Another day, another Big Lie by Romney/Ryan. Heck, even Fox News anchor Chris Wallace called out Republican hack Ed Gillespie on this one. Here, Anderson Cooper looks into the claims that “studies” show Romney’s tax math adding up to be totally false. Bottom line: as usual, you know when Romney et al. are lying when their lips are moving.

From the Obama campaign:

TO:                         Interested Parties          

FROM:                  Joel Benenson

RE:                          Latest Gallup / USA Today Numbers       

DATE:                    October 15, 2012

Ø  The latest Gallup/ USA Today Battleground survey showing President Obama and Governor Romney tied with women in battleground states (48-48) is an extreme outlier, defying the trends seen in every other battleground and national poll.

ü  This result underscores deep flaws in Gallup’s likely voter screen.

Ø  Only 2 years ago the distortions in Gallup’s likely voter screen were exposed, leaving Gallup’s survey 9 points off the mark just days before the election.

ü  Gallup’s likely voter model predicted a 15 point advantage for Republicans, 55-40,on October 31, 2010.

ü  The final result was a 6 point margin, 51-45.

ü  That year, Gallup’s registered voter survey was much closer to reality at 48-44.

Ø  Gallup’s data is once again far out of line with other public pollsters.

ü  In 14 state polls conducted across 8 swing states since October 4, President Obama leads among women in every single one.

ü  President Obama has a double-digit among women lead in 10 of these polls, including several surveys where the overall horserace is close or the President is behind.

ü  On average, President Obama leads among women by 10.3 points and overall by 2.3 points. (See table on page 2 for results)

Ø  We believe the problem with Gallup’s outlying data is rooted in their 7 question likely voter screen, which distorts the composition of likely voters, leading to erratic and inaccurate results.

ü  In Gallup’s current survey, Obama leads women by 53-44 among registered voters in the Battleground States, which is closely aligned with results from other pollsters.

ü  It is only when the likely voter screen is applied that their results become so out of step.

Ø  Several of the likely voter questions create a bias against groups inclined to support Obama.

ü  For example, Gallup asks voters both whether they have voted in their precinct before and where people in their neighborhood go to vote.

ü  This creates a bias against registered voters who more likely to move from time to time, such as young voters, renters, minorities and urban dwellers, all of whom tend to lean toward the President.

Ø  In the past, Gallup’s justification for such outlying numbers is that they are providing a snapshot of voter attitudes during a particular time period, not predicting the outcome of the election. But this implausible result among women appears to not even provide an accurate reflection on the electorate today, making its value questionable.

Horserace and Horserace among Women in Post-Debate State Polls

From the John Douglass for Congress campaign:

Virginia is a key battleground and all eyes are on this great Commonwealth to see if we have what it takes to deliver for President Obama and Democrats across the state.

I am writing today because my friend General John Douglass has a real chance to turn the 5th district from red to blue. But, he needs urgent help to do it. Tomorrow marks one of the most critical deadlines for advertising — he needs urgent funds to expand his buy before the deadline. Can you help him?

A donation of any size can be put to work immediately to help John win! Please contribute before tomorrow's urgent ad buy deadline.

But, with Election Day in sight, he needs our help to make sure that everyone hears his message. His ad buy deadline is Tuesday and he is still $4,525 short.

Can you chip in and help make sure we send John to serve with me in Congress?

Thank you,

– Mark
Senator Mark Warner

From America's Voice:

This week, America’s Voice with Latino Decisions is finishing our series of releases on polling information about Latino voters in key swing states.  Tomorrow, we are releasing new data about Latino voters in Virginia.  They’ll answer questions about which candidate these segments of the electorate are supporting, what their policy priorities are, how enthusiastic they are about voting, what they do and don’t like about each candidate, and much more.

The full results of the Latino vote polling for Virginia are attached.  Here’s a summary*:

( – promoted by lowkell)

As you can tell by the photo (credit: Steve Helber/AP), Eric Cantor and Paul Ryan aren’t exactly strangers.

