs, it will be helpful to open up the conceptual space that these various “magnets” – and the “fields” they generate– bring into relief.

So now I will make the rounds of those four “magnets” one more time, to open up those spaces a bit further. And then I will turn to deal more directly with the big game we’re hunting here.

Andy Schmookler, an award-winning author, political commentator, radio talk-show host, and teacher, was the Democratic nominee for Congress from Virginia’s 6th District.  He is the author of various books including The Parable of the Tribes:  The Problem of Power in Social Evolution.  

Cuccinelli Campaign Faces Life-or-Death Test: Is it Ready for Prime Time?

2

( – promoted by lowkell)

by Paul Goldman

At least give Bill Bolling and Terry McAuliffe credit: they didn’t waste any time backing the transportation tax package, not even waiting to see if it had enough votes to pass the House and the Senate. Whether you agree with their politics or policies, you have to credit them with not hiding from making a choice.

Which raises the question: Where is Ken Cuccinelli?

Yeah, I know Republican Governor McDonnell is for it. Yeah, I know if you don’t support the plan, you set up the unprecedented situation where the Democratic nominee is backing a plan supported by a Republican governor, a Republican Speaker and a Republican House of Delegates. Yada, yada, yada. But the big thing, the big opportunity for Cuccinelli is this: It is now possible for the 2013 election not to revolve around social issues. THIS IS HUGE FOR A GUY LIKE CUCCINELLI.

With all due respect to the AG, his campaign, his supporters and whomever: he was on a path to be wiped out (the alleged tie in the polls is an illusion; just read the internal numbers the way an experienced campaigner understands them). That was yesterday. But today is different…maybe.

Why maybe? Because it is incomprehensible to me that Cuccinelli has yet to oppose this plan.  What does he gain politically from backing the transportation tax deal? Here is the key: If he supports this plan, he takes economic, tax, spending and related issues OFF THE TABLE. This makes the GUV race about social issues.

To repeat: If the 2013 campaign is on social issues, CUCCINELLI LOSES. No one has been elected Governor who has been seen as making social issues JOB # 1. But if the election is instead on taxes, whether we should be spending previously earmarked for education on building news highways like McDonnnell’s “Road To Nowhere”, and related non-social issues, then Cuccinelli MIGHT have a chance of winning.

 

Plus: Cuccinelli is a much better as the

anti-establishment candidate than as the  establishment candidate. This “comfortability” factor is often overlooked. The transportation plan is an establishment plan, which is why it doesn’t have a policy theme; it is merely about raising anyway possible upwards of a Billion dollars for roads. This is why the major newspapers, big special interest groups and lobbyists are all for it.

The Transporation Tax plan is easy to attack on a campaign basis as a pro-tax, anti-education con job. Do I really have to go through the patented way Republicans have worked the tax issue in Virginia? There is a reason my no tax pledge for Wilder was picked up by Warner and Kaine. How hard is it to turn this into the patented anti-middle class big government burden in these tough economic times? Not very. [I am told the Post now has a story online which indicates Cuccinelli is inching toward the inevitable, still the tortoise, not the hare.]

Plus, you have the fact this plan can be turned into an anti-education plan by using Senate Democrats own words against it.

Thus, in broad strokes: There is, with a smart campaign, a Cuccinelli strategy of being anti-tax and pro-education relative to the Democrat nominee. This has not happened since 1997, when Gilmore ran not only on the No Car Tax, but on his promise for 4,000 new teachers. The education promise helped him a lot, although this is lost to the conventional wisdom. But you say: Gilmore didn’t live up to any of that. My response: If they held the same election the same way now, Gilmore would still win!

I ask you: If Cuccinelli backs this plan, why would there not be a four-way race, featuring an anti-tax Republican? For those who find my 200-proof politics a little too strong, I understand. But the truth is what it is. This is about getting elected, don’t tell me this new transportation plan is based anything but a typical political deal trying to get 51 votes in the House and 21 in the Senate. That’s politics too. Nothing wrong with that either.

Bottom line: The Cuccinelli campaign faces a life or death test. This is not the governor’s original plan, no matter how they try to spin it. In 2004, McDonnell, Bolling and Cuccinelli opposed a smaller tax which went to the General Fund for education, balance the budget, etc. This gives Cuccinelli all the cover he needs right now. He is sticking to the same principles the three of them followed for years. The other two have a new view 9 years later. But they surely can’t accuse Cuccinelli of changing the very principles they all shared for years.

Cuccinelli has a simple choice: Go against the base of his party or oppose a plan supported by a popular Republican governor. This is surely not the choice he would prefer. But it is what it is.

Republican McDonnell has to back Cuccinelli publicly, or he is through nationally. Plus, McAuliffe is pro-choice. There is no way McDonnell can publicly back, even privately support, a pro-choice former head of the Democratic National Committee. The pro-life base is Mr. McDonnell’s base.

What is his future even in Virginia, for McDonnell if he alienates both the anti-tax base and the pro-life wing of the GOP? Yes, Cuccinelli will anger the governor to more or less of a degree.

But  you say: If Cuccinelli goes against the plan, might it not push Bolling to run? Then we would have two guys for the taxes in the plan, and one guy not. How does this take away from Cuccinelli’s base support among anti-tax, pro-life Republicans? Plus, it at least gives Cuccinelli an argument against Bolling: “finally, we see that the LG’s candidacy has always ben rooted in trying to punish me for sticking with my anti-tax position”. Bolling will be the highest taxing Republican for governor. Cuccinelli can live with that. Bolling says he has been liberated now, that he only took his previous positions due to trying to be a partisan Republican (read the Post this morning). Cuccinelli can’t be worried about Bolling at this point, that ship has sailed.

Which raises the question asked in the beginning: Where is the Cuccinelli for Governor for campaign this morning? Based on his campaign to date, Cuccinelli didn’t earn what he has now been given: a second chance to run a campaign on non-social issues. He is still a significant underdog. But potentially a lot better off than 24 hours ago.