In fact, they’re more like BFFs. That photo was taken at a rally in Richmond in August. But that was far from the beginning of their political partnership. You see, Cantor and Ryan are cut from the same conservative cloth. Identical ideologues, if you will.

Case in point: In September of 2010, Eric Cantor and Paul Ryan co-authored a book with Kevin McCarthy entitled “Young Guns: A New Generation of Conservative Leadership.” It’s rare one writes a 224-page book detailing a perceived political revolution without substantial agreement between its authors.

What’s more, upon Paul Ryan’s Vice Presidential ascendency, Eric Cantor happily leapt at the opportunity to endorse his good buddy.

And endorse he did.

Appearing on CNN just a day after Romney trotted out his shiny new VP pick, Eric Cantor called Ryan a “leader for the future.”

Just six days later, Cantor doubled down on his previous comments in an Op/Ed for his hometown newspaper. Using language bordering on veneration, Cantor wrote in the Richmond Times-Dispatch that the choice of Paul Ryan revealed “bold vision and leadership,” going on to promise that the ultra-conservative congressman could provide America with “clear, common-sense vision.”

Identical? Absolutely. Ideologues? Without a doubt.

But there’s more to this alliance than meets the eye. Cantor’s acceptance of all things Ryan is much more than your generic political endorsement. Cantor has hitched his logo-laden wagon to a rising star in the Republican party. Co-authoring a book with him, sharing hours of one-on-one conversations with him, heaping praise on him in speeches, on television and in writing, and now campaigning for him.

So the questions remains: What has Eric Cantor embraced as a result?

Well, there’s always the much maligned budget which Ryan continues to tout. This disastrous jumble of far-right fiction drastically cuts food stamps, slashes Medicaid funding and effectively guts much-needed Pell Grants.

And of course who could forget Ryan’s plan for Medicare? Beyond his irresponsible inclusion of a massive tax cut for the wealthy, Ryan’s plan also adds 6 trillion to the debt over ten years while simultaneously disenfranchising the poorest and sickest among us.

But a potential vice-president must subsist on more than budget policy alone. Luckily, Ryan’s extremist economic credentials transfer splendidly to his stance on social issues. A strict adherent to the Todd Akin School of female anatomy, Congressman Ryan has no compunction about equating “pro-choice” with “child-hate.”

One would assume a congressional seat in the 7th District of Virginia would have little to do with national figure like Paul Ryan. And one would be wrong. Because at the end of the day, the architect of these horrendous policies has been embraced, supported, vouched for by Eric Cantor.

We are told that we are judged by the company we keep. If this is the case, Mr. Cantor may want to consider a more thorough inspection of the House GOP caucus next time he’s searching for coattails to ride.

Good work by DPVA (never thought you’d hear those words from my lips, eh? heh)! Here’s the press release I received from DPVA spokesman Brian Coy last night.)

Tomorrow (Monday Oct. 15) the Democratic Party of Virginia will release a new video (linked below) raising the question of what GOP Super-Donor Foster Friess sees in former Senator George Allen’s campaign that motivated him to make a $10,000 contribution to a pro-Allen SuperPAC, as reported last week by the National Journal. I hope you will use it as part of your morning round-up.

Allen, who in 2006 said “you can tell a lot about someone by those they keep company with,” should explain which part of his record or agenda led Friess, who is best known for suggesting that “gals” hold an Aspirin between their knees as an alternative to FDA-approved contraceptives, to support his reelection bid so forcefully.

In this case the answer may be Allen’s support for Personhood legislation that could ban some forms of birth control, or the Blunt Amendment that would have given employers the right to deny their employees coverage for contraceptives, mammograms and cancer screenings for any reason.

Virginians may also question why Allen is such an attractive candidate to a donor who featured prominently in radical Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum’s presidential race and once suggested that President Obama needs a “bulletproof teleprompter.”

If George Allen believes Virginians “can tell a lot about someone by those they keep company with,” he should stand up and explain what Foster Friess’ support of his campaign says about him